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19-05-2024, 12:01 PM
#20291
Originally Posted by SailorRob
Given that no human in recorded history has a statistically significant track record of 'totally feeling' where rates will be in 7 months, ..
Would Warren be
Last edited by Habits; 19-05-2024 at 12:02 PM.
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19-05-2024, 12:09 PM
#20292
Originally Posted by Habits
Would Warren be
Woz has stated many times that he has zero ability to predict future rates at any duration from tomorrow to the 50 year or 100 year rate.
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19-05-2024, 06:28 PM
#20293
WOW …Warriors have a stunning victory against all odds over the Panthers. Warriors 22 Panthers 20. Fans saying ‘yes, we are the real deal’ and the future is now looking good …a big reversal in form …’this is our year’ back on track.UP THE WAHS
Oceania share price also reversed last week, like it didn’t fall after 4 weeks of decline. Fans showed their support over the week …good analysis and cheering on. Yes, Oceania is the real deal …and all will see next Friday with stunning full year results. So ‘this is our year’ applies to them as well
So after 4 weeks of not winning and share price declines both Warriors and Oceania did well this week. That’s spooky, especially Warriors beating the highly rated Panthers. Next week going to be good for both so both on track to ‘this is ourvyesr’
UP THE WAHS ….GO OCEANIA
Last edited by winner69; 19-05-2024 at 06:29 PM.
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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19-05-2024, 07:10 PM
#20294
Originally Posted by winner69
WOW …Warriors have a stunning victory against all odds over the Panthers. Warriors 22 Panthers 20. Fans saying ‘yes, we are the real deal’ and the future is now looking good …a big reversal in form …’this is our year’ back on track.UP THE WAHS
Oceania share price also reversed last week, like it didn’t fall after 4 weeks of decline. Fans showed their support over the week …good analysis and cheering on. Yes, Oceania is the real deal …and all will see next Friday with stunning full year results. So ‘this is our year’ applies to them as well
So after 4 weeks of not winning and share price declines both Warriors and Oceania did well this week. That’s spooky, especially Warriors beating the highly rated Panthers. Next week going to be good for both so both on track to ‘this is ourvyesr’
UP THE WAHS ….GO OCEANIA
Results will likely be middling to crap. Mav will post about being extremely disappointed and sell some shares, 2 days later he will repost having crunched the data and found some anomaly than he now sees as very positive, but the shares back and boldly predict $2 by Xmas.
So just a repeat of what happens every year.
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19-05-2024, 08:42 PM
#20295
Originally Posted by SailorRob
Results will likely be middling to crap.
We’ve already been softened up with the recent unexpected announce, these results will just put a full stop on the annual which I expect to ok. More interesting will be some insights into the past two months and outlook for the year. Friday, not long to wait now
Last edited by Baa_Baa; 19-05-2024 at 09:45 PM.
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19-05-2024, 09:41 PM
#20296
Originally Posted by SailorRob
Given that no human in recorded history has a statistically significant track record of 'totally feeling' where rates will be in 7 months, I wouldn't bank on your totally cool vibes too much.
Check out the dot plots of the professional bond traders, pro economists etc..
So in 2025, what multiple does your feelings tell you that home prices to incomes will expand out to? Or are incomes going to go up bigly.
Interested in what you totally feel.
Consider that currently they are up there with the highest in history in the world, Japan in the 80's and Canada now probably higher.
I agree that your way is the proper way to try to work out whether interest rates might drop rather than a self calculated guess.
I also know that my feelings I have are gut instincts of what I personally believe will eventuate. My personal belief is the average house prices will rise by over 5-8% over the next 12 months. Of course I can adjust this thought with more information provided.
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19-05-2024, 10:07 PM
#20297
Originally Posted by Ggcc
I agree that your way is the proper way to try to work out whether interest rates might drop rather than a self calculated guess.
I also know that my feelings I have are gut instincts of what I personally believe will eventuate. My personal belief is the average house prices will rise by over 5-8% over the next 12 months. Of course I can adjust this thought with more information provided.
Fair enough, but I don't have a way to try work out whether rates might drop, and I don't know anyone who does!
That is what I was trying to say.
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20-05-2024, 07:07 AM
#20298
Originally Posted by SailorRob
Fair enough, but I don't have a way to try work out whether rates might drop..
I dont know when rates will drop... There fixed. Alot would agree with that, some argue It'll be this year others argue next year. Some say RBNZ stays hawkish until it isnt
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20-05-2024, 04:12 PM
#20299
Originally Posted by Balance
I will get 100% of my money back plus interest while you will still be wondering about float(ing) sunken OCA boats.
Oceania will 100% for certain do a capital raise before the end of 2023.
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20-05-2024, 04:21 PM
#20300
Member
^^ they did, it was in 2021 (which is before the end of 2023), they spent the money at Hobsonville and some other places too, but i specifically remember the render looking pretty flash, which hooked me in..
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