2017 Stock Picking Contest

[klid]

The 2017 competition is open for entries until Monday 9th January 2017 at 09:00 am - you can make and change your selections up until this time.

2017 entries can be seen at: https://stocktastic.co.nz/rankings/2017 (http://stocktastic.co.nz/rankings/2017)

The entry form is here: https://stocktastic.co.nz/entry-form - And/Or you may post your selections here and I will enter them for you.
When submitting entries on the website you will need to enter:

Name, or alias that will be shown in the competition
Email, to be used if you need to be contacted
Token, which you will need to re-enter in the entry form along with new selections if you wish to change your entry



Please let me know if there are / aren't stocks that shouldn't / should be in the selection list!


The rules, also listed here - https://stocktastic.co.nz/rules are:



Entries are made and are able to be subsequently modified by using the entry form (http://www.sharetrader.co.nz/stocktastic.co.nz/entry-form) on this site, and/or by posting in this thread.
Entries will close on Monday, 9th January 2016 at 9:00am.
Only one entry in each yearly competition is permitted per person.
You may not use the alias that belongs to someone else on sharetrader.co.nz, or misrepresent another person.
Five selections must be made, the same stock cannot be selected twice. The entry form will enforce this.
There is a predefined list of stocks to select from, which will be those that are listed on the NZSX or NZAX and with a market capitalisation of at least $10 million as at 1st December 2016.
Everyone has the same entry price, that will be the closing price of the stock on the last day of trading before the competiton begins- this will be the close price on Friday 6th January 2017.
Competition closes with last traded prices on the last trading day in the 2016 calendar year.
Dividends will be incorporated, rights issues will not. Any other random distributions will be incorporated, at the discretion of the contest administrator.
If a selection delists or otherwise somehow disolves; it will be kept but manually adjusted in your selections to reflect the realised situation resulting from the event causing this.

[JayRiggs]

Hey klid,
The form seems to be missing Tegel Group Holdings (TGH).

[Gizzajob I can do that]

Hey klid,
The form seems to be missing Tegel Group Holdings (TGH).

A little bird tells me you will be picking Tegel, lol

[Vaygor1]

Hi Klid.

Thanks for running the comp again. Very much appreciated.

Can you add ALF please?
Current market cap is $0.066 x 160,635,350 shares = $10.6 million.
It is after 5pm on 30-Nov now, tomorrow 1-Dec, so assuming it qualifies on that basis?

Regards, Vaygor.

[axe]

IQE is on the entry form .... maybe it could be taken off? :)

[777]

IPL missing also.

[klid]

Thanks all:

Added ALF IPL PIL TGH
Removed IQE

[winner69]

Thanks all:

Added ALF IPL PIL TGH
Removed IQE

What - no IQE

Certainty to be the star stock of 2017

22 of us suffered this year - we should be given the chance to redeem themselves next year

[stevevai1983]

added my entry for now :) we still have 1 month , so i might change depends on stock price
This is actually my real portfolio
ARV SUM EBO IFT RYM

i also have lots of SKC but I think it wont perform well next year...

[golden city]

peb cav thl nzr cgl

[Lewylewylewy]

CGL?! Really?

[winner69]

CGL?! Really?

Its got a bigger market cap than That doyen of education companies Intueri

Not allowed to enter Intueri in 2017 comp. Please let us,please

So 22 of us miss out on big recovery in 2017

[Snow Leopard]

I have made two unsuccessful attempt to enter the 2017 contest via the stocktastic website:

The first attempt kept claiming that I had not picked five different stocks which was patently not true but I had entered a different combination of name & email address (ie made a typo) from last year and I think that was the actual problem.

On the second attempt my internet connection went down when I hit the submit button.
Restoration involved my ISP rebooting their router for the entire apartment complex so I am loath to try it again.

Best Wishes
Paper Tiger

[klid]

:) If you like you can post the picks and I will enter. It's not related to this/last years in that you no longer need to register an account and log in to make a selection, rather just complete the form, and, if you wish to override your entry before the competition closes -- you can put in another entry with the same email and "change token", which I really should've called something else.

[Lewylewylewy]

No tiger, don't try again! You'll take down the southern Cross link! 😝

[Antipodean]

Can you please add NTL? $12m mcap as of 01/12/2016

[Lewylewylewy]

I'm looking your pics for this year, Antipodean.

I think pgw could be a good gamble for the end of next year too, but decided against putting that.

[percy]

Kept coming up I had selected the same stocks twice,so please put the following picks in for me.
ALF,
HLG
MCK.
THL
TNR.
thanks

[janner]

Kept coming up I had selected the same stocks twice,so please put the following picks in for me.
ALF,
HLG
MCK.
THL
TNR.
thanks

Always interested in your picks percy..

MCK ???.. Good grief .. Their ROE was only 9% against the industry average of 40%...

You know something you would NOT like to share :-))

[percy]

Always interested in your picks percy..

MCK ???.. Good grief .. Their ROE was only 9% against the industry average of 40%...

You know something you would NOT like to share :-))

"Well positioned".
Refurbished hotel,another hotel [leased] added to their portfolio.
Tourism numbers are growing.The "season" is now longer.A bit like a retailer,the extra revenue should go straight to the bottom line.
Half year in February should be interesting.
Next year Lions Tour and Masters games.
Maybe,just maybe, their eps growth will be twice their PE.?Now that will be fun.!!..lol.

ps.HBL remains my largest holding.

[Lewylewylewy]

"Well positioned".
Refurbished hotel,another hotel [leased] added to their portfolio.
Tourism numbers are growing.The "season" is now longer.A bit like a retailer,the extra revenue should go straight to the bottom line.
Half year in February should be interesting.
Next year Lions Tour and Masters games.
Maybe,just maybe, their eps growth will be twice their PE.?Now that will be fun.!!..lol.

ps.HBL remains my largest holding.

Yup, Percy picks are always well researched and therefore interesting. What's more interesting to me, is that people's picks reflect what they predict for the year. For example, some people have picked exporters and therefore obviously think that the NZD will be low vs other currency.

So Percy, can we deduct that you think that the property market will stay hot with the pick of MCK, or you think it won't be a big factor?

[janner]

"Well positioned".
Refurbished hotel,another hotel [leased] added to their portfolio.
Tourism numbers are growing.The "season" is now longer.A bit like a retailer,the extra revenue should go straight to the bottom line.
Half year in February should be interesting.
Next year Lions Tour and Masters games.
Maybe,just maybe, their eps growth will be twice their PE.?Now that will be fun.!!..lol.

ps.HBL remains my largest holding.


:-)))) Not convinced.. Time will tell all ..

Like yourself Percy.. HBL is still my largest holding

[janner]

Yup, Percy picks are always well researched and therefore interesting. What's more interesting to me, is that people's picks reflect what they predict for the year. For example, some people have picked exporters and therefore obviously think that the NZD will be low vs other currency.

So Percy, can we deduct that you think that the property market will stay hot with the pick of MCK, or you think it won't be a big factor?

MCK is An hotel group .. That is not performing ..

[percy]

Yup, Percy picks are always well researched and therefore interesting. What's more interesting to me, is that people's picks reflect what they predict for the year. For example, some people have picked exporters and therefore obviously think that the NZD will be low vs other currency.

So Percy, can we deduct that you think that the property market will stay hot with the pick of MCK, or you think it won't be a big factor?

MCK's property company CDI should continue to do well,but it is MCK's hotels that should surprise.An extra hotel,and a refurbished hotel will mean greater room rates,which means greater margin.With a lot longer "season", of at least two to three months,plus the Lions Tour and Masters games,occupancy rates will sky rocket,while overheads will stay about the same.With such demand I would expect they have the capacity to increase room rates at all their hotels.No more pay for two stay three nights.!
I have also picked THL for the same reasons ,ie increase in tourist season and The Lions Tour,and Masters games.
HLG,The strengthen NZ dollar,strong retail sales,upgraded stores,new stores,and rapidly growing online sales means they are doing the business,I looked at Glasson's Northlands Mall store last week.Outstanding,and flatout.Hallensteins store was also well laid out.
TNR,With such a strong brand,solid balance sheet ,lower NZ $,and the strenghtened business model;sell cars,add profitable finance and insurance,makes TNRs are my second largest holding. Turners is a very strong brand.
ALF.Any company that can survive the upheavals they have been through,and having sorted out their finances,can now focus on profitable growth.I don't hold many,but will consider buying more depending on their announcements.They are very client/customer driven.
I did not put in EVO,which I have a good holding.It was a toss up between ALF and them. Thought it will be easier for ALF to go from 6 cents to 12 cents,while EVO going from $1 to $2 will be unlikely in a year.Maybe $1.30 to $1,40?

[Joshuatree]

Don't forget to enter both NZX and ASX comp folks. looks like quite a big cash prize building ,with the Kudos for ASX winner 2017:t_up:

[Crow]

Please can you add my selections, ARV, GTK, MPG, SUM, MEL?
Thank you

[minimoke]

I can see I'll have to get the infamous RNG out again. Currently holding 108th/207 place this year (much worse than my 12th ranking last year ) but stil better than All Stocks And All Contestants. And 6.6% stil better than having my money in the bank.

[Antipodean]

I'm looking your pics for this year, Antipodean.

I think pgw could be a good gamble for the end of next year too, but decided against putting that.

Liking? Thanks.

I'm sticking to some of the bigger fish this year - though I have added NTL instead of THL now leaving me with: AIR HBL RBD NZR NTL

[percy]

"M-Social" opposite Queens wharf, won't open till March 2017. Out of action most of year.


Only just added to portfolio, will add little to current reporting period.


Feb will be full year reporting to EOY 31 Dec 16.



ROE not helped by having AUD$60+m Sydney property not contributing to bottom line.
ChCh hotel not rebuilt yet, and no current plan to do so.



Queenstown properties will be raking in the cash. CDI will perform well.

Thank you for your detailed post.
Certainly "well positioned" for a fantastic 2017 year.

