2013 Stock Picking Contest - Final Results - Friday 20th December 2013

[Snow Leopard]

Amoretti LXII

The weary yeare his race now having run,
The new begins his compast course anew:
With shew of morning mylde he hath begun,
Betokening peace and plenty to ensew.
So let us, which this chaunge of weather vew,
Chaunge eeke our mynds and former lives amend,
The old yeares sinnes forepast let us eschew,
And fly the faults with which we did offend.
Then shall the new yeares joy forth freshly send,
Into the glooming world his gladsome ray:
And all these stormes which now his beauty blend,
Shall turne to caulmes and tymely cleare away.
So likewise love cheare you your heavy spright,
And chaunge old yeares annoy to new delight.

EDMUND SPENSER

[Snow Leopard]

Version 1 - the ones you know and love.

1) listed on the NZSX or NZAX and with a market cap of greater than $10m at the close of trade of the current or previous trading day. Additionally the selection must not be suspended;
2) five picks; not four, not six, and seven is right out;
3) your entry price is the first-traded price from the day following of the posting of your selections;
4) entries and modifications to entries accepted until the end of Sunday 13th January 2013;
5) competition closes with last traded price on Friday 20th December 2013;
6) there is no rule 6;
7) cash is not an option;
8) dividends and rights issues will be incorporated;
9) if a choice delists you can pick a replacement;
10) anything else - we make it up as we go along;
11) in each and every matter the Tiger's decision is final;
12) thanks to Lizard for assisting last year;
13) someone to make this thread sticky please.


Best wishes
Paper Tiger

[modandm]

AIR - continued earnings growth above market estimates - lots of detail in AIR thread 1yPT $2.00
SKC - modest earnings growth, solid dividend and likely multiple expansion on growth projects 1yPT $4.40
NZX - leveraged to increased listing activity/trading volumes + defensive growth 1yPT $1.50
FBU - US housing market + Chch rebuilding - not cheap but okay 1yPT $10
NEW - Speculative, continued improvement is revenue and benefit of new factory - EM consumer growth 1yPT $0.60

- in order of conviction.

It's going to be alot tougher this year than last - sure has been a great market 2012.

Good luck to all and thanks to PT.

[Dej]

Is it possible for people to offer some breif reasoning to their picks, so we can do our own research and compare it to what others think :)

[Jay]

Thanks PT for taking this on again
DIL - Something up - US listing?? new product in the pipeline??
FBU - ChCh just getting underway - we hope!
HNZ - License granted , will slowly re-rate next year
PPL - Looks like something maybe up here or at least better results
RYM - Consistent growth with Divies

Hold 4 of the 5 at present

[Xerof]

Good for you PT,

DIL - my rock for the past two or three comps - no reason to abandon it now
AIR - should fly this year
ATM - growth story to be milked
PGW - has bottomed out technically, so lets see if the rally continues
NZO - just to annoy Balance:p

cheers

[Blendy]

re rule 4: does this mean that the first week of the competition begins mon jan 14?

[CJ]

re rule 4: does this mean that the first week of the competition begins mon jan 14?Refer rule 3, it starts from the next trading day after you post so its all on like Donkey Kong from Monday, but no later than 14 Jan 2013.

[pierre]

Thanks again PT - your dedication to this task is remarkable and to be commended.

CNU - the Govt will sort out the pricing drama
DIL - on a roll
HNZ - well below NTA - possible T/O target? (not as hot as FPA this year tho)
SKC - no gamble with this one
FBU - lots of building to be done

Joyeux Noel to all.

Pierre

[Dej]

DIL - probable US uplisting, been a solid preformer this year, hoping for a new product thats decent this year for further growth
RYM - made most my money this year on this stock, so I have faith for next year ++ Dividens!
PPL - Takeover oppourtunity (I hope)
PGW - at a low, hoping for a bounce back to true value
ATM - my little project

Cheers PT - first time!

[Blendy]

Refer rule 3, it starts from the next trading day after you post so its all on like Donkey Kong from Monday, but no later than 14 Jan 2013.

Yes i realise that's the starting price, but we're allowed to change our mind up until the 13th Jan? So if the picks we make today all change adversely by then, we get a free chance to change? I'm not sure if that's the intention of the rule?

[forest]

I enjoy the well organised contest PT, here are my picks.

