quote:Originally posted by Jess9

Regarding my last comment...and thinking on following comments...it is still likely a factor, for high growth cities, e.g. Auckland, Nelson, Blenheim, Queenstown, Tauranga to name the top few.
Jess those cities are high growth because of demographic factors, not despite of them. Predicting more of the same when demographics urge otherwise requires the assumption that a new external factor will be introduced like sustained spikes in immigration or birth rates? The factors I mentioned in the previous post already consider an average level of success in breeding and migration policies. So if places like Tauranga did continue to grow when the only population segment showing any significant growth was over 65 year olds then those "oldies" have to originate from somewhere... Like Auckland, Wellington etc. Perhaps providing a situational benefit but likely a net zero sum gain.