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Thread: Moving averages

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  1. #7
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    Mar 2010
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    I have shares in AGL that have done OK in a little over 10 months.

    It was a punt based on a morningstar recommendation.

    A transition to green energy and an activist shareholder has me thinking this is no longer the dividend payer I was after and not very comfortable with it.

    Morningstar still has a $13.30 valuation but now only an "accumulate" recommendation. (seems odd as the recommendation price is currently 51% above todays price. That sounds more like a buy to me if you believe in your valuation)

    My question is I am happy to let my profits run but on a purely technical basis what would you look for in price movements to sell at the simplest level. E.g. crossing the 90day moving average or would you use a longer time period.

    Indicators on the ASB securities website are volume, RSI and Stochastic fast and slow I assume a lot of the price movement has been the billionaire buying his stake in the company.

    Torn as I don’t want to sell in case Morningstar is right and I have another 51% upside in capital appreciation but not comfortable with the company. I was thinking maybe TA can stop me selling out too soon.

    The slow Stochastic squiggle is above 80 I guess sell if it drops below that.

    Any thoughts appreciated.
    Last edited by Aaron; 09-06-2022 at 04:03 PM.

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