winner69
01-02-2007, 08:39 PM
Just for Enumerate and Halebop
Some geeky stuff for you guys ...
http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc070129.htm
(excerpt) Bayes' Rule currently puts the likelihood of a 5% or deeper market correction beginning within the next few weeks at near certainty, the probability of a 10% correction starting during the next 13 weeks at about 65%, and the probability of a bear market beginning within the next 6 months at over 75%. There is, of course, no such thing as certainty in the financial markets. Suffice it to say that the probabilities aren't good.
Some geeky stuff for you guys ...
http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc070129.htm
(excerpt) Bayes' Rule currently puts the likelihood of a 5% or deeper market correction beginning within the next few weeks at near certainty, the probability of a 10% correction starting during the next 13 weeks at about 65%, and the probability of a bear market beginning within the next 6 months at over 75%. There is, of course, no such thing as certainty in the financial markets. Suffice it to say that the probabilities aren't good.