CDI, DIL, DGL, HNZ and RYM

[PlatnuM195]

Ok here's my picks:

DIL, XRO, RYM, TEL, CNU

[Snow Leopard]

Yes i realise that's the starting price, but we're allowed to change our mind up until the 13th Jan? So if the picks we make today all change adversely by then, we get a free chance to change? I'm not sure if that's the intention of the rule?

The rule allows you to change, so it is a facility you can make use of if it suits you.

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[The Grinch]

Thanks PT!

1. PEB - With approval in march and the begining of US sales we should know by the end of the year if CXbladder is the new way we do things.
2. PGW - As mentioned has bottomed out and should see some modest recovery.
3. TEL - Good Divvie and good potential for cost reduction to get those margins back in line (besides to the best of my knowledge RBS equities has the gloomiest forcast and at 2013 EPS of 17.38 it's not the end of the world.)
4. NPX - Heading in the right direction, should see some benefits from their NuLeap initiative showing through by EOY13.
5. TTK - My fav lil stock, Excellent management (made plenty of $$ out of obsolete tech and are transitioning well) and should see them pull a rabbit or two out of the hat late in the year in regards to their new acquisition. Will be disappointed if its not sitting on at least 3.50 by the time we round things up.

[Silverlight]

Gff
mvn
mhi
npx
skt

[pedro.nz]

TEL
SCT
IFT
CEN
MET

Thanks PT

[binary]

Dil
peb
atm
pgw
crp

[SCOTTY]

Hi P.T. Thanks very much for doing this again. My entries are:

HNZ
PGC
PGW
PHB
SKC

Cheers

[janner]

Thank you PT for you giving your time over another year..

I learnt much over the past two years that I have entered..
From most of the entrants.. Make that all of the entrants :-))

I hope they did to..

A thanks to Lizard must also be included.. You have a great back stop there PT..

So !!!..

So much to think about.. So little time..

Will reserve my picks for a later date..

Cheers for the Season..

[Minerbarejet]

From Majorbarejet
1. PGW: Signs of life at last
2. CAV : How low can you go? Chch rebuild.
3. STU: You aint seen nuthin yet.
4. FBU : Chch et al
5. RNS : Maybe it will make one
Holding three of five
Have a nice day

[noodles]

This market seems way overvalued. It is quite hard to find stocks with value and growth potential. Apart from NEW, I would not expect much more than modest gains.

NEW
MHI
CVT
AIR
SCT

[tim23]

Hi - my picks
PGG
HNZ
APN
SKT
PPP

[iceman]

Thanks for doing this again PT. Admire your commitment and diligence.
My picks are:

DIL Great growth and cash generation. Possible US listing
PGW Re-energized and focused on its core business. Growth opportunity in China.
HNZ Banking license will assist growth. Discount to NTA. Divies coming
RYM Simply great
ATM Huge growth in Aussie and has potential to be replicated elsewhere. Use Aussie story to get into UK and China.

Holding all but 1 at present

[Everwood]

My picks:

ATM
DIL
ECO
PPL
SUM

[Cool Bear]

Yay, my very first post! Thanks PT.

I join ST a couple of months ago and have followed this year contest and many of the other threads with interest. Just started investing in NZ in 2009. Make 40+% that year, albeit from a very small base, and then lost it all and much more the next 2 years mostly courtesy of NZO. 2012 had been positive, thanks goodness. Enough about me, my picks are:

CMO - purely based on low PE and high NTA
AIA - the biggest beneficiary of the Hobbit (might even consider buying in?)
HNZ - banking licence to slowly start attracting punters?
NZO - the one that took my pants and all, maybe I took the loss too soon?
ARG - if it all turn to custard, this will be the defensive stock

[seagull]

My Picks

cnu atm npx fbu rym

Cheers

[apostle 95]

My Picks are

BLT
FBU
NPX
HNZ
NWF

[skydog]

For the comp please:

FPH
NPX
GPG
NZO
RAK- This dog may be down and is in trouble, but the Robinsons must know 2013 is their make or break year. Hopefully they make something of it by the end of this comp. Oh well, nothing ventured nothing gained. Thanks PT.

[blobbles]

Ill have a go...

PEB
HNZ
ATM
BLT
TTK

I own stocks in all but one of these, so I am putting my money where my mouth is also :-)

Maybe RAK next year, if they still exist at that point.

[glennj]

My picks. All held!
EBO
GPG
NPX
RBD
STU

[JBmurc]

--Can't do any worse than 2012...

