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Thread: Tegel IPO

  1. #551
    Legend Balance's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    About time I got one wrong.
    Bugger.!!!.lol.
    Haha - was starting to get too easy?

    Nothing like a sobering up once in a while to stay alert.
    Last edited by Balance; 15-12-2016 at 10:52 AM.

  2. #552
    Legend peat's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    About time I got one wrong.
    Bugger.!!!.lol.
    hmmmmmmmm I hate to say it......... but I told ya.
    For clarity, nothing I say is advice....

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  4. #554
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    So the IPO forecast F17 NPAT of $43m is going to be something like $33m to $41m

    At least, as they proudly repeated mant times, revenues are growing strongly and will be ahead of forecast
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #555
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    So the IPO forecast F17 NPAT of $43m is going to be something like $33m to $41m

    At least, as they proudly repeated mant times, revenues are growing strongly and will be ahead of forecast
    Doesn't count for much aye.
    h2

  6. #556
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    Quote Originally Posted by peat View Post
    hmmmmmmmm I hate to say it......... but I told ya.
    As many will know, I was also never keen... although I also didn't think things would be this bad

  7. #557
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    So the IPO forecast F17 NPAT of $43m is going to be something like $33m to $41m

    At least, as they proudly repeated mant times, revenues are growing strongly and will be ahead of forecast
    33m to 41m is a quite a large range. Still no mention in their report about their deal to export into AU?

    Only positive I can see is Tegel has a dominate place in the NZ market. I think a long hold approach will pay an OK return. The dividend is also OK and they seem to be confident in growth opportunities. I dont think there's any point selling if you bought in at the IPO.

  8. #558
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    So the IPO forecast F17 NPAT of $43m is going to be something like $33m to $41m

    At least, as they proudly repeated mant times, revenues are growing strongly and will be ahead of forecast
    Help me out here please mate. They just reported only $15.1m for the half so doesn't that suggest they're headed toward right at the bottom of that range ?
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  9. #559
    Reincarnated Panthera Snow Leopard's Avatar
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    Red face Pessimistic may have been realistic

    Quote Originally Posted by Paper Tiger View Post
    Given that I had to do some housework ahead of the arrival of our latest guest I thought I would pounce on a chicken instead.

    Having crunched on a few bones I have a few scenarios for Tegel:

    The 'optimistic' one values TGH at $1.575 now, rising to $1.718 a year ahead.

    The 'realistic' one values TGH at $1.454 now, rising to $1.568 a year ahead.

    I may show interest if the price gets down to the 'pessimistic' one value range.

    Best Wishes
    Paper Tiger
    Okay dokey - feeding the figures into the value model

    So current value is $1.24 (@$33M FY) to $1.53 (@$41M FY).

    That $41M was my realistic scenario !

    I am going to remain 'uninterested'.

    Best Wishes
    Paper Tiger
    om mani peme hum

  10. #560
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Roger View Post
    Help me out here please mate. They just reported only $15.1m for the half so doesn't that suggest they're headed toward right at the bottom of that range ?
    One slide was headed "Stronger H2'17"
    Last edited by winner69; 15-12-2016 at 12:49 PM.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

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