[gmatt]

hi Klid ...... I can't change my picks on the site for some reason ..... now that NTL is in, my picks are:

BLT CAV NTL RBC THL

thks

disc ....... hold them all

[JBmurc]

my picks ....PGW,NZO,OGC,THL,NTL

disc-- nil held .....but might well buy some in the new year

[Vaygor1]

Hi Kild.

It appears there is a calc issue with stocktastic. Referring to this screenshot taken this morning....

8544

RYM's $8.34 is down from the price at the start of the year of $8.46, not 4.43% up.
If adding Ryman's two unimputed dividend payments during the course of the year totalling 17 cents, then $8.34 + $0.17 = $8.51 .. an increase of %0.6%, not 4.43% up.

.. or have I missed something?

I haven't looked at any of the other shares at this stage.

[777]

Hi Kild.

It appears there is a calc issue with stocktastic. Referring to this screenshot taken this morning....

8544



RYM's $8.34 is down from the price at the start of the year of $8.46, not 4.43% up.
If adding Ryman's two unimputed dividend payments during the course of the year totalling 17 cents, then $8.34 + $0.17 = $8.51 .. an increase of %0.6%, not 4.43% up.

.. or have I missed something?

I haven't looked at any of the other shares at this stage.

If you look at the top of the table it states that the prices are as at 30/11/16. It hasn't updated since then. It would suggest problems in all figures.

[waikare]

One change from last year, RYM out and HLG in
ATM
FPH
PGW
HLG
TIL

[klid]

Prices weren't updating because I didn't put a year start price for the new stocks added for next year - sorted.
Added/modified everyones entries as per posts.

[shasta]

Picks for 2017, not that i follow the NZX that closely.

IFT - Could see some corporate activity given low debt to equity, otherwise solid return expected
NZX - Few more listings, new revenue streams who knows, a punt
OGC - Gold/Copper to outperform in 2017
RBC - I always tend to pick them, awaiting the complex and prolonged TEN saga to unwind at some stage, some value in all this...maybe
XRO - Expand, expand expand, at some point might wanna book a profit, can it turn around back towards previous highs?

Thanks again for running the comp

[iceman]

hi Klid ...... I can't change my picks on the site for some reason ..... now that NTL is in, my picks are:

BLT CAV NTL RBC THL

thks

disc ....... hold them all

I have the same issue. The website will not let me change my picks. Says I have selected the same stock multiple times, when I haven't.
Would appreciate if you could change it for me Klid to:
TNR
THL
PPH
SAN
HLG

Thanks and merry christmas to all

[airedale]

Surprised to come 12th this year with 27%
So next year will be :
MEL
SPK
TIL
TGH
MHJ

[airedale]

Picks for 2017, not that i follow the NZX that closely.

IFT - Could see some corporate activity given low debt to equity, otherwise solid return expected
NZX - Few more listings, new revenue streams who knows, a punt
OGC - Gold/Copper to outperform in 2017
RBC - I always tend to pick them, awaiting the complex and prolonged TEN saga to unwind at some stage, some value in all this...maybe
XRO - Expand, expand expand, at some point might wanna book a profit, can it turn around back towards previous highs?

Thanks again for running the comp


Hi Shasta I would also have picked OGC but I see that on the 28th Nov they announced that they were de-listing from NZX.

[Joshuatree]

Thanks gf. I missed getting a copy. Trutest??.Is that listing soon ? thanks in advance.


Broker Picks

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11772325

[Beagle]

Broker Picks

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11772325

? = inconclusive signal based on simple 100 day MA, i.e. in my opinion its too close to 100 day MA to give any sort of reliable indicator

First N.Z. FPH, CEN, SML, XRO and TGH all fail and all trading below their 100 day MA.

Forbar - CBL looks okay for a TA perspective as does THL, (hold), FPH, see above, EVO ?, IFT, NO, (what a shocker !).

Vulcan Capital PEB, yes, PIL yes, Tru Test , no, Turners yes, (hold) N.Z. Salmon, ticker code, thanks Percy, too young for reliable TA.

JB Were Fonterra yes, Evolve ?, FPH No, MFT yes, CEN, no.

Craigs CEN no, Fonterra yes, Gentrack ?[ MFT yes, RBD no

Hamilton Hinden Green Rym no, GNE no, FPH no, Chorous and Opus Int Consultants ?

Hobson Wealth Management FPH no, MFT yes, RBD no, Trustpower no, Vista group no

MSL Capital Markets AIA no, Green Cross Health no, Heartland ? Plexure no, Synlait no.

So there's a simple 100 day MA filter run over the broker picks.

Highlighted stocks are ones I will look further into as possible acquisitions in 2017 based on meeting or possibly meeting basic 100 day MA, not currently held and are not obviously disqualified for other reasons I'm currently aware of in terms of my own personal investment criteria.

Please DYOR.

[percy]

NZK. New Zealand King Salmon.
TruTest.Well worth the fun of seeing who the chairman and CEO are.
[best not to mention the debt they carry,or what the company's foccuss is]
I wish them well.!! [from a distance].

[amalgam]

Hey Klid..could you please add FLI to the list. ( market cap $49 m). Thanks. amalgam

[Minerbarejet]

One favourite and four random picks via a random letter and number generator.

The Old Favourite.
PEB

Randoms
IPL
THL
GMT
VCT

See how it goes, never know your luck, eh.

[shasta]

Picks for 2017, not that i follow the NZX that closely.

IFT - Could see some corporate activity given low debt to equity, otherwise solid return expected
NZX - Few more listings, new revenue streams who knows, a punt
OGC - Gold/Copper to outperform in 2017
RBC - I always tend to pick them, awaiting the complex and prolonged TEN saga to unwind at some stage, some value in all this...maybe
XRO - Expand, expand expand, at some point might wanna book a profit, can it turn around back towards previous highs?

Thanks again for running the comp



OK, I see OGC being delisted from the NZX.

Please replace with THL

Cheers

[Snoopy]

Hi Klid. Please can I have my representative portfolio for 2017 as follows:

CEN: 'farmed' energy business (something that everyone needs) with dry/wet year robustness at a reasonable share price. Good divie payer.
RBD: value added food staple with three promising growth paths (Carl's Junior in NZ, 'Pizza Hut'/'Taco Bell' in US Pacific Islands and KFC in Australia, both with acquired businesses which retain proven local management).
SKC: the forgotten 'tourism share' should bounce back in Auckland with a 'Lion's Roar' in 2017. Problems in the Chinese high roller business has reduced share price to reasonable levels.
SKL: well capitalised business, coming off dairy and mining market (particularly iron ore) lows. Mercedes driveshaft contract for China potentially a game changing breakthrough for Italian arm.
SPK: The perennial 'go to' player for telecommunications services in NZ. Progress leveraging their strong mobile market position. Good dividend payer.

SNOOPY

PS I am continuing to note why I am invested in they above companies. This is in the interests of keeping myself honest if company circumstances change.

[garfy]

Hi, Klid, my picks for 1917 -

AIR, ARV, PIL, SCL, THL

Thanks for running this again. Cheers for the New Year.

Garfy.

[SCOTTY]

Hi Klid
Many thanks for what you do for us.
Please enter for me:
CGL
FLI
GFL
NZR
SLI

Cheers

[DarkHorse]

My NZ portfolio was up 27% for 2016 - but my comp picks made 5.8% ^^
Best I stick with what I know for a respectable return. (much more value among asx small caps)
TNR, THL, HGL, SCY, EVO
Thank you Klid

[bear]

Hi Klid

Could you put me down for the following

HBL
AIR
XRO
CEN
ATM

thanks Bear

[RGR367]

Hi Klid

Thanks for everything you've done about our contest last year and on doing them all again this year.
Entering all my speculative stocks hoping against all hope that they all go astronomical this year :p

BLT
OHE
PEB
RAK
XRO

[Lewylewylewy]

Can you change my picks please? The password that I thought I entered in there doesn't work :(

My new picks are: RBD, NZR, EBO, THL, POT

Feeling good about a couple of these, but not as confident as I was last year :(

PS: Thanks so much for running the competition - it's been lots of fun :)

[lissica]

I'll add

- MFT
- FRE
- RYM
- GXH
- IFT

[Joshuatree]

Lots of entries is great. Think about the ASX comp too.This year there is quite a pot of cash building for the winner ,as entries come in. I will be offering a prize for 7th place again as well.

[Cool Bear]

Hi Klid

Can I please have
AIR
ARG
HBL
NTL
PGW

Thanks. Cool Bear

[bohemian]

Hi Kid
Can you put me down for
SCL
FPH
AIR
THL
ATM

Thanks

[Lola]

Hi Klid

Thanks for everything you've done about our contest last year and on doing them all again this year.
Entering all my speculative stocks hoping against all hope that they all go astronomical this year :p

BLT
OHE
PEB
RAK
XRO

Klid
For me please
OHE
SML
SLG
AFL
GTK

Thanks

HNY .... happy NY

[klid]

Thanks for the brokers' picks; I added them.

Added/changed all the other ones.
Lola - AFL I'm assuming you mean ALF.
DarkHorse - HGL I assume you mean HLG.

[Lola]

Thanks for the brokers' picks; I added them.

Added/changed all the other ones.
Lola - AFL I'm assuming you mean ALF.
DarkHorse - HGL I assume you mean HLG.

Correct Klid
Apologies for that
Be a while b 4 they list the AFL
CHeers
Lola

[Lewylewylewy]

Can I get EBO instead of RBO, please? I think having RBO might hamstring me a bit lol

Hmmm, really want to put FPH in there, but not sure what to take out. FPH is a gamble on the legals they've got going on right now, and I don't have enough fair in the US legal system to put them down as a punt (although my personal holdings show different :) )

[bull....]

