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  1. #1401
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Phew - so we all fine for tonight and the rest of week.

    A couple of real decent days and S&P500 will get to 2000 .....good one

    Thanks for finding that
    What heck going on

    Now 2000 seems a bridge too far

    Only another bad day to 1900 .......jez hope 1900 holds

  2. #1402
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    At least the S&P has a green arrow today

  3. #1403
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Least it didn't go below 1900 ..good sign

  4. #1404
    Senior Member ananda77's Avatar
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    Friday morning before market Open: iquidity inflows had improved considerably by Thursday end of trading. Some positive fund inflows from large depositors signalled commitment to stop the market rout.
    While positive Fed inflows Thursday were taken out by sheer force of selling, Fridays Fed inflows together with the large fund deposits pushed markets back into positive territory

    kind regards
    Last edited by ananda77; 09-08-2014 at 02:12 PM.

  5. #1405
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    Default Market Cap to GDP: The Buffett Valuation Indicator

    Hi. I came across this article today, and thought it might be of interest to others.
    It talks about one of Buffets ways of measuring where the market is at, and has a few interesting graphs.

    Also enjoyed the name of the author, Doug Short.

    http://www.advisorperspectives.com/d...Cap-to-GDP.php

  6. #1406
    Senior Member ananda77's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ananda77 View Post
    Friday morning before market Open: iquidity inflows had improved considerably by Thursday end of
    trading. Some positive fund inflows from large depositors signalled commitment to stop the market rout.
    While positive Fed inflows Thursday were taken out by sheer force of selling, Fridays Fed inflows together with the large fund deposits pushed markets back into positive territory

    kind regards
    ... large fund deposits confirmed by Al Cashing.
    Further, 7,2b junk funds redeemed, some of which gone into government bonds = caution
    ... but bulk of Cash into the equity markets - small caps outperform currently
    ... anyway, in front of *1940_*1950 resistance, better be patient

    kind regards

  7. #1407
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    There's an old saying in the USA - race riots in the summer; stock market crashes in the fall

    History repeating?

  8. #1408
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    S&P500 to reach the magical 2,000 overnight?

    Whoopee ....long may the merry go round keep going round and round

    Good work Janet et al

  9. #1409
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    19th July...
    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Next week must be the week that 2000 is reached ......wow
    6th August...
    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    What heck going on

    Now 2000 seems a bridge too far

    Only another bad day to 1900 .......jez hope 1900 holds
    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    There's an old saying in the USA - race riots in the summer; stock market crashes in the fall

    History repeating?
    History repeating?... or... Is it following a script being played out from the writings "There and Back Again" - A Hobbit's Tale by Bilbo Baggins ??
    S&P500 closed at 1992...
    2000 tomorrow you reckon Winner

    Beware of the Dragon ????
    Last edited by Hoop; 22-08-2014 at 09:48 AM.

  10. #1410
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Probability of a crash is getting higher by the day using this methodology ....about 70% now


    An arbitrary crash increment “C” say 25-30% of market value, a finite horizon h (in years), and the non-cyclical trajectory of the log-periodic bubble B (excluding the cosine term). Then p(crash) is the solution to the no-arbitrage condition p(crash)*C + (1-p(crash))*h*dB/dt = 0.

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