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Lizard
23-07-2012, 10:20 PM
Corum Group has had a small amount of coverage on the Profitable Micro-caps thread. However, recently it has passed the $20m market cap limit that the thread was set up to cover, so it seems timely to give it a thread of its own.

Appearing to have listed in the late 1990's as a homeopathic medicine company named "Medicine Quantale" (MQL), this business evolved through acquisition and divestments in 1999-2001 to become a software business. In particular, they chose to specialise in the pharmacy space with "Retail Solutions and Electronic Payments" systems. At this point, it was known as "Cosmos Ltd (COO) after one of their acquisitions of the same name. Unfortunately, this process occurred at the time of the tech wreck, so Cosmos never got the chance to really establish themselves, with the share price plummeting and undermining attempts to inject new capital.

In 2002, they produced revenues of $14.8m (up 123% on pcp), but a loss of $17.6m, including $11m of impairments. Market cap appears to have been around $19m. In 2003, they acquired the AMFAC system from Mayne Group which added to their pharmacy software systems. However, the company continued to struggle with losses, debts and dilution through to 2006, as the business gradually established a base at around $17m revenue. The name also changed to Corum Group at this time. Through 2008 and 2009 the company re-established a growth path, but continued to struggle with debt and cashflow, breaching their debt covenants with Westpac. This led to some shareholder activism by a majority shareholder and a change of Managing Director. At FY 2009, the company had debt of $7m, equity of $2m and accumulated losses of $83.5m. The major shareholder put forward funds to repay the Westpac debt.

During the period from 2009-2011, the annual revenue was around $21m pa, with profits of $1.1m and $1.7m in the latter years. Unfortunately, this wasn't the end of matters, as both the bank and the former executive directors made claims against the company, requiring further time and funds to settle. The last claim from Westpac was settled in January 2012. The final settlement was made in 3rd quarter 2012.

A debt and convertible notes (total $3.35m) to the majority shareholder now appear to have been repaid. Over the last year, the settlement of legacy issues has led to the share price rising from a low of 1.9cps to the current 11cps. The latest quarterly also shows the company has built up cash of $3.2m with total cash receipts of $23.5m suggesting that revenue may also be on the rise. With operating cashflow of $4.6m for the year, it seems the company may now be in a strong position to invest and/or pay dividends (although, due to retained losses, it is possible they will need to make a reduction of capital before dividends are payable, so more likely in 2013?).

The next challenge for COO will be in achieving further growth. The business currently has two parts - the pharmacy-support software systems remains in growth mode and was able to increase revenue by 7% and more than double underlying profit in first half. The e-commerce side provides non-bank payment transaction processing for a limited range of business and real estate (rental) payments. It appears to be in decline and the company appears to be taking a "cash cow" approach, increasing profits on declining revenues. Both sides contributed equally to profit in first half 2012, but it is likely that some decline in the e-commerce side can be expected over time and will, to some extent, offset growth in pharmacy support.

Overall, COO has been an example of how long it can take for a company to recover from excessive cash burn. Although the rapid rise of this year would have been difficult to participate in due to illiquidity, COO remains reasonable value at current market cap of $26.6m (11cps) and liquidity has improved. If current management can continue their good record and achieve growth, this could still prove a good investment at current prices.

Snow Leopard
23-07-2012, 11:30 PM
Thanks for bringing this to wider attention.

What is the model for the pharmacy support software (sale, sale+maintenance, rental, other) ?
How much are they spending on R&D ?
What is their edge ?

Worry that they are letting the source of half their profits go to the dogs.

best wishes
Paper Tiger

Lizard
24-07-2012, 09:18 AM
Hi PT. I can't answer your questions. In recent years, the company has been quite sparse on presentations to shareholders, so it is perhaps an area in which they require some encouragement...

They appear to have ceased capitalising R&D - whether through more stringent analysis of spend or because they have pruned expenditure is difficult to tell. Given the overall fall in expenditure, I'd suspect the latter, which could be a concern.