-OGC
-NZO
-GEL
-PEB
-CUE

[skeet]

NZX
TME
NZO
LME
FSF

Cheers

[janner]

My attempt, to not finish in last place, for the third year running. :D

GEL
LME
PGW
PLU
PPP

Bwahhaaaa..

Sorry Yankiwi... You did leave yourself open to it :-))

It is all really in the lap of the gods.. Hope you do well :-)

[Xerof]

You cunning dogs who think BLT can be a multi bagger from 1cent need to replace it with another pick.

It does not comply with rule #1

[janner]

A polite way of putting it Xerof.. :-)

[blobbles]

Ill have a go...

PEB
HNZ
ATM
BLT
TTK

I own stocks in all but one of these, so I am putting my money where my mouth is also :-)

Maybe RAK next year, if they still exist at that point.

True Xerof! My pics then are:


PEB
HNZ
ATM
FPH
TTK

Three of mine are export companies, I am thinking its about time the NZ dollar started dropping, resulting in better conditions for exporters, higher margins and hence share prices. Two are good dividend bets and HNZ I am hoping will make big strides...

[Cool Bear]

You cunning dogs who think BLT can be a multi bagger from 1cent need to replace it with another pick.

It does not comply with rule #1
If BLT goes to 1.5 cents before 13 Jan, it will just cross the $10m cap. Then we can change one of our picks to BLT. must eat more ice cream :)

[waikare]

Mine are:
RYM
ATM
TTK
PGW
RSN

Hold all of these, cheers Waikare

[Grimy]

Many thanks for all the work put in. My picks this time around are;
STU
NZO
RYM
PGW
CEN

[johndes]

Thanks PT

NZO
TEL
CNU
NPX
IFT

[Pete]

My picks;

FBU
RYM
NZO
CRP
FPH

[CJ]

I have gone reasonably defensive as I am not sure what type of year we will have:

DIL Still got plenty to grow
RYM can still grow independent of economy
FBU chch rebuild
TEL defensive yield pick
FPH safe stock that will benefit alot if the dollar reverses this year ( I don't think it will but just in case)

[NZSilver]

Dil
rym
sum
tel
hnz

[Snow Leopard]

Current matters for resolution.

apostle 95:
BLT market cap is less than $10M (requires SP of at least $0.015 to be eligble).

majorbarejet:
RNS market cap is less that $10M (requires SP of at least $0.222 to be eligble).

tim23:
PGG does not exist

waikare
RSN does not exist


best wishes
Paper Tiger

[janner]

You may well have the last laugh.. I am finding it very difficult to select for this comp..

What with the World in turmoil .. Syria falling to Al Quaeda.. Putting them in a postion to take over the Russian Iskander missiles..

etc..etc..etc..



Thanks for the note janner.

You might be just a bit quick to the mark with your Bwahhaaaa.

At the moment, I'm tied for 1st place in 2013! ;)

[artemis]

Sum
dil
ift
hnz
tme

[elZorro]

Thanks PT, could I have:

FPH
GEL
HNZ
OGC
SPY

[kizame]

DIL - way more growth yet.
PGW - recovery in rural spending
NPX - slow recovery europe,aus/nz
MHI - well run retail will also benefit from recovery in spending.
HNZ -progression from setup to fully functioning bank.

Thank you papertiger for your time running this.

[swissboy]

FBU
FSF
NZO
PPP
SEK

Thanks Swissboy

[Heke]

Thanks PT

HNZ
RYM
TEL
WHS
SKC

[waikare]

Current matters for resolution.

apostle 95:
BLT market cap is less than $10M (requires SP of at least $0.015 to be eligble).

majorbarejet:
RNS market cap is less that $10M (requires SP of at least $0.222 to be eligble).

tim23:
PGG does not exist

waikare
RSN does not exist


best wishes
Paper Tiger

Sorry PT that should have read RNS (Renaissance) but I see that is eligable, so I'll go with TEL.

Cheers Waikare

[golden city]

my pick for the year is GFF,THL,PGW,NEW,AIR

[zs_cecil]

My pick is

HNZ
PGW
PEB
RAK
XRO

Last few years were the bad years for the stocks starting with "P". Next year will be a turn around for them. I count HNZ into one of the "P" stock because of its history related to PGC.
RAK is in trouble. But I think it is not the end of the world for the company. I would like to take the bottom and "gamble" on its turn around in short term.
XRO is in its all time high. I think it would be even higher. Cash is the king. Market still needs to be verified. I am looking forward to seeing how Xero is going to effectively burn its cash and grab the market in US. God bless the US $$$.

