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Capitalist
30-05-2004, 02:59 PM
Philosopher Robert Tracinski asked his readers to name the top ten innovations that transformed human life in the 20th century. He compiled his own list, which I have posted below, and commented that he was sure financial innovations should be on it, but this was not his area of expertise.

An intelligent person replied thus, which may be of interest to those who hypocritically denounce merchant bankers but take advantage of the products of their brains:

The "Fundamental Derivatives"

In the subject of financial innovations, I would mention these several, along with some commentary as to their essential features and the nature of their importance.

The first is "interest rate swaps." A subset of the category "derivatives," interest rate swaps are in a real sense their progenitor. The swap market provides prices at which (corporate) debt of varying maturities (due in one year, two years, and so on) can be interchanged. Example, if you borrow on the basis of the rate on your loan varying monthly at, say, 2%, you can convert this to a five year fixed rate of, say, 5%.

What this allows is a relatively effortless way for entities to match (and rebalance as needed) the repayments for, and the useful lives of, their assets. The result is to substantially enhance the containment of risk, and at a reduced cost.

This product was invented in the early 1980s by Citibank, by a very small group in their London office. The basic idea was to make a market in rendering explicit and trading upon the prices that the extant notes of varying maturities (had) implied (all along).

And now, within the span of 20-25 years, one would be hard pressed to find a Fortune 500 company (that has debt--a very few do not) that does not employ these swaps as a central feature of its capital structure. This also provides the basis for consumer products (such as mortgages) to be similarly backed (by the mortgage companies).

The other fundamental derivative product is: stock options (puts and calls) as traded on the Chicago Board of Exchange (CBOE). The driver of this market was the development of a credible pricing method--the Black-Scholes model. While the inherent statistics are (very) complicated, and not completely verifiable (as with most statistics), the model provided a consistent approach to the pricing of these instruments. From there, firms could diverge, based on their own judgments as to the trading ranges--with the final arbiter being the making and losing of money based on the actual performance of the underlying stocks. The net effect was to bring more money to the equity market as these instruments offered a further way in which investors could either mitigate risk or enhance returns.

And lastly, outside the sphere of derivatives, is the product of "junk bonds" developed by Michael Milken. These instruments provided funding to marginally profitable firms who could not raise traditional debt or equity. The key was the high interest rates to offset the risk. These high debt rates provided the equity-type returns required by the investors, contractually as opposed to the investors' having to "lobby in the board rooms" for dividends or other forms of return of capital. And not incidentally, the interest was tax deductible (by the firm) as compared to an equity return, which is not.

Capitalist
30-05-2004, 03:03 PM
Here is Mr Tracinski's list of the 10 greatest innovations of the 20th century:

I have listed the innovations in roughly chronological order, but I haven't been strict about this.


-1- The Electrical Distribution Network

Several readers have argued that electric power doesn't belong as a "20th century" innovation because the key discoveries date from the 19th century. But although the theory upon which it is based and many of the initial basic discoveries were from the 19th century, integrating electric power into society, and all of the radical changes which came with that, took place in the 20th century.

The effect of electrical power cannot be understated: it put man-made artificial power--as opposed to human or animal muscle-power--at our fingertips, to be accessed at any time, and virtually anywhere, to perform physical work.


-2- Penicillin

Penicillin was just the first of a cascade of antibiotics and vaccines that conquered contagious disease in the industrialized world--eliminating what had been the major causes of human death. (Yes, I know that the first vaccines were developed before the 20th century, which is why I list them as secondary to antibiotics--but vaccination only became widespread in the 20th century.) As a result, for most of man's life, death can now be regarded as a rare exception and an unnecessary tragedy. Jack Wakeland sent me a very insightful statement on this:

"The eradication of death by infectious disease has had a huge effect on man's conception of life. From the age of 1 to the age of 60, we have become essentially immortal. We no longer live 'in the midst of death' and are no longer tempted to look at life as a capricious gift that can be snatched away at any time."


-3- Movies

I include the movies, not primarily as a technological innovation--the beginnings of which were developed in the 19th century--but as an _artistic_ innovation. Cinema is only new art form developed in the 20th century, and it carries a unique artistic power that comes from combining the visual power of painting with the power of music and theater. That combination creates a uniquely absorbing esthetic experience.

The movies also offered the ability to capture a single, "definitive" performance. Before that, a theatrical performance was ever-changing and ephemeral, being recorded only in the memories of its audience. With film, a great performance became as accessible to later generations as a great sculpture or painting--indeed, more so, since it can be made available to more people in a large number of reproductions.


-4- The Automobile

Just as electricity put power at our fingertips, so the automobile puts the power of 200 horses at the fingertips _of_an_individual_. Not only did this have tremendous implications for production (e.g., the tractor in agriculture). It also _individualized_ the transportation revolution of the previous century. Trains had already made rapid, comfortable transportation possible over long distances. The automobile allowed an individual to set his own schedule, route, and destination. It made us accustomed to having a powerful machine as our immediate servant, capable of taking us wherever we wish.


-5- The Airplane

The airplane placed the entire globe within the reach of immediate travel--and within the reach of rapid commerce, culminating with global overnight delivery. It gave each person the realistic sense that the entire planet is his domain, open to his exploration.


-6- Radio

Radio was followed by television, which combined the benefits of radio and movies, and today it is followed by such nascent development as wireless Internet access. But all of these later manifestations flowed from the harnessing of the electromagnetic spectrum to transmit sound.

Radio opened up an entirely new aspect of nature to human use and made possible the instantaneous global transmission of knowledge.


-7- The Atom Bomb

Atomic energy had the potential to transform life in the 20th

GB
30-05-2004, 08:02 PM
i would say a pre- stuffed chicken would be top of the list -

GB
30-05-2004, 08:06 PM
second is rum and coke mixed cleverly together in a bottle - bloody great that is

Placebo
31-05-2004, 10:21 AM
Sorry GB, they are both products of the 21st Century. Which just shows how far we have come.

I like the quote from an official at the US patent office at the turn of the 20th century. He predicted that it was going to be a very dull century from the perspective of the patenting office, because everything that was useful had already been invented.

I'll add: Screw-top wine bottles. Now you can have a glass or two and chuck the bottle back in the fridge. On the other hand, this invention has wiped out nearly half the Innovations Catalogue :(

Gryffyn
31-05-2004, 12:11 PM
Cap - nice thread.

Technically the computer was 'invented' in the 19C. Just took electricity etc to make them feasible and useful in the 20th. That make a gap for a financial invention. Also the automobile was invented pre-20C.

I'd say the credit card has had a huge impact on life. Certainly a major cause of inflation! Travel and international comerce on todays scale would struggle to exist without it.

kittydashwood
01-06-2004, 08:30 AM
You forgot disposable nappies, very important around here.

01-06-2004, 08:49 AM
Kitty what about some of the new Cat litters (much nicer)

Gryffyn
01-06-2004, 11:13 AM
I don't think plunket would approve of your toilet training methods Enigma. How do you get the kids to use it?

foodee
01-06-2004, 12:17 PM
I would have felt Refrigiration is a must on the list. Its implication and application is vast.
As one passionate about food this is sine qua non in household of the developed world. Plus its uses in all branches of 'living sciences' and so on.....[8D]

goodguy
01-06-2004, 02:12 PM
I think electric blankets would have to be near the top of the list (particularly if you live in Wgtn or the South Island) and also, of course, the advent of the inside toilet.

01-06-2004, 04:19 PM
Gryffn I don't see cats in disposable nappies And Kitty Dashwood is a small black & white house cat.

belgarion
01-06-2004, 04:50 PM
One of my favourites inventions before I was married ... The Pill !!!

Now that Im married the Jar of jelly beans (big jar too btw) is pretty much full ... ;) ... The sooner someone comes up with an instant cure for headaches and tiredness the better! (Or perhaps it's already been invented and just needs to be made legal?)

zyreon
01-06-2004, 05:00 PM
The internet is the best.

It gives us bored people something to do!