Investing strategies and secular bear markets

[ratkin]

Seeing as you recomended me a book the other day i shall return the favour Have you read the Agressive investor by Colin Nicholson? sounds as if you have a fairly similar strategy. Well worth the read

[Mick100]

I believe we have been in a secular bear market, in general stocks, for the past six yrs as winner has stated.
But if you dig a bit deeper you will find that commodities are negitively corellated to general stocks. When general stocks go into long term bear markets (15-20 yrs) commodities go into long term bull markets - Have a look at charts of the CRB index and the DOW from the late 60s to 1981. this pattern has repeated itself over and over for the last 200 yrs.

Look at a chart of the CRB index since 2001
Look at a chart of crude oil since 2001
Look at a gold chart since 2001
Look at any of the base metal charts since 2001
Then have a look at a chart of the s&p 500

Commodities are going up, general stocks are going sideways
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