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30-07-2016, 01:16 AM
#981
Originally Posted by Hoop
BaaBaa quote.. ."Who would know from a fundamental perspective? That has been screwed for many years, decades even, with economic theories all going to hell...."
To bring the DOW into total perspective forget the economy and all the BS, smoke screens, and mirrors.... Investors have been discussing/arguing that for decades if not for centuries.......Think simple, think secular.
Back in 2006 the question was asked "Where do you think we're headed? The author had a good idea the DOW was entering two decades of slow share price growth...At the time the US economy was entering a boom..With that hindsight 10 years later we know the author was right..
OK..next question...Lets ask the same one now.. "Where do you think we're headed?
So only 10 yrs before the next boom Hoop.Time to accumulate
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30-07-2016, 08:33 AM
#982
Last edited by Hoop; 30-07-2016 at 08:35 AM.
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30-07-2016, 10:15 AM
#983
Originally Posted by Baa_Baa
Nice chart, it says invest in the DOW anytime you like and in less than 25 years you'll be doing fine (on a historical basis) but in 100 years from now you'll be in clover. But I'll be pushing up daisies well before the 100 year windfall, maybe even before the 25 year. Sigh.
Interesting interpretation though that a bull market only begins when the highs of the previous bull market are exceeded. Basically it just says buy and wait. And hope you live long enough.
It says be a stock picker during secular bear periods and hold while rising and sell when they start trending down. Capital preservation is key during periods when overall medium/long term market returns are expected to be low.
”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “
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30-07-2016, 01:44 PM
#984
I can’t agree more. Dow and global stocks should stay in the bullish territory in the second half of this year as well. As I said before, still I didn't become a bear.
Originally Posted by bear
Every chance of the Dow hitting some crazy numbers this year. Large tech stocks are powering ahead Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet & Facebook - some impressive results over the past few days. New highs for Amazon, Alphabet and Facebook. Was sweating a little on Amazon's numbers (you never know how spectacular the result will be) ... but very happy with the end result and nice gain after some shorters bailed in extended trading.
Even non tech stocks like J & J, Honeywell etc doing well and other super powered conglomerates
Financials and retailers (in general other than online like Amazon) will be the biggest drag on the DOW and this really because the margins are so low
and Im not a bear on the Dow
Bear
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30-07-2016, 01:51 PM
#985
Originally Posted by Hoop
I'll wait until after the dip....patience ..(thats if I live long enough)...but if you look at our children/Grandchildren's future...their future may lie on stocks as ours were in property..eh?
I haven't really focused on property. I'm more focused on stocks and have been for 30+ yrs.Far easier on time requirements,valuations and liquidity.
Dabbled in property but its just a PIB
Last edited by kiora; 30-07-2016 at 03:41 PM.
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05-08-2016, 12:06 PM
#986
Originally Posted by bear
Every chance of the Dow hitting some crazy numbers this year..........
Bear
After the Brexit dip a rosy record breaking rally occurred..Reported earnings has dampened the euphoria a bit.
Some media are starting to bang the bear drums again....then along comes this interesting chart pattern..a possible continuation pattern...if the breakout is upward then we may see 20,000 in quick time...
Who cares what the fundamentals says when you have Janet and maybe Mr Trump at the helm..eh?...
Last edited by Hoop; 05-08-2016 at 12:08 PM.
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12-08-2016, 10:12 AM
#987
Update...Today saw all 3 Wall St indices breakout to another record high
DOW chart below
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12-08-2016, 01:37 PM
#988
Originally Posted by Hoop
Update...Today saw all 3 Wall St indices breakout to another record high
DOW chart below
Astounding, but the TA did suggest it. Colin Twiggs noted the breakout potential a few days ago as well, and look where it is now. Clearly peace and prosperity have broken out in the world, all is good. Ride the wave.
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13-08-2016, 05:16 PM
#989
Still DOW is unstoppable. My only worrying part is we don’t see rich valuation in some stocks. It is going to be one of the longest rally. It is possible to touch 19,000. However, it can touch even 20,000 according to the following link. Only time will tell us the true story.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the...ast-2016-08-10
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21-08-2016, 05:16 PM
#990
Originally Posted by Baa_Baa
Astounding, but the TA did suggest it. Colin Twiggs noted the breakout potential a few days ago as well, and look where it is now. Clearly peace and prosperity have broken out in the world, all is good. Ride the wave.
They will ensure the 'wave' keeps going at least until Hilary is elected - she is the symbolic face of a 'recovering economy' (measured by dodgy job numbers and never-ending adjustments to quarterly GDP numbers) which ensure the money go round keeps going round
But one day .......
”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “
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