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  1. #9
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    Default Buffett Test 2: +ve eps trend over 5 years (one setback allowed) FY2017 Perspective

    Quote Originally Posted by Snoopy View Post
    For this exercise I have removed the group's foray into the healthcare sector. I am referring here to the groups purchase of Panacea Healthcare on 04-10-2010, the additional purchase of Nursing NZ on 19th March 2012 and the subsequent sale of the lot on 31-08-2012.

    Earnings figures calculated are adjusted net profit after tax.

    2010: $2.002m/26.125m= 7.7cps
    2011: ($3.212m - $0.003m +0.7x($0.465m) )/26.125m = 13.5cps
    2012: ($2.877m +0.72x($0.167m+$1.100m) )/26.125m = 14.5cps
    2013: $4.952m/25.805m = 19.2cps
    2014: ($3.952m+0.72x(0.095m+0.257m) )/25.804m = 16.3cps
    2015(*): $5.416m/ 32.463m =16.7cps

    Notes:

    1/ Panacea Healthcare NPAT (an non continuing business stream) removed from results for FY2011, not included in FY2012 and FY2013.
    2/ Business acquisition costs removed from FY2011, FY2012 and FY2014.
    3/ Goodwill impairment removed from FY2012.
    4/ Due diligence cost removed from FY2014
    (*) FY2015 results based on abbreviated results released. When full result becomes available it may require adjustment.

    There was one dip in the underlying earnings trend following FY2013, but apart from that the eps path is steadily upwards.

    Conclusion: Pass test
    Just to show there is more than one way of doing things, I have slightly changed the way I am calculating underlying profit. I am now removing property plant and equipment sales profits/losses from all of my calculated profit figures.

    2013: ($4.952m+$0.124m)/ 25.805m = 19.7cps
    2014: ($3.952m-$0.025m+0.72x($0.095m+$0.257m) )/ 25.805m = 16.2cps
    2015: ($5.416m+$0.031m)/ 32.463m = 16.8cps
    2016: ($5.202m+$0.008m)/ 32.463m = 16.0cps
    2017: ($5.867m-$0.050m+0.72x($0.262m+$0.442m) )/ 32.463m = 19.5cps

    Notes:

    1/ Due diligence cost for "Madison" removed from FY2014. "Madison Business" acquisition costs removed from FY2014.
    2/ "Absolute IT" acquisition costs removed from FY2017. Legacy software write down removed from FY2017

    Conclusion: Fail Test
    Last edited by Snoopy; 04-07-2017 at 06:08 PM.
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