[apostle 95]

Thanks PT for the information

I have substituted PPP for BLT so my picks now read


PPP
FBU
NPX
HNZ
NWF

Thanks and best wishes


Apostle 95

[lissica]

Rym- because I own it

FBU- because I own it

MFT- because I own it

IFT- because I own it

NZO- because I own it

Dreadfully dull, but these are some of my largest holdings and I don't see a need to adjust them for the comp- it's more or less what I submit every year. Tidying up the portfolio so might have a different set for 2014.

[CJ]

The NZ Herald releases the 2013 broker picks.


http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=10856017grrr. I'm out of town and the Herald never publishes online the tables which go with the stories. It means reading articles like this and B Gaynors articles lose a lot of context.

[Felix]

Pretty average picks for the last competition left me as one of four people with a negative result for the year. Oh well, let's give it another shot...

CAV - very average year for the company in 2012 so looking for an improvement in 2013
CNU - bit of a gamble, with their battles with the regulators. Could go either way
MET - recent inclusion in the NZX50, still at discount to NTA and in growing sector. Hoping to see benefits of 2012 merger being realised in 2013
NEW - company coming back nicely after a couple of tough years
PGW - high commodity prices, good weather and happy farmers, and a company that is getting itself back in shape

Disc - own MET only

[QOH]

My picks are
FBU
OGC
AIR
HNZ
AIA
Thanks PT for all your hard work.
Thinking it will be harder to find a bargain this year.

[janner]

grrr. I'm out of town and the Herald never publishes online the tables which go with the stories. It means reading articles like this and B Gaynors articles lose a lot of context.

Why the gnashing of the teeth CJ. you have already made your pick !!.. Post 48..

Second thoughts maybe ??..

On that subject... I am with you.. Which.. Why.. When... and .. why for... :-(((.. :-(((((.. I do read Brian Gaynors posts.. and do not agree with some of them.. That is life !!..

For this years comp.. I find myself treading gently through a mine-field..

Not the finger hovering over a Buy/Sell order.. Which can be corrected..

The stake for me is to be better than 19th.. The best position I have ever held.. but never there at the end..

24th...

Can do better was in all of my school reports..

WILL DO BETTER THIS YEAR... :-))

So !!! My choices this year ??..

Sorry PT.. will take this one to the wire..

Hoping to many forum people do not give you a hard time by changing their picks ..

[Jack]

ABA
AIR
ATM
CNU
PGW

Thanks PT

[CJ]

Why the gnashing of the teeth CJ. you have already made your pick !!.. Post 48..

Second thoughts maybe ??.. happy with my picks and unlikely ant news before 13/1/13 will change my mind. My gnashing of teeth was because they only put up part of the article losing context. They will have to step up their game if they decide to go pay wall.

[janner]

happy with my picks and unlikely ant news before 13/1/13 will change my mind. My gnashing of teeth was because they only put up part of the article losing context. They will have to step up their game if they decide to go pay wall.

Pay wall for " The Herald ".. What are you on CJ ??..

[amalgam]

Thanks for running this --
My Picks--CNU, TEL, DGR, NPX, PGW

[Guild]

Thanks PT and Lizard for all your hard work last year and amusing commentary
Either aiming for the bottom or the top.
PPP
STU
SCY
NPX
SPY

[Breastwork]

Hey PT, mine for 2013 are:
AIR
DIL
PGC
PGW
RYM
Regards, BW

[Major von Tempsky]

Cnu
tel
hlg
rym
ebos

[CJ]

The NZ Herald releases the 2013 broker picks.


http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=10856017Any chance we can get these added to the list. They would be a good comparison/benchmark to see if we should keep doing the thinking ourselves or just rely on the pro's and enjoy life a bit more:

Craigs Investment Partners

F&P Healthcare
Sky TV
Ryman Healthcare
Diligent
Templeton

First NZ Capital

Kathmandu
PGG Wrightson
Diligent
Summerset
Sky TV

Hamilton Hindin Greene

PGG Wrightson
Chorus
Contact
National Property Trust
Tower

Macquarie

Ryman
Restaurant Brand
Goodman Fielder
Pumpkin Patch
TradeMe

Forsyth Barr

Mainfreight
PGