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  1. #2801
    On the doghouse
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    Quote Originally Posted by X-men View Post
    Wonder I should buy some.

    Based on Winner's serko formula....SP high was $15...now it is $6....

    Winner...what do U think?
    I suggest you get hold of the name of Winners secret 'Chippie' and buy your scallops and chips from there, and go down to the waterfront to eat them like he does. Probably a better investment than a KFC quarter pack, and a better outlook to contemplate while you consume them too!

    SNOOPY
    Watch out for the most persistent and dangerous version of Covid-19: B.S.24/7

  2. #2802
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    I don’t see how a company with a market cap of ~$750m and net income of ~$16m can be defined as “cheap”. 50x multiple.

    One would really need to be a believer in the long term story to be buying here.

    To me it is the debt they piled on that killed the profitability. A bit concerning they lack pricing power with their product as well.
    Last edited by LaserEyeKiwi; 07-08-2023 at 11:50 AM.

  3. #2803
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by X-men View Post
    Wonder I should buy some.

    Based on Winner's serko formula....SP high was $15...now it is $6....

    Winner...what do U think?
    I see no compelling reason to buy at the moment …even at these prices.

    Serko has things going for it to recover its previous glorious share price …..RBD has a struggle on its hands I reckon
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  4. #2804
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    If they only make $16m this year it’ll be their worst year since 2013

    Back then sales were $313m and profit $16m

    This year sales ~$1,400m and maybe profit $16m

    Something not working eh
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #2805
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    If they only make $16m this year it’ll be their worst year since 2013

    Back then sales were $313m and profit $16m

    This year sales ~$1,400m and maybe profit $16m

    Something not working eh
    What is the avg profit margin RBD usually spits out. Like last couple of years during free money times it ballooned out aye

  6. #2806
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rawz View Post
    What is the avg profit margin RBD usually spits out. Like last couple of years during free money times it ballooned out aye
    I’ve had a morbid fascination with RBD since the turn of the century but stopped updating models in 2017 because profits weren’t going anywhere but the share price keep going up.

    Might update them in next week or so just to show me this global expansion hasn’t work.


    Might learn something
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  7. #2807
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    I’ve had a morbid fascination with RBD since the turn of the century but stopped updating models in 2017 because profits weren’t going anywhere but the share price keep going up.

    Might update them in next week or so just to show me this global expansion hasn’t work.


    Might learn something
    Best thing they could do is an equity raise while their stock price is still overinflated, use the proceeds to deleverage by paying down debt, watch profits rise again with the interest costs slashed.

  8. #2808
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    Quote Originally Posted by LaserEyeKiwi View Post
    Best thing they could do is an equity raise while their stock price is still overinflated, use the proceeds to deleverage by paying down debt, watch profits rise again with the interest costs slashed.
    Doubt that is in their minds after they only recently started paying dividends. Guess they had to try something to stop the sinking sp

  9. #2809
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    Oh wait - they have $250m+ in debt - an equity raise would have to be massive to make a difference in that giant millstone.

  10. #2810
    2019 NZ Stock Picking Winner silverblizzard888's Avatar
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    Stocks held up surprisingly well, though not sure what people are hoping to gain by holding or buying at the current price. Inflation putting pressure on their margins and the rising interest rates are eating a good part of their profit. Don't see them recovering too easily from this, they need to raise capital to ease the interest expense, though given enough time they will be fine too after all can't replace good old KFC, always a profit to be made from that grease bucket.
    Last edited by silverblizzard888; 07-08-2023 at 04:49 PM.

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