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zyreon
06-08-2006, 04:30 PM
Flip a coin?

Almost feel like going balls to the wall on this one, but could easily get them busted!

If I do take a punt on the fed increasing another 25bp i'll have to fly blind, maybe put in a few different orders - gotta be on my way to the airport for an assessment centre in wellington, just before the announcement.

It looks as though the market is expecting a higher chance of a pause than a hike, so could send the kiwi (et al) into a nice little downtick if they do lift rates. All in all a gamble.

Goodluck to any one with the 'temerity' to play this one.

peat
08-08-2006, 08:51 AM
The Economist thinks he shouldnt pause....

(but on the other hand) heheh

zyreon
25-08-2006, 07:12 PM
Bernanke making a speech tonight

most think it wont have much impact, that he'll stick to neutral tones and paint picutre for a pause in september,

be interesting to see what he has to say and what effect it has (esp. remembering greenspans speech that hinted at weak $ policy in 04).

risk.