CAV
FSF
NZR
SCL
HBL

thanks Klid

[Big Blind]

FRE
IFT
SCL
EVO
AIR

Same picking process as last year. 3 dead certs plus a couple of loose units. I'll tell you in 12 months which ones are which

thanks Klid

[amalgam]

Hi there Klid--my picks
TNR
ALF
FLI
THL
PIL
Thanks for running the competition..amalgam

[Pricey]

Hello hello

BLT
CBL
PPH
HBL
ATM

Goodbye Goodbye :)

[Baa_Baa]

Errors in picks:

Lewylewylewy - RBO not valid
$$griffey$$ - AFT picked twice

This may be the same person with two entries, slightly different:



buddha's pal

AIR ALF IFT SLI PLX









buddha beer

AIR ALF IFT RYM PLX

[Gonzo]

stock picking 2017
PIL
EBO
CAV
HBL
STU
Newbie Never entered before

[newtrader]

IFT
AIR
FPH
EBO
BGR

Thanks Klid!

[777]

To save Klid's time you can enter your selections yourself.


https://www.stocktastic.co.nz/entry-form

[winner69]

To save Klid's time you can enter your selections yourself.


https://www.stocktastic.co.nz/entry-form

Pretty simple straight forward process isn't it 777

[newtrader]

Done, thanks for the tip!


To save Klid's time you can enter your selections yourself.


https://www.stocktastic.co.nz/entry-form

[JeremyALD]

Very interesting to see AIR the number 1 pick across ShareTrader....not sure I agree with that one. I can definitely see a solid return from the stock but it's pretty cyclical that it could also go the other way.

[Jantar]

Air is one of my picks too, but I certainly hope that it does go the other way, then I can buy more. Even if earnings end up at the lower end of guidance they will still pay 20 cps dividend and that is just as good, or even better than seeing a 10% rise in the SP.

[Joshuatree]

Thanks Baa-Baa
ASX comp closes 15/1/17 at midnight. About $360 in the pot prize money.
Have a crack.

[DarkHorse]

Thanks for the brokers' picks; I added them.

Added/changed all the other ones.
Lola - AFL I'm assuming you mean ALF.
DarkHorse - HGL I assume you mean HLG.

Yes thanks Klid - meant HLG - apologies for my lexiadys :)

[h2so4]

MCK
MET
RBD
ALF
AWF
Cheers

[horus1]

Pil
cvt
tlt
tnr
atm

[blockhead]

Blocky

SCL, HBL, BRL, FPH, THL

BRL being the dark horse in the coal pile !

[biker]

atm , cen, peb, rbc, tnr.

[klid]

Thanks Baa I knew about Lewy's RBO and changed that, no idea how Grimey has that pick twice. Hopefully it was me changing it manually and he has a post here, I will look later. Hopefully everything is in order for the competition to start counting tomorrow.

[troyvdh]

Thanks baa baa

CEN RYM SUM PFI MET...hold most cheers

[Toulouse - Luzern]

My picks:
AIA CBL MCK SOL SCL
Thanks and regards

[hamish]

Hi All,

Here's a publicly available outlook report for 2017 from NZ First Capital spanning markets and geographies. Their forecast thinking on the NZX, by top 50, is graphed on page 9.

https://www.fnzc.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/FNZC-Investment-Outlook-Dec16-final-sc.pdf

Hamish

[blockhead]

Blocky

SCL, HBL, BRL, FPH, THL

BRL being the dark horse in the coal pile !



My mistake KLID, of course we can't do BRL, it is Oz listing only now, substitute ZEL instead if you could,

[klid]

Cool so we have 208 entries excluding the Brokers. I need to do some quality assurance and make sure there are no bad entries so will do that at some stage.

We're beating the Brokers! For now :)

[amalgam]

Hi there Klid--my picks
TNR
ALF
FLI
THL
PIL
Thanks for running the competition..amalgam

Hello Kris. I think you have missed me
Thanks. amalgam

[amalgam]

Hello Klid.. Meant Klid not Kris (an auto spelling check problem..my phone thinks it's brighter than me & probably is); amalgam

[winner69]

So Brucy09 first out of thecstallsand early leader

[klid]

Added amalgam, and did a price update - Brucy09 no longer winning :ohmy:

[klid]

My picks:
AIA CBL MCK SOL SCL
Thanks and regards
Sorry this is invalid - (No SOL).

[klid]

As for the pick by $$griffey$$ -- I don't know how the same stock managed to be selected twice but I'm putting it on you to contact me and let me know what the story is. No valid email was specified on the form and there is no member here with the exact name so I cannot make contact. Entry removed until it becomes clear.

[clip]

Just got back from holiday late last night and saw this, too late to put in a cheeky entry? :)
ALF CBL SCL AIA MPG

[Fisherking]

Nice job Percy, keep that return up for the rest of the year and you'll be a happy man.

[percy]

Nice job Percy, keep that return up for the rest of the year and you'll be a happy man.

Ha ha, thank you,
You could say I am "well positioned."...lol.

[Joshuatree]

This is fun ; i shot from 3rd to re 153rd in a few hours!!; reminds me of the Luge in Rotorua:D Exhilarating all the way down.

[nextbigthing]

Poor old Balance all the way down there at 198. He's so loyal to NZO and PEB though.

[pierre]

Poor old Balance all the way down there at 198. He's so loyal to NZO and PEB though.

Lol - noticed that myself this morning. Hopefully this is a good omen for a relatively peaceful year on ST (somehow I doubt it though).

[NZSilver]

Hbl, atm, cen, til, sum

[Antipodean]

Thanks klid for organising all this.

My race to the bottom is underway heh. I think I will live or die by NTL this year more than anything.

[Pricey]

Are picks still being uploaded, or did I miss the cutoff date? Posted on 5/12/2017


Hello hello

BLT
CBL
PPH
HBL
ATM

Goodbye Goodbye :)

[Toulouse - Luzern]

Hi Klid.

My apologies to all for the typo ...
My intention was to have Solution Dynamics SDL not SOL
Is it possible to have
AIA CBL MCK SDL SCL

Thanks and regards

[Antipodean]

Are picks still being uploaded, or did I miss the cutoff date? Posted on 5/12/2017

I think 5/12/2017 might be passed the cutoff date....

[Big Blind]

FRE
IFT
SCL
EVO
AIR

Same picking process as last year. 3 dead certs plus a couple of loose units. I'll tell you in 12 months which ones are which

thanks Klid


Hi Klid,

Please can you add me. Looks like I'm not loaded yet.

Cheers

[LAC]

Hi Guys,
The stocktastic website competition/rankings page allowed for users to hover over a stock and get the % up or down. That function has stopped working for me, can someone jump on there and tell me if it works for them?

[777]

Hi Guys,
The stocktastic website competition/rankings page allowed for users to hover over a stock and get the % up or down. That function has stopped working for me, can someone jump on there and tell me if it works for them?

I miss that too. It stopped working in the 2016 competition as well. Now all you get is a spinning wheel.

[LAC]

I miss that too. It stopped working in the 2016 competition as well. Now all you get is a spinning wheel.
Ditto, I thought it was just me in the 2016 comp because I just used my MAC but today I decided to get my old laptop going and noticed that its the same with Chrome and IE.
Hope it gets fixed, I liked that function.

[klid]

Hi Guys,
The stocktastic website competition/rankings page allowed for users to hover over a stock and get the % up or down. That function has stopped working for me, can someone jump on there and tell me if it works for them?

lol yeah my friend keeps hassling me about that - it's a good feature - it is indeed broken - but I certainly plan on fixing it!!!

[klid]

Added missing entries!

Removed the entry for buddha's pal -- thanks Baa as yes I believe they are the same person and this one was entered before the other one so taking the other one as an override.

[klid]

lol yeah my friend keeps hassling me about that - it's a good feature - it is indeed broken - but i certainly plan on fixing it!!!

yay fixed!

[Jantar]

yay fixed!
But now the link to Stokastic doesn't

[klid]

But now the link to Stokastic doesn't

Thanks have fixed.

[forest]

Hi klid, I entered my entries using the drop down box provided. Easy to use but I was a little rushed and just realised that instead of ALF, I entered AFT. I don't follow AFT and feel very positive about the turn around of ALF.
If you can change it to my intended entry ALF that would be great other wise I have a wild card as one of my entries.

I enjoy the competition, Cheers forest

[see weed]

Roger Roger where art thou.

[clearasmud]

If its not too late my picks are:

HBL
HLG
RYM
SCL
TLT

Thanks.
Clearasmud.

[whirly]

Just got back from holiday and missed entry so will post my picks here for my own reference.
AIA
MEL
RAK
SCL
TIL

Happy punting all.

[Rabbi]

Can I replace OGC (being delisted) with SPK please

[Jinx]

For myself/if its possible:

THL
EBO
SUM
PPH
TNR

Good luck to all holders!

[Sideshow Bob]

If the others are allowed late entries, then.......

ATM
EBO
NZR
FPH
HBL

Understand if not possible!

[hoyinma]

If late entry allowed, here are my picks:

ebo
hbl
fph
aia
scl

cheers

[Vaygor1]

Hi Klid.

I noticed this rule on the Sharetrader ASX 2017 forum..

"7 - entry price is the higher of first-traded price from the day following your posting your selections and the first traded price
on the first trading day of the year. This discourages late comers from optimising their entry price during the 2 week grace period."

Seems like a good rule. A very marginal penalty (if any) for entering late hopefully keeping all entrants happy.
Not sure if can or desire to implement it this year, but if not then maybe a rule to keep in mind for next year?

Vaygor1.

[klid]

Hi Vaygor1; thanks... I do agree with that -- but I'd rather not do that as it means I have to record different starting prices for different people. It also makes the thing extremely difficult to audit.

I'd be more inclined after this years flurry of late entries - of simply delaying the start date of the competition by another week. Gotta make things simple for me... ;)

In saying that -- I've had a suggestion to change the competition; I've explained to the person that the competition is what it is so there would be no such change - but thought perhaps this could be an additional competition or a side competition.

Whereby; you pick 5 stocks just like you do now but throughout the year you can change stocks, and you will realise your profit/loss at that stage and then continue on with the other stock. Any desire for such a thing?

By the way; top 5 as at close of Monday 16th Jan - sorry I just have to because last year I was leading but it certainly didn't last:

Rank


Alias
Stocks
Change


1
klid
IFT ALF SCY TNR MCK

5.61%



2
Wetfish
EVO PPH SKO THL TNR

5.25%



3
Thor
PPH SKO CEN AIR SML

4.79%



4
Hamish
IFT AIA SKC MHJ FPH

4.71%



5
james108
OIC MHJ EVO IFT RBD

4.71%

[Joshuatree]

Good for you Kild , take a bask:t_up: you deserve it, catering to all of us ,in such good humour.

[Baa_Baa]

Some minor changes in the data has resulted in slight movements amongst the Top 10. This should be the last Top 21 Summary

8619

Good luck to all entrants.

[percy]

OMG.
Looks as though I am going to have a year from hell.!!
Janner is 10 places ahead of me.!!
What's he doing lying in 7th place.
WDT as one of his picks.!!!

[winner69]

OMG.
Looks as though I am going to have a year from hell.!!
Janner is 10 places ahead of me.!!
What's he doing lying in 7th place.
WDT as one of his picks.!!!

You'll be OK when you reclaim your rightful Top 10 placing

Then again this could be WDT's year

Janner prob has a million shares in the bottom drawer

[janner]

You'll be OK when you reclaim your rightful Top 10 placing

Then again this could be WDT's year

Janner prob has a million shares in the bottom drawer

I am sure that percy will be up there as usual..

A million shares ??.. Sold mine for 6 pence or cents. It was that long ago I can not remember the currency.

A dog for all these years. Maybe .. Just Maybe, this dog is going to have it's day.

Disc. NOT a holder.

[percy]

I am sure that percy will be up there as usual..

A million shares ??.. Sold mine for 6 pence or cents. It was that long ago I can not remember the currency.

A dog for all these years. Maybe .. Just Maybe, this dog is going to have it's day.

Disc. NOT a holder.

What a great day.
Lawns mowed,rubbish out.
First library of the year organised for next Monday.
But wait.Ho,ho ho.
Moved 0.49% and three places ahead of Janner.!!!!!

[janner]

What a great day.
Lawns mowed,rubbish out.
First library of the year organised for next Monday.
But wait.Ho,ho ho.
Moved 0.49% and three places ahead of Janner.!!!!!

You are not going to faze me perc..

Coldest night so far last night Minus 21
However I will be back in NZ on the 2nd for some sun sea and sand..
And of course a feed of a leg of lamb. I feel how Ben Gunn did over cheese.

[nextbigthing]

However I will be back in NZ on the 2nd for some sun.

NZ summer's being a bit tight this year, it's BYO sun.

[percy]

You are not going to faze me perc..

Coldest night so far last night Minus 21
However I will be back in NZ on the 2nd for some sun sea and sand..
And of course a feed of a leg of lamb. I feel how Ben Gunn did over cheese.

That is cold.
Great timing,summer starts February when the schools go back.
I think you and me are going to be neck and neck this year.
OMG,to end up being beaten by WDT,may be too much for me???..lol

[janner]

And I have no " position " :-))) ...

[Vaygor1]

Hi Klid.

Can you please clarify if the Change column in Stocktastic updates regularly (and as such the ranking column updates at the same time)?

1st place as I type is James108. His picks and corresponding increases are
OIC +2.17%
MHJ +11.45%
EVO +12.5%
IFT +6.53%
RBD +3.49%

This works out to an average of +7.226% yet the %age change column says +6.84%


Looking at my current rank of 19 I get:
RYM +3.04%
SUM +1.29%
ALF +13.04%
CDI +7.04%
AIA +6.23%

The average for the above is +6.23% yet the change column says +4.08%

The share price for each stock appears to come up correctly (in real time) when clicking on its ticker code so just curious if I am missing something obvious here or not.
Even though my %age up and down for each stock has changed a lot in the past week, I seem to be stuck at 19th place.

Vaygor1

[littletramp]

On the 2017 stock picking table, is there any reason why GTK is showing 100% loss? Some of us unfortunates who picked them are showing exaggerated losses for this early in the piece. https://stocktastic.co.nz/

[777]

I note that the Stocktastic page has not updated today. Prices are as at sometime yesterday. (actually "Updates hourly. Last updated: Tuesday 24 Jan 2017 - 10:02am")

[klid]

yeah gentrack is returning as 0 price from Google and then I am trying to divide by zero and that generally doesn't work out too well. Ill do something to deal with that later tonight.

[klid]

Sorted, back to #1 where I belong. Google's fault -- getting confused thinking that Gentrack is G3 or something.

[Lewylewylewy]

Lol... it's rigged, I tell you! :)

Wait to see what happens with RBD benefiting from currency and trump stuff, also once POT start lumping out massive dividends to return money later in the year... ;)

[percy]

Klid is doing a great job.!
And he is "well positioned."

[klid]

Changed SLG to FMS but still need to change the two people that have it picked.
I'm going overseas tomorrow for a couple of weeks so hopefully nothing crops up that needs my attention over that time. If it does I'll sort when back.

[numbersman]

Same, I cant get in yesterday or today. "Security certificate expired"

[see weed]

Same, I cant get in yesterday or today. "Security certificate expired"
Same here, a message comes up in a box saying...Stocktastic.co.nz has configured their website improperly. To protect your information from being stolen, fire fox has not connected to this site :confused:.

[Deej5]

Works fine for me on Safari. You might be having a browser issue. Try a different one to Firefox.

[Baa_Baa]

Works fine for me on Safari. You might be having a browser issue. Try a different one to Firefox.

The security certificate has expired. Safari lets you click through (ignore) to the site anyway. Depends on your browser and its security settings what message you get.

[Jay]

The security certificate has expired. Safari lets you click through (ignore) to the site anyway. Depends on your browser and its security settings what message you get.

I got in with IE 11 - same as you Baa Baa as far as messages/errors are concerned, can continue if you wish

[Rossimarnz]

One thing that interests me with contests like this is how well peoples picks represent their actual investments. I understand that factors such as investment timeframes, diversification, concentration risk, portfolio size and others will mean that picks in a 12 month contest will never fully align with actual investments. As a way of trying to present how representative my picks are of my actual investments I have listed my picks and their relative %'s at todays price in my portfolio. Interested if others are willing to share.
AIR - 5.9%
ATM - 12.5%
PIL - 3.0%
THL - 7.7%
SUM - 11.2%

So all up 40.3% of my portfolio. I am a relatively small investor in the grand scheme of things. Currently sitting at a 3.44% return and placed in the mid 80's

[Snow Leopard]

I own 0 of 5 because:

BLT - illiquid
FRE - overpriced
OIC -illiquid
PIL - illiquid
TNR - only recently met by liquidity minimum but fairly priced.

But one never knows what will happen to them.

Best Wishes
Paper Tiger

[klid]

Cheers guys I renewed the certificate, I had set it up to do that automatically but seemingly that isn't working.

Yeah most browsers let you bypass it one way or another. It's kind of ironic; there's no need to have a certificate there at all and if there wasn't one there no browser would complain... it's only because there was an expired one. Some sites, e.g. this one - have no certificate. The certificate simply means that all the data that gets sent between your computer and the website is encrypted; which is important when sending confidential information, e.g. passwords, credit card details... not that you need to do any of that on Stocktastic bar your "change token" when you enter the competition.

Annnyway, I'll see if I can get this to auto-renew properly from now on as they're only valid for 3 months at a time!

[JeremyALD]

One thing that interests me with contests like this is how well peoples picks represent their actual investments. I understand that factors such as investment timeframes, diversification, concentration risk, portfolio size and others will mean that picks in a 12 month contest will never fully align with actual investments. As a way of trying to present how representative my picks are of my actual investments I have listed my picks and their relative %'s at todays price in my portfolio. Interested if others are willing to share.
AIR - 5.9%
ATM - 12.5%
PIL - 3.0%
THL - 7.7%
SUM - 11.2%

So all up 40.3% of my portfolio. I am a relatively small investor in the grand scheme of things. Currently sitting at a 3.44% return and placed in the mid 80's

If that's your five picks and results you'd be up by much more than 3.44%? Should be more like 8%?

[winner69]

If that's your five picks and results you'd be up by much more than 3.44%? Should be more like 8%?

Rossi is only up 1.4% now

PIL a big negative

[bullfrog]

Put my money where my mouth is on OIC and ERD. Cash flow crisis made me miss the boat on TTK, was going to buy March with a feeling that they'd grow mid year. Spark offer complete surprise, could have had the decency to wait until April!
PLX, watching but not holding, such a fast moving sector that anything could happen.

[Lewylewylewy]

Put my money where my mouth is on OIC and ERD. Cash flow crisis made me miss the boat on TTK, was going to buy March with a feeling that they'd grow mid year. Spark offer complete surprise, could have had the decency to wait until April!
PLX, watching but not holding, such a fast moving sector that anything could happen.

You're brave! lol

[littletramp]

Is there any reason why the Gentrack "GTK" share price is not accurately updating on the results -seems stuck on $3.32?

[see weed]

Hi JeremyALD, Have finally caught you, don't know for how long though:).

[JeremyALD]

Hi JeremyALD, Have finally caught you, don't know for how long though:).

Gosh I was top 10 two weeks ago! :(

I just need to hope RBD does better than AIR mate and I'll be a winner ;)

[see weed]

Gosh I was top 10 two weeks ago! :(

I just need to hope RBD does better than AIR mate and I'll be a winner ;)
This looks like it may turn into a yoyo for a while. Looking forward to AIR BIG div though, might shoot us up a couple of points:).

[Bilbo]

Any ideas why the Gentrack (GTK) share price is not updating. Showing as 3.32 when it closed today at $3.70. Not that it will help my cause much in the competition :)

[Joshuatree]

I hardly ever see re 8 of the top 10 in the comp posting. Hey guys/gals you obviously have some knowledge and savvyness ;be great to see you sharing, giving something to the share trader community:confused::D

[Lola]

Is there any reason why the Gentrack "GTK" share price is not accurately updating on the results -seems stuck on $3.32?
Klid
This is still a problem?
Also where has FMS gone?
Formerly SLG BY THE WAY

[klid]

Klid
This is still a problem?
Also where has FMS gone?
Formerly SLG BY THE WAY

GTK fixed, at some stage in the past Google had been having some problems with the price for that stock, but it seems OK now.

As for FMS it has always been there; but it does not get updated in selections for you and the other contestant who had it, so have updated that manually.

Regards,
klid

[MPC]

On your tail rooster. This is fun, 30% and close to my holdings in reality.
Cheers,
Mpc

[Deej5]

Is this thread broke? I haven't been able to access it for a while now. Keep getting a 'certificate expired' notice.

[klid]

Is this thread broke? I haven't been able to access it for a while now. Keep getting a 'certificate expired' notice.
Renewed certificate. I think they will renew automatically now - we will find out in 3 months :D

[thestg]

Stocktastic site not updating. Last updated: Tuesday 23 May 2017 - 4:45am

[klid]

Thanks, it's because of TNR changing to TRA:
https://www.nzx.com/companies/TRA/announcements/301437

I've changed selections and fixed the stock up. Not sure if I can think of a way to handle these ticker changes automatically.

[MPC]

I am number 1.
I am number 1.

[see weed]

I am number 1.
I am number 1.
Congratulations. It's hard at the top to hang on:t_up:. I was at 84. I was at 84.;)

[MPC]

Only have to hold on for 6 more months.

[Beagle]

Wonder who Top Dog is ? That furry pup seems to be doing a little better than okay.
Disc: Its not me, the hound is running with the pack at about 80 something.

[janner]

Major mistake for my comp. selection... We all have them .. CAV.. a disaster .. How ever.. If played well ...
Money to be made at these prices .. IMHO...

DYOR... ..

[Valuegrowth]

I am number 1.
I am number 1.

My congratulations!

[MPC]

I am number 2 doesn't sound as good.

[Jantar]

I am number 2 doesn't sound as good. Just change the wording to say you are among the top 1%. :D

[Cool Bear]

Wow, I am now number 4 and 55% up. If only my real life portfolio is at that same proportion - I am still having 4 of the 5 picks in my portfolio.

[percy]

Wow, I am now number 4 and 55% up. If only my real life portfolio is at that same proportion - I am still having 4 of the 5 picks in my portfolio.

A very HOT Cool Bear.!!.
Well done.
Keep it up.

[sb9]

As it stands now, whoever got either NTL or ATM in their stock picking, they're in the top bracket.

[Cool Bear]

A very HOT Cool Bear.!!.
Well done.
Keep it up.
Thanks Percy.

NTL plays a large part in my high (now 5th) placing but only form 1% of my actual total portfolio. Good thing the rest also shows decent returns. No longer have AIA but have a little bit of AIR instead and that is not doing too badly now. My recent foray into OCA did rather well too (up 12% in a couple of months). But not all rosy as have shares showing losses for the year.

[Yoda]

For a complete amature , i am very happy to be no 7 . I have NTL THL and ATM in my real portfolio, so a happy little Yoda. NTL has shot up from 15% to 40% of my portfolio, so i am a bit concerned about the exposure it has developed !

[Joshuatree]

Are you free carried yet in NTL.That is ,have you sold some to pay for all the rest; a great position to be in; in fact, THE PLACE TO BE imo.

[Yoda]

Yes thanks for the advice. A good move to make.

[Beagle]

All stocks
4.53%
Contestants
16.39%
Brokers
13.19%

Obviously we're a pretty well informed and highly intelligent and articulate bunch of ladies and gentlemen on here as we're currently beating the professional analysts !

[Snow Leopard]

Hi Klid,
NZX installed new website Sat 5 Aug so stocktastic is not getting data. New site at https://m.nzx.com/
This may involve a re-write of your data collection.

cheers fool.

But the old website, https://www.nzx.com, is still very much in action.

Best Wishes
Paper Tiger

[Jay]

The m.nzx.com site looks as though it maybe more specific to viewing on mobile devices such as phones and tablets (hence the m) and it is having just tried it, plus as PT says the "old" site is still right up to date
My very limited knowledge of website construction, seems to tell me these days that most new/upgraded sites automatically detect what kind of device you are viewing on and adjust it accordingly.
No sign of this with nzx.com as yet, though that site was down for awhile at least and the m.nzx.com site was working - progress still in the works maybe

[Snoopy]

Hi Klid,
NZX installed new website Sat 5 Aug so stocktastic is not getting data. New site at https://m.nzx.com/
This may involve a re-write of your data collection.

cheers fool.

Fool, the stocktastic website is still updating. But the arithmetic, calculating the capital gain and dividend gain for each share, is not working. The individual pricing and dividends for each individual shares seem still correct. But if you work out the gain manually the result is way different to the gain stocktastic tells you has occurred. Because all the calculated gains/losses are wrong, all the rankings are broken. A rescue by Klid is needed!

SNOOPY

[Snow Leopard]

As anybody heard from klid recently and know whether he is OK?

Mildly Concerned
Paper Tiger

[Peter Huljich]

BGR has changed its code. Please rectify so the stock isn't showing a decline of 100%. Thank you! P

[777]

As anybody heard from klid recently and know whether he is OK?

Mildly Concerned
Paper Tiger

He has not posted since 2/6/17. That is nearly three months. I hope he is OK as it is a bit out of character for him not to appear.

[Yoda]

My contest site hasn't updated since 8th of august .. Any ideas?
does anyone know how to get hold of klid? MOD.?
it does seem strange .
again ... It doesn't seem good , unless he's spendings his winnings ".......... Mmmmm :confused:

[Joshuatree]

You've recently arrived in back to the future in England Yoda ; has your flight auto pilot dialled in the wrong coordinates and time because i can assure you its rubbish day wednesday collection here for me 9th august 2017. Thats the prob when you try to get to the shakey isles post brexit anything can happen just getting there!:confused:!!? Hope you're enjoying your holiday and spending your NTL profits in a disorderly fashion:).

ps kild are you also flitting through the timezones enjoying your profits. Hey there is an election going on back here and its much more promising and uplifting this time, come back kild:t_up:

[Yoda]

Thanks jt. I was a little reckless and got Business upgrade on offer at checkin for part flight. You know , just to prevent DVTS etc ... Totally justifiable ......
It still says i,m number 4 in the chart . Maybe its just my i pad getting old .
Im not certain how long i can stand the uncertainty of NTL though .......

[suse]

Thanks jt. I was a little reckless and got Business upgrade on offer at checkin for part flight. You know , just to prevent DVTS etc ... Totally justifiable ......
It still says i,m number 4 in the chart . Maybe its just my i pad getting old .
Im not certain how long i can stand the uncertainty of NTL though .......
I was just looking at the standings out of interest (I didnt take part myself) and I thought if BLT takes off (although it is totally stalled at the mo) you should be top of the heap Yoda.. :)

[Snoopy]

I was just looking at the standings out of interest (I didnt take part myself) and I thought if BLT takes off (although it is totally stalled at the mo) you should be top of the heap Yoda.. :)


If BLT takes off the same thing would happen. as when OIC took off. The competition shows the opening year value of OIC of 92c, dividend of 2cps and a current market price of $1.76. The calculator shows a gain of 10.82% (sic, actual gain is 93.4%) which is so grossly wrong that the competition is now meaningless. All other shares are added up incorrectly as well. Until we can cajole Klid back out of his black hole to fix things, you can forget the competition.

SNOOPY

[Yoda]

When i log on, it still says houly update of 8th Aug. at the top of the page just above the word Rank and Alias ..... Anyone else have a different date?

[Yoda]

I was just looking at the standings out of interest (I didnt take part myself) and I thought if BLT takes off (although it is totally stalled at the mo) you should be top of the heap Yoda.. :)
Haha..... BLT taking off would require a massive H bomb under it .

hang on, I just might know where i can get one ........ Or maybe not , he already used it !

but seriously, hope klid is ok... Does anyone know who he really is , and check on him ?

it he cant carry on with this site, i wouldn't mind, but would be nice to know he's OK

[Snow Leopard]

With the stocktastic.co.nz (https://stocktastic.co.nz/) competition website not updating and klid, rather more worryingly, being incommunicado I have taken on this years competition for the time being.

You can find the latest positions at:

http://papertiger.asia/st2017/

At the moment it could use a little polishing round the edges and I will do some more work on it to as time permits:
I do know that some of the dividends are not currently included;
It does not show your selected stocks;
A few names lost spacing when I scraped them off stocktastic;
etc.

In theory it will update about 6:30pm each evening with the latest end of day prices

Stock gains are calculated as (current price + gross dividends * 0.67)/6-jan-2017 closing price.

Best Wishes
Paper Tiger

[777]

Well done PT and thank you.

It would be good to know that klid is OK.

[bohemian]

Thank you, most appreciated.

[percy]

Thank you Paper Tiger.

[Jay]

Thanks PT .

[Snow Leopard]

OK, one coding error fix later and http://papertiger.asia/st2017/ has done its end of day update. Should be good for a while now.

Have a look at the tiger on the frontpage (http://papertiger.asia/) while you're there.

Best Wishes
Paper Tiger

[winner69]

OK, one coding error fix later and http://papertiger.asia/st2017/ has done its end of day update. Should be good for a while now.

Have a look at the tiger on the frontpage (http://papertiger.asia/) while you're there.

Best Wishes
Paper Tiger

What's happened PT - me old mate Balance is thrashing you in your little race

[Snow Leopard]

What's happened PT - me old mate Balance is thrashing you in your little race

'Opeless Opus! - Up 93% on a takeover.