As you know, I'm not particularly I.T. savvy, so you would be in a far better position to judge their products and services. The web-site for the health services arm is here (http://corumhealth.com.au/default.aspx). Try this one (http://corumecommerce.com.au/) for the e-commerce side. They also have separate web-sites for Real Estate services (http://corumrealestate.com.au/). Their central web-site (http://www.corumgroup.com.au/default.aspx) has a dead link to a Corum Training site too - apparently they were (or possibly still are) providing training in Real Estate. The comment on the e-commerce side has been that it has suffered from greater competition from banks in this area.

Regard the pharmacy business, there is an investor on another well-known forum who claims to be a pharmacist and very positive on their product and service. Unfortunately, due to an apparent change in that forum, older posts have now been deleted, so it is unlikely that the poster's comments remain accessible.

Would be interested in your comments if you get the chance to look through.

Snow Leopard
25-07-2012, 03:29 PM
OK. Having a little time to spare, I had a look.

Cash flow is good.
Profit OK - but you would want evidence that they can grow this:
They claim to have 45% of their pharmacy segment so that may be the limit, would need to add extra services to increase revenue;
Might be able to do more in Rental space;

E-commerce competitive (as Lizard says), risk of losing a customer or two.


Liquidity is not good.

I would personally value COO at no more 10cps, but can see no reason to buy it until they show planned or sustained growth (and maybe start paying a dividend).


best wishes
Paper Tiger

PS Have at look at Big Air (BGL) instead.

soulman
10-08-2012, 05:45 PM
No sellers at all and buyers lining up. Thanks for the post Liz and in some way a good reco. I sold at 11.5 and 12 the last few days. Although now I wished I hold on to them.

Lizard
10-08-2012, 07:21 PM
Thought about selling at 12cps for a quick 20% today too... but was at the supermarket when I thought it.

AMA, BSA, VTG... after months of boredom, my small-caps are finally on the make... if the world is predictable, a market correction is imminent! :p

soulman
10-08-2012, 07:52 PM
Thought about selling at 12cps for a quick 20% today too... but was at the supermarket when I thought it.

AMA, BSA, VTG... after months of boredom, my small-caps are finally on the make... if the world is predictable, a market correction is imminent! :p

Might just be. But maybe a few days to get out before it happens. As with COO, seems a bit steep with no divy history.

Lizard
24-08-2012, 04:57 PM
Okay, 15cps will do me for now... I need money for other things.

(so will probably be the one that races away when the result comes out!)

soulman
24-08-2012, 05:29 PM
Well done Liz. I need money for other things at 12 but you hold out for 15 10 trading days later. I would have wait for 10 days for the extra 25%.

Joshuatree
21-11-2012, 12:08 PM
Looks like a div in Feb:)

Joshuatree
29-07-2013, 06:33 PM
Div 0.7c unfranked ( total for year 1.3c unfranked:)and NPAT$6,355 mill. Re Doubled my money as of today

,BUT Tomoorow with the oh so HONEST!!!!??? Profit Guidance of $3.7 million profit next year!!!! who knows. Is that bizarre or what.!!

steve fleming
29-07-2013, 09:29 PM
Div 0.7c unfranked ( total for year 1.3c unfranked:)and NPAT$6,355 mill. Re Doubled my money as of today

,BUT Tomoorow with the oh so HONEST!!!!??? Profit Guidance of $3.7 million profit next year!!!! who knows. Is that bizarre or what.!!

Quite an odd announcement.

Really talked the company's profitability down.

Don't think it is as bad as COO made it out to be though.

If you take the $1m performance right amortisation off $6.4m and then apply a 30% tax rate, it gives you $3.7m, so normalised FY14 pretty much is in line with FY13 on a like-for like treatment of tax.

But the announcement made it seem like a pretty bad decline.

Joshuatree
30-07-2013, 08:17 PM
Cheers for drilling in Steve; Coo finished at 17c (got as low as 15c). If they maintain the div im getting re 12% (more in $NZ)based on my entry @ 11c, its a keeper.

David Hardman
30-01-2014, 06:10 PM
Good numbers out from COO yesterday.

Undervalued IMHO.

PE 6, Market cap 38m, Cash in Bank 10m. No Debt, Making 5+m PA. Paying dividends 8% yield.

Hard to get a position. Decent volume typically only available around reporting periods.

Company releases the bare minimum of information to shareholders.. frustrating.

Joshuatree
30-01-2014, 06:15 PM
I agree but the Macro is more telling atm . I sold a while back building some cash. Good luck.