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03-06-2009, 08:26 AM
#321
That $24.4m NPAT for 09 is an EPS of 3.2 cents .... and next years (bulllish) forecast of $34m is an eps of 4.5 cents (before consolidation)
NPX hardly hugely undervalued at the moment on these numbers
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03-06-2009, 08:34 AM
#322
Originally Posted by dragonz
Same crowd which have had an 'Accumulate' on Nuplex all the way through a severe profit downgrade cycle from October last year!
Sep 2008 - sp $6.40 - Accumulate - Earnings trimmed
Nov 2008 - sp $3.80 - Buy - Share price too low
Dec 2008 - sp $3.50 - Accumulate - Profit downgrade
???? Buy high, buy lower, keep buying ????
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03-06-2009, 08:45 AM
#323
Originally Posted by Balance
Same crowd which have had an 'Accumulate' on Nuplex all the way through a severe profit downgrade cycle from October last year!
Sep 2008 - sp $6.40 - Accumulate - Earnings trimmed
Nov 2008 - sp $3.80 - Buy - Share price too low
Dec 2008 - sp $3.50 - Accumulate - Profit downgrade
???? Buy high, buy lower, keep buying ????
Another fine example of how to make a killing on the market - shoot your broker (or financial advisor)
(said in jest of course, and not to be taken seriously)
Last edited by biker; 03-06-2009 at 08:46 AM.
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03-06-2009, 08:48 AM
#324
Originally Posted by biker
Another fine example of how to make a killing on the market - shoot your broker (or financial advisor)
(said in jest of course, and not to be taken seriously)
Bad boy, Biker.
No hot tips for you from your broker for a week?
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03-06-2009, 09:07 AM
#325
People should use figures post consolidation now therefore morning stars assumptions roughly equate to 18c eps and on a pe of 14 still equates roughly to 2.50 share price hughly under valued at 1.60 odd.
If things go back to normal in the world 66mil npat , 35c eps , pe 14 , share price 5 dollars
this assumes world has v recovery.
one step ahead of the herd
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03-06-2009, 09:27 AM
#326
Originally Posted by bull....
People should use figures post consolidation now therefore morning stars assumptions roughly equate to 18c eps and on a pe of 14 still equates roughly to 2.50 share price hughly under valued at 1.60 odd.
If things go back to normal in the world 66mil npat , 35c eps , pe 14 , share price 5 dollars
this assumes world has v recovery.
Why PE 14?
Why not 20?
Or 8?
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03-06-2009, 09:52 AM
#327
5 yr average pe approx 12.5 , so im assuming pe 14 to allow for out performance.
one step ahead of the herd
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03-06-2009, 10:22 AM
#328
Can someone tell me how the higher commodity prices and higher NZD will affect NPX?
I am assuming NPX uses a significant amount of petrochemical and report in NZD.
Having got ourselves into a debt-induced economic crisis, the only permanent way out is to reduce the debt – either directly by abolishing large slabs of it, or indirectly by inflating it away.
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03-06-2009, 10:24 AM
#329
Member
I happen to just read Aspect Huntley's new rating report on NPX last night. You know what, it is exactly the same as the Morning Star's one. Is Aspect Huntley just another name for Morning Star, or do they just copy from each other?
Last edited by The BOWMAN; 03-06-2009 at 10:44 AM.
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03-06-2009, 10:57 AM
#330
Originally Posted by bull....
5 yr average pe approx 12.5 , so im assuming pe 14 to allow for out performance.
bull .....
NPX grew over the years thru' acquisitions, using debt.
Those days are long gone and with it, NPX's growth profile. PE of 14 when you can buy good quality stocks on PEs of less than 10?
I like the company but not enough to rate it as a growth out performance stock. Only reason why it got so high was because Fisher 'ramp-them-up-high" fund was buying.
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