To add insult to injury friggin Freightways is up 15% as well.

Best Wishes
Paper Tiger

[Yoda]

Thanks PT . your hard work is appreciated. ,

[thestg]

Thanks PT. The site looks great!

[waikare]

Thanks PT your the man.

Cheers Waikare

[Beagle]

The hound thanks you too PT. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFLMwUT7_-k

[Yoda]

OK, one coding error fix later and http://papertiger.asia/st2017/ has done its end of day update. Should be good for a while now.

Have a look at the tiger on the frontpage (http://papertiger.asia/) while you're there.

Best Wishes
Paper Tiger
did you paint that ?

[Snow Leopard]

did you paint that ?

No, it is a detail from a painting at a Buddhist temple complex up some mountains near Gwangju, South Korea.

Gwangju is the home of a Kia Motors manufacturing plant and, more importantly:

the Kia Tigers Baseball Team (http://www.tigers.co.kr/main.asp).

(who lost 5-0 yesterday :()

Best Wishes
Paper Tiger

[Yoda]

Oh well, better luck next time ...great painting !

[LAC]

Is the stock contest updates working? Looks a bit out of date to me, THL is 4.48 when it should be 4.98 - how often does it update?

[Jay]

Try this for an update LAC, thanks to Paper Tiger

http://papertiger.asia/st2017

Kild seems to have gone AWOL, we all hope he is Ok

[LAC]

Thank Jay, much appreciated!!!!!

[Absolute144]

TRU on the stock picking contest Price not updated currently reading .14 but its actually .19

Ta.

[Jay]

TRU on the stock picking contest Price not updated currently reading .14 but its actually .19

Ta.
See post 194 or 210

[Absolute144]

See post 194 or 210
Thanks Jay. I Hope all is ok .

[bullfrog]

Thanks PT for changing PJ001 to bullfrog, appreciated.

[see weed]

OK, one coding error fix later and http://papertiger.asia/st2017/ has done its end of day update. Should be good for a while now.

Have a look at the tiger on the frontpage (http://papertiger.asia/) while you're there.

Best Wishes
Paper Tiger

Thanks PT. Good colour and easy read.

[Beagle]

Thanks PT. Good colour and easy read.

You're doing well mate with your ATM selection in there. The hound is doing okay, no ATM in my selection for the competition but thankfully have some in my real portfolio :t_up:

[Snow Leopard]

Thanks PT. Good colour and easy read.

Orange and black is the new black.

[MPC]

Just saw the new updated site.
Who's number 1?
Cheers,
MPC

[Snow Leopard]

...Who's number 1?...

Oh no! Is that back again?


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sShMA85pv8M

BW, PT

[MPC]

Ha ha. Appreciate you taking control of this tiger. nzx having a good year for lots of us.

Cheers,
MPC

[Snow Leopard]

http://papertiger.asia/images/st2017-10-31-A.png

[weasel]

Hey paper tiger, great work on the stock picking comp. I was wondering if you could add one more entry - which is simply the 5 most picked stocks? Call it top5 or whatever. I believe it is the following (number of times picked, ticker):
43 FPH
47 ATM
48 AIR
50 HBL
54 THL

Not a bad way to pick a portfolio.. rely on collective knowledge of sharetrader community
cheers
wease

[Snow Leopard]

Hey paper tiger, great work on the stock picking comp. I was wondering if you could add one more entry - which is simply the 5 most picked stocks? Call it top5 or whatever. I believe it is the following (number of times picked, ticker):
43 FPH
47 ATM
48 AIR
50 HBL
54 THL

Not a bad way to pick a portfolio.. rely on collective knowledge of sharetrader community
cheers
wease

and the Tiger said...



NO!

[weasel]

and the Tiger said...



NO!

fair enough :-)

Rank Name Selections %Gain
9 Top5 THL HBL AIR ATM FPH 85.85%

Just in case anyone cares ;-)

[winner69]

fair enough :-)

Rank Name Selections %Gain
9 Top5 THL HBL AIR ATM FPH 85.85%

Just in case anyone cares ;-)

.....coincidently seems to be Top Dog’s picks

[777]

Interesting to know if he put his picks in late and used this method to select them.

[winner69]

.....coincidently seems to be Top Dog’s picks

With a name like that must be Beagle ...ha ha

[see weed]

Gosh I was top 10 two weeks ago! :(

I just need to hope RBD does better than AIR mate and I'll be a winner ;)
JeremyALD posted about 10 months ago. It appears there is no HLG holders above us, but don't think it will make much difference to the final outcome. I am very happy to be in the 80% plus position. And am over the moon at portfolio up over 55% after fees and losses in the last 12 months:t_up:. Have a merry Christmas and a happy new year everyone:cool:.

[Snow Leopard]

I have now fiddled with the numbers to add in the effect of the rights issues for HBL and TWR.

I just have to cope with SPG and their double dividends next week and I need to fiddle some more numbers so that I win the contest.

Best Wishes
Paper Tiger

[JeremyALD]

JeremyALD posted about 10 months ago. It appears there is no HLG holders above us, but don't think it will make much difference to the final outcome. I am very happy to be in the 80% plus position. And am over the moon at portfolio up over 55% after fees and losses in the last 12 months:t_up:. Have a merry Christmas and a happy new year everyone:cool:.

Pretty happy with a top 20 performance! And who knows, RBD might just top AIR - it's pretty close ;)

[Beagle]

2017 was a great year to stay long in AIR with ~ 50% gains.

[Leftfield]

2017 was a great year to stay long in AIR with ~ 50% gains.

2017 was also a great year to stay long in ATM (291% gains) and PPH (127% gains.) :t_up:

[Beagle]

2017 was also a great year to stay long in ATM (291% gains) and PPH (127% gains.) :t_up:

Yeap, tell me about it ! Didn't have them in my ST competition picks but very happy they were in my real portfolio and I don't think the fun is over by any means yet :t_up:

[Raz]

Yeap, tell me about it ! Didn't have them in my ST competition picks but very happy they were in my real portfolio and I don't think the fun is over by any means yet :t_up:


Should have bought more ATM..great miss for me this year.

[Dassets]

I think the NWF dividend has been missed in the numbers.

[Snow Leopard]

I think the NWF dividend has been missed in the numbers.

I have checked and the dividend is incorporated.

Todays price 14.4c, plus dividend 0.79127c [being (0.85+0.331)*0.67]

Opening price 8.5c giving a 78.72% gain to date.


Hopefully, I have everything else covered off.

Best Wishes
Paper Tiger

[Toulouse - Luzern]

Having seen off Santa, the international man of mystery, it is time to thank some of the the other heroes of 2017 ...

Thanks Klid, Paper Tiger, and Sylvester Cat for all your efforts in running the competition and preparing for the next.

It may look easy, but it assuredly isn't.

And thanks also to the top ten competitors (at this stage so E&OE),

An interesting bunch, from their noms de guerre ...

Thor, Wetfish, Kaybee, Blobbles, JK, MPC, Parrot, Top Dog, and Bohemian.

Thor with 198.87% so far, is a daunting target for the future.

And thanks to all the competitors, without all of you there is no contest.

So it is time to sort out some picks for 2018.

All the best, bon chance.

[Baa_Baa]

212 entries, only 17 negative returns, top 10 all over 100% returns, moi at only(?) 63% just makes the top 50. :mellow:

Extraordinary even. All the best for 2018.

[Oliver Mander]

Well done to klid and PT for sorting it out in 2017! klid, I love your website and wish my web skills were half as good as yours...
And as for the returns..well here's hoping for a similar 2018!!!

[Rob Optimist]

I can't seem to get an updated result for this 2017. When I go into the rankings it is months old.
What am I doing wrong. Cheers

[winner69]

I can't seem to get an updated result for this 2017. When I go into the rankings it is months old.
What am I doing wrong. Cheers

Paper Tiger does updating. Try this

https://papertiger.asia/st2017/

[Beagle]

Paper Tiger does updating. Try this

https://papertiger.asia/st2017/

I believe this is this is testimony to the benefits of being a well informed participant on ST. A mid field performance at 106th place gained 31.5% and I believe the NZX50 is up just 23% by comparison. (Haven't looked at performance relative to other indices movements.)

[Oliver Mander]

NZX = 22.2%. Have just done the calc for my own purposes!

[Beagle]

Congrats to all 130 participants who beat the NZX50, well done, give yourself a pat on the back and the hound would like to extend sympathy to his fellow Beagle Snoopy who only just missed the cut.

[winner69]

And Balance deserves a special mention ...he set out to come last and lose the most and come last he did.

It does take an awful lot of skill to pick the likes of the NZO, PEB, CGL, SEA and VIL - all perennial losers - knowing that if one came ‘right’ he wouldn’t be last.

Well done Balance me old mate

Addition - was another update since I posted and Balance was pipped at the post and was only second last. Never mind ..you still a hero mate

[Snow Leopard]

The rules said that the competition ends with the close of trade on the last trading day of the year...
...which is/was today.

