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  1. #1
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    Quote Originally Posted by ananda77 View Post
    Hoop:

    ...got to keep cool - buying opps into the GLOBAL SUPER BULL ahead - not to be driven into fear by financial fairy tale nonsense, the press dishing out - SPX 500 *1530 represents a 10% correction, if it comes to that - next 'long' accumulation point *1600
    Why? - to cover potential upside with index trades since 50% Cash waiting to be invested - gross yields in Australia again touching 10% in selected financials (way to go), utilities, (my favourites) - yummy

    Kind Regards
    Hoop is cool .......Cashed up 3 weeks ago big time (the biggest cash up I've ever done..it took me about a week to get out DB made a fortune in sell fees so they would've been over the moon with me.) ....got 85% of my portfolio as cash in the Trading Account now ....up from 3% cash....best thing I've done all year ..so far my portfolio has been saved from a 5% drop...I'll probably buy back the same shares I sold when the buy signals reappear.

  2. #2
    Senior Member ananda77's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ananda77 View Post
    Hoop:

    - SPX 500 *1530 represents a 10% correction, if it comes to that - next 'long' accumulation point *1600
    Why? - to cover potential upside with index trades since 50% Cash waiting to be invested - gross yields in Australia again touching 10% in selected financials (way to go), utilities, (my favourites) - yummy

    Kind Regards
    ...well this strategy paid off well so far - index 'longs' feeding into the bottom line while 50 % cash waiting. The market may well be driving the SPX 500 up to the *1700/*1750/*1800 area, but the long term oversold state of the index remains a deep concern - as a consequence, risks are extremely high for a double digit correction, which will hurt hurt hurt if ignorant of the risk north of *1687.
    Maintaining a Cash reserve and continue feeding the bottom line remains the favourite strategy

    Kind Regards

  3. #3
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    Well bugger me a 23+ point rise on the 500, a 180 point rise on the DOW, Risk on , good economic data, time to test the waste disposal with my fingers again.
    Last edited by Joshuatree; 14-06-2013 at 08:38 AM.

  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joshuatree View Post
    Well bugger me a 23+ point rise on the 500, a 180 point rise on the DOW, Risk on , good economic data, time to test the waste disposal with my fingers again.
    Amazing..huh Joshuatree ?
    Last night news was an Asian Rout spreading into Europe bourses....I woke up this morning expecting the worst for Wall St..........but it went up to 1636 (+1.46%) !!!!! Go figure!!!

    The S&P500 steps back one pace from the cliffs edge...yet again!!!!!!!

    .......boy o boy what a fight...this old bull is very strong...it just wants to continue upwards and doesn't seem to want a decent healthy correction either....its respected its MA50 touch and bounced up off it, for the second time.

    Early days yet, and it's too early to generate mass investor confidence, but with each failure to technically break down, reinforces the strength of the Bull to be able to kick start another move upwards away from this critical correction trigger area. This bull behaviour may see buyer momentum increase as correction fears slowly fade.

  5. #5
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    Well...how about that........what a strange coincidence
    Hmmmm....interesting....kinda makes you wonder who reads ST...eh?

    We are both using Sentiment Indicators

    His prediction model tracks the percentage of companies in the S&P 500 that are in a P&F bullish pattern. ( topped out at 90%... 450 companies out of 500) .

    My experimental prediction model I post on this ST thread tracks the NYA200r...the percentage of companies that have their price above the MA200 line (topped out at 82%).

    sooo....there are no surprises .... we both have the same results

    Point & Figure Patterns Warn Of $SPX Pullback
    by Joseph Kalinowski


    Last edited by Hoop; 14-06-2013 at 11:20 AM.

  6. #6
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Poor Ben - dug himself a hole so deep he can't get out of it

    Stop qe - a disaster for the rich

    Continue qe - just delays the inevitable and makes it worse

    So lets just muddle along - and hope
    Last edited by winner69; 20-06-2013 at 07:24 AM.

  7. #7
    Senior Member ananda77's Avatar
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    ...will start buying smallish today for a start - CNU - WPL first candidates
    ...nice rout following a prolonged period of extreme high risk set-ups in the market
    ...as market wisdom goes:
    managing risk not returns = key

    Kind Regards

  8. #8
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    Default The Caution warnings are gone the sentiment charts have triggered GET OUT!!

    Quote Originally Posted by ananda77 View Post
    ...will start buying smallish today for a start - CNU - WPL first candidates
    ...nice rout following a prolonged period of extreme high risk set-ups in the market
    ...as market wisdom goes:
    managing risk not returns = key

    Kind Regards
    Youre very Brave Ananda...My portfolio is 85% cash and I've got no intention on entering any markets atm including the NZX50 stocks until I identify a possible inflection point and then wait for a clear reversal evidence...In simples words wait until those buy signal re-emerge....temption to buy "cheap" is a mirage atm

    My experimental sentiment charts has triggered all 4 indicators today with regard to the S&P500 which indicates.....

    GET OUT STAY OUT *
    this is only the beginning
    * This is Hoops analysis..use your own when deciding to invest



  9. #9
    Senior Member ananda77's Avatar
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    ...not really. Am just think *1530 for it to be over, if it comes to that

    Kind Regards
    .

  10. #10
    Senior Member ananda77's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ananda77 View Post
    ...not really. Am just think *1530 for it to be over, if it comes to that
    ...quite sure, with consistent bull bashing below *1630, the bears remain in control and will drive the index into medium term median price around *1530 - consistent with wearing off the extreme long term overbought situ on the index

    ...a successful *1530 defence will then re-ignite the super bull

    Kind Regards
    Last edited by ananda77; 03-07-2013 at 07:41 AM.

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