So these are the official results:

2017 NZX Stock Picking Contest

Updated: Fri, 29 Dec 17


Rank
Name
Selections
% Gain


1
Thor
SKO PPH SML AIR CEN
197.88%


2
Wetfish
SKO PPH THL TRA EVO
166.24%


3
Kaybee
SKO TRU ARV TRA MOA
126.14%


4
blobbles
ATM PPH XRO AIR HBL
117.88%


5
JK
ATM PPH FPH THL RYM
116.92%


6
MPC
ATM SML XRO AIR SUM
111.78%


7
Parrot
ATM SML RBD HBL SCL
110.25%


8
Top Dog
ATM FPH THL AIR HBL
103.48%


9
bohemian
ATM FPH THL AIR SCL
103.01%


10
Bosse1
ATM ERD XRO IFT WDT
101.95%


11
Awesome
ATM SML AIR MFT ARV
97.89%


12
Roadrunner
ATM PPH XRO ARV CBL
94.83%


13
see weed
ATM THL AIR HLG IFT
93.01%


14
JeremyALD
ATM THL RBD HLG IFT
92.06%


15
LadyGrey
ATM PPH AIR HBL BLT
91.14%


16
Everwood
ATM PPH XRO TIL MOA
90.58%


17
Scooter
ATM THL RBD RYM CVT
87.49%


18
BigBob
ATM NTL NZO RBC PEB
86.77%


19
bear
ATM XRO HBL CEN AIA
86.55%


20
rooster
ATM FPH RYM SUM FMS
83.50%


21
AE
PPH SML FPH THL CEN
83.41%


22
Yoda
ATM NTL THL BLT PIL
82.73%


23
waikare
ATM FPH HLG PGW TIL
82.62%


24
Felonius
NTL PPH HBL HLG MCK
82.00%


25
stef
ATM FPH THL HBL BLT
81.11%


26
upstart
PPH ERD XRO AIR IFT
81.04%


27
Haewai
NTL PPH FPH THL CAV
81.00%


28
Pricey
ATM PPH HBL CBL BLT
77.66%


29
Moose
ATM PPH NZR LIC GXH
77.58%


30
Toucan22
ATM SCT ALF SUM PEB
77.08%


31
J3Y
ATM HBL SCL CVT ANZ
76.78%


32
warthog
ATM AIR IFT EBO AIA
76.58%


33
mask
ATM SEK IFT MET NZR
74.90%


34
mfd
ATM XRO AIR SKL BLT
74.89%


35
NZSilver
ATM HBL CEN SUM TIL
74.11%


36
pak
ATM NTL EVO SEA BLT
73.08%


37
Left Field
ATM PPH FPH BLT PIL
72.83%


38
dela47
ATM THL AIR SUM BLT
72.57%


39
Rossimarnz
ATM THL AIR SUM PIL
72.34%


40
ShandyNZ
ATM SML RYM PEB BLT
70.79%


41
ras
ATM AIR HBL SKC PLX
68.55%


42
Fiskerking
PPH ERD FPH CEN TRA
68.50%


43
Kjula61
SML ERD FPH EBO WDT
66.72%


44
Antipodean
NTL AIR RBD HBL NZR
66.46%


45
Rabbi
ATM SUM EBO OGC ARV
63.92%


46
bullfrog
ERD OIC TTK HBL PLX
63.82%


47
zs_cecil
ATM XRO HBL PEB BLT
62.61%


48
Baa_Baa
ATM PPH ARV PLX OHE
62.31%


49
Stones
ATM ALF SPK ANZ FBU
62.26%


50
CodeRed
ATM NZR SPG OGC ANZ
60.25%


51
Numbersman
PPH THL AIR RYM FRE
59.38%


52
jimbo
SML AIR HBL SEK IFT
58.99%


53
JBmurc
NTL THL PGW NZO OGC
58.78%


54
S Elder
PPH FPH THL SUM CVT
58.60%


55
Harley
ATM THL MCK CBL PIL
57.61%


56
Deecimal
PPH NZK FPH CEN EVO
57.08%


57
Rust
OIC SCT FPH PGW CNU
56.56%


57
First NZ Capital
SML XRO FPH CEN TGH
55.27%


58
Cool Bear
NTL HBL PGW ARG AIA
54.42%


59
Grunta
ATM FPH STU PEB SLI
52.40%


60
Jantar
NWF THL AIR HLG IFT
51.62%


61
iceman
PPH THL HLG SAN TRA
51.29%


62
drrcd
NTL SML IFT EVO PIL
51.10%


63
Ratkin
ATM EBO RAK RBC SEA
51.03%


64
Pjai
FPH THL AIR HBL MFT
50.80%


65
biker
ATM CEN TRA RBC PEB
50.62%


66
ben28
PPH FPH MFT CEN AIA
50.29%


67
Ruaboy
SML HBL ALF SKL MVT
49.94%


68
MAGA!
NTL TPW MFT FRE STU
49.86%


68
Hamilton Hindin Greene
OIC FPH RYM GNE CNU
48.73%


69
Acegolfer
PPH THL HBL ARV STU
47.36%


70
horus1
ATM CVT TLT TRA PIL
46.56%


71
blockhead
FPH THL HBL SCL ZEL
46.39%


72
Risin Vortex
PPH RBD CDI IFT ARV
46.30%


73
Lola
SML GTK ALF FMS OHE
43.72%


74
ace5715
THL AIR HBL HLG SUM
43.32%


75
Federer
FPH THL AIR HBL TGH
43.11%


76
Bum_Burglar
NWF AIR HBL RYM CVT
42.95%


77
The hound
THL AIR SCL HLG SUM
42.85%


78
Mission
ATM HBL GXH MOA PLX
42.85%


79
PHuljich
PPH FPH EBO CVT BGP
42.17%


80
Eagle
ATM CVT TIL SEA OHE
41.93%


81
lac
THL RBD SEK RYM SUM
41.29%


82
spmcg
FPH THL HBL SUM AIA
40.62%


83
McGinty
ATM HLG TRA SLI PIL
40.21%


84
Muncha
SML SCL MFT NZR TRA
40.01%


85
kappa
SCT THL ALF SAN TRA
39.64%


85
Craigs Investment Partners
GTK RBD MFT CEN FSF
38.81%


86
Lawnmower man
THL AIR HBL HLG TRA
38.70%


87
Tongster
PPH HBL SUM MCK WHS
38.06%


88
Brucey09
PPH ALF MFT NZR AFT
37.85%


89
Nasi Goreng
SML AIR POT FSF GXH
37.75%


90
Jaa
GTK FPH THL TRA GEO
36.84%


91
JoshuaTree
GTK NWF FPH EVO CGL
36.65%


92
captainigloo
FPH HBL SCL SUM AIA
36.04%


93
KJ
THL AIR HBL SUM TRA
35.67%


94
crabs
FPH HBL ALF PGW LIC
35.01%


95
RMVonStock
MMH ALF EUT MFT CEN
34.97%


96
Duveldog
FPH DGL MGL SKL IKE
34.95%


97
slimshadow
SML AIR ZEL STU SCY
34.90%


98
MCCSA767
PPH ERD ARV EVO BLT
34.73%


98
Hobson Wealth Management
FPH RBD TPW MFT VGL
34.54%


99
Timid
THL HBL PGW SUM TWR
34.08%


100
taybay0404
SML ALF RYM AIA MOA
33.98%


101
james108
OIC RBD IFT MHJ EVO
33.61%


102
jumbo
SCT HBL IFT SUM NZR
33.13%


103
Lewylewylewy
THL RBD POT EBO NZR
33.02%


104
MAG
THL POT RYM SUM MCY
32.82%


105
BAFFLED
AIR HBL POT IFT FSF
32.78%


106
bung5
TTK AIR KMD CNU EVO
32.10%


107
shasta
XRO THL IFT NZX RBC
31.27%


108
thestg
AIR SCL IFT CEN EBO
31.18%


109
youngatheart
NTL PPH CGL BLT PIL
31.15%


110
Fiasco
SML SUM CNU AIA TIL
30.95%


111
percy
THL ALF HLG MCK TRA
30.50%


112
Tim23
NWF FPH NZO AIA AFT
30.31%


113
Harrison
NZK FPH SKC FSF EVO
30.12%


114
forest
THL ALF SAN SKL SDL
29.40%


115
newtrader
FPH AIR IFT EBO BGP
29.37%


116
Kelvin
AIR RBD HLG SUM TIL
29.11%


117
Patrick
RBD HBL SAN EBO VHP
28.81%


118
Penny
SML POT EBO MVN RBC
28.27%


119
Whemthat
GTK FPH VGL TIL EVO
27.78%


120
littletramp
GTK SCT ABA VGL MPG
27.74%


121
lee
THL HBL CEN CVT TIL
27.28%


122
exactchange
XRO HBL IFT ARV STU
27.12%


123
clips
AIR HBL SUM EBO AIA
26.89%


124
vici
GTK RYM EBO MHJ TIL
26.86%


125
Saint
THL AIR HLG TRA EVO
25.65%


126
Way Over The Hill
SCT HBL CNU AIA WBC
25.38%


127
Vaygor1
ALF RYM CDI SUM AIA
25.12%


127
Forsyth Barr
FPH THL IFT CBL EVO
24.49%


128
gmatt
NTL THL RBC CAV BLT
24.31%


129
ari
SCT FPH POT RBC SEA
23.91%


130
Big Blind
AIR SCL IFT FRE EVO
23.37%


131
Crackity
NWF NZO NZX NZR NPT
23.02%


132
Jay
AIR HLG SUM EBO TIL
22.81%


133
S Club5
SCL SKL SUM SPN SKC
22.34%


134
Hamish
FPH IFT SKC AIA MHJ
22.18%


135
Snoopy
RBD SKL CEN SKC SPK
21.95%


136
Graham
HBL DGL VHP ARG TIL
21.34%


137
Bilbo
PPH GTK ARV SLI BLT
21.04%


138
EJK
TTK THL IFT TGH BLT
21.00%


138
JBWere
FPH MFT CEN FSF EVO
20.91%


139
Taijon
SCT FPH NZO RBC FBU
20.80%


140
h2so4
RBD ALF MCK MET AWF
20.65%


141
buddha beer
AIR ALF RYM IFT PLX
19.35%


142
garfy
THL AIR SCL ARV PIL
19.07%


142
MSL Capital Markets
SML HBL AIA GXH PLX
18.97%


143
troyvdh
RYM CEN SUM PFI MET
18.12%


144
greater fool
POT CDI NZO MCK ANZ
18.07%


145
kiwichick
AIR POT AIA WBC ANZ
17.75%


146
Stevevai1983
RYM IFT SUM EBO ARV
17.53%


147
Sun Lee
FPH CEN TWR CVT EVO
17.53%


148
TFA
PPH HBL MET MPG OHE
17.35%


149
duncan22
GTK XRO TIL CBL OHE
17.23%


150
Noodles
THL RBD TRA AWF CBL
16.93%


151
Mangom
FPH TPW NZR AIA FBU
16.88%


152
Mshierlaw
TPW IFT SUM EBO STU
16.78%


153
Crow
GTK SUM MEL ARV MPG
16.57%


154
Deej5
HBL VHP ARG PFI AIA
16.42%


155
Teeps
SCL RYM SUM AIA CBL
16.17%


156
Johndes
HBL MEL FSF SPK ARV
15.95%


157
Major von Tempsky
GFL HLG MFT SPK FBU
15.72%


158
minerbarejet
THL GMT IPL VCT PEB
15.25%


159
hcpp88
AIR ZEL CVT AIA ANZ
14.32%


160
DarkHorse
THL HLG TRA SCY EVO
13.89%


161
klid
ALF IFT MCK TRA SCY
13.79%


162
Farcanal
FPH IFT NZR ANZ PEB
13.61%


163
lissica
RYM IFT MFT FRE GXH
13.05%


164
bull....
HBL SCL FSF NZR CAV
12.35%


165
pedro.nz
XRO MFT SUM AIA BLT
11.94%


166
ABhatnagar
PPH RYM TGH CAV MPG
11.89%


167
777
GMT PCT ARG PFI KPG
10.99%


168
Alz99
AIR CEN PCT ARV PEB
10.97%


169
amalgam
THL ALF FLI TRA PIL
10.60%


170
Rob Optimist
FPH IFT CVT CBL PEB
10.28%


171
silverblizzard888
PPH RBD RBC CAV BLT
10.14%


172
WLDSTH
MFT MCK TGG AIA TME
9.97%


173
SAM2103
RYM MFT EBO VHP BFW
9.68%


174
mani99
PGW MCK AWK KPG STU
9.53%


175
JayRiggs
HLG IFT VGL TIL TGH
9.31%


176
Balloon
THL ABA RAK TIL MOA
9.23%


177
whitewatergeo
XRO SKL SPK TME BLT
9.00%


178
dinkv
RBD IFT AWK BGP FBU
8.93%


179
Xerof
AIR HBL IFT PEB OHE
6.93%


180
but-what-do-i-know
SCL HLG MEL ARV BLT
6.81%


181
Huxley
HLG KMD IFT ANZ BLT
6.60%


182
Toulouse - Luzern
SCL MCK AIA SDL CBL
6.41%


183
clip
SCL ALF AIA CBL MPG
5.47%


184
hogie
FPH SKC NZR FBU BFW
5.33%


185
Grimy
AIR PGW CEN TGH BLT
5.15%


186
Pierre
THL AIR TIL PEB BLT
3.76%


187
beetills
HBL CDI ANZ RBC CGL
3.20%


188
Scottjamesy
THL AIR SUM BLT PIL
2.47%


189
Ewnet13
HBL GNE NZO BFW CGF
2.12%


190
airedale
MEL SPK MHJ TIL TGH
2.11%


191
angrytoenail
XRO MFT SPK PEB BLT
2.09%


192
reacher
PPH AIR SLI OHE PIL
1.95%


193
riggers
SCL PGW TGG AIA VIL
1.20%


194
BlackPeter
HBL MCK TRA STU MPG
0.83%


195
Paper Tiger
OIC FRE TRA BLT PIL
0.49%


195
Vulcan Capital
NZK TRU TRA PEB PIL
0.34%


196
Placemakers
THL FSF NZR MOA PLX
-0.71%


197
Southern_Belle
HBL ALF TIL SEA PIL
-0.98%


198
mikeybycrikey
XRO AIR RBC PLX OHE
-1.29%


199
Rokko
THL IKE CNU PEB BLT
-2.42%


200
Janner
SKL WDT ARV TRA CAV
-5.05%


201
SCOTTY
GFL FLI NZR CGL SLI
-7.31%


202
golden city
THL NZR PEB CGL CAV
-7.90%


203
Gonzo
HBL EBO STU CAV PIL
-10.63%


204
watford
MEL ARV TRA TGH BLT
-12.28%


205
Jotal
SCL BGP TGH EVO BLT
-12.41%


206
QOH
PGW SUM SPK BLT PIL
-13.90%


207
Dogs of the NZX
AIR AFT EVO PEB PLX
-13.91%


208
RGR367
XRO RAK PEB OHE BLT
-15.25%


209
Sure Thing
THL SEA PEB MPG PLX
-17.48%


210
davflaws
ALF NZR PEB PLX BLT
-19.12%


211
Balance
NZO SEA PEB CGL VIL
-30.43%


212
investor420
AFT EVO PEB GEO OHE
-32.17%



Well done one and all.

ありがとうございました
Paper Tiger

[Snow Leopard]

Gains :) and Losses :( for each chosen share.



Rank
Stock
% Gain


1
SKO
655.17%


2
ATM
287.98%


3
NTL
183.33%


4
PPH
132.96%


5
SML
128.57%


6
ERD
123.75%


7
OIC
112.92%


8
GTK
91.31%


9
TTK
88.37%


10
NZK
82.68%


11
NWF
81.07%


12
XRO
72.32%


13
SCT
67.57%


14
FPH
67.08%


15
THL
66.20%


16
MMH
54.71%


17
AIR
50.46%


18
RBD
45.71%


19
HBL
45.67%


20
SEK
44.58%


21
DGL
43.35%


22
SCL
43.33%


23
ALF
41.83%


24
GFL
37.52%


25
HLG
34.70%


26
KMD
34.26%


27
POT
31.88%


28
MGL
31.58%


29
EUT
31.50%


30
RYM
30.36%


31
TPW
30.36%


32
CDI
29.28%


33
PGW
28.26%


34
GNE
26.34%


35
SAN
26.13%


36
IFT
25.68%


37
SKL
25.06%


38
MFT
24.59%


39
CEN
22.24%


40
ABA
20.28%


41
SUM
19.58%


42
MEL
19.53%


43
FRE
16.94%


44
TRU
16.67%


45
NZO
16.10%


46
GMT
16.09%


47
MCY
16.09%


48
PCT
15.88%


49
EBO
14.19%


50
NZX
14.16%


51
IPL
13.49%


52
SPN
13.49%


53
MCK
13.33%


54
FMS
12.50%


55
VHP
12.33%


56
VCT
12.04%


57
FLI
11.04%


58
TWR
10.70%


59
ARG
10.25%


60
SKC
10.23%


61
FSF
10.20%


62
ZEL
9.68%


63
PFI
9.31%


64
MET
9.11%


65
MVT
8.57%


66
AWK
8.53%


67
IKE
7.69%


68
CVT
7.19%


69
NZR
7.13%


70
CNU
6.94%


71
SPK
6.50%


72
SPG
6.41%


73
VGL
4.96%


74
TGG
4.87%


75
AIA
4.56%


76
TLT
3.67%


77
KPG
3.41%


78
MHJ
3.32%


79
TME
2.50%


80
WBC
2.13%


81
WDT
0.00%


82
OGC
0.00%


83
RAK
0.00%


84
ANZ
-0.27%


85
ARV
-2.15%


86
NPT
-3.35%


87
TRA
-3.55%


88
TIL
-4.91%


89
STU
-5.90%


90
AWF
-6.74%


91
LIC
-7.82%


92
SCY
-8.32%


93
BGP
-10.56%


94
MVN
-11.29%


95
SDL
-12.22%


96
TGH
-13.87%


97
CBL
-16.96%


98
AFT
-17.27%


99
EVO
-19.56%


100
WHS
-21.24%


101
RBC
-22.00%


102
FBU
-24.74%


103
SEA
-25.00%


104
PEB
-31.58%


105
GXH
-32.35%


106
BFW
-33.08%


107
MOA
-35.44%


108
CGL
-36.67%


109
GEO
-36.84%


110
CGF
-44.44%


111
CAV
-44.59%


112
MPG
-45.41%


113
PLX
-51.61%


114
SLI
-55.56%


115
OHE
-55.61%


116
BLT
-61.36%


117
PIL
-62.50%


118
VIL
-75.00%

[Beagle]

Fascinating to see STU, FBU and MPG all make the sick puppies list in the midst of a building boom and a booming sharemarket. Worse, this is not isolated to 2017 by any means. Construction / Building sector returns over the years have been very poor relative to the market. Not sure why so many managed funds continued with their persistent approach to an approximate market weighting to this sector, go figure ?
Not quite sure what to make of this other than to steer well clear of that sector for the foreseeable future.

[Snoopy]

Congrats to all 130 participants who beat the NZX50, well done, give yourself a pat on the back and the hound would like to extend sympathy to his fellow Beagle Snoopy who only just missed the cut.

The NZX50 started the year 6974 (Wed 4th January) and closed at 8398 (Fri Dec 29th). That makes a gain of 20.4%. Note that the NZX50 is an accumulation index that includes dividends so it is a fitting yardstick for the stock picking contest that also includes dividends. My competition score was 21.95%. So that means I have beaten the index by 1.5 percentage points. I am absolutely chuffed at this result. Why? Because my value based strategy should cause me to under perform the index by a couple of percentage points in high growth years, but outperform the index by 5 or 6 percentage points in not so good years. So with such a good year on the market my expectation was for an 18.5% gain, not 22%.

Very pleasing from my perspective as well because as some competitors who have done well are inclined to forget at competition end, successful investing is all about getting the best result you can for the risk you want to take. At competition end, the risk by definition is zero because the competition is done and dusted. But at the start of the year everyone had a different risk they were willing to take and I wasn't willing to take any big gambles. The competition was a good approximation to my actual portfolio so all gains I made were real. So to get an above average result using my low risk strategy was just brilliant. Thanks very much for PT for rescuing the contest, and was glad to hear that klid was Ok!

SNOOPY

[RGR367]

Okay. So pure speculative stocks won't cut it for a contest. Lesson learned so entered only 3 speculations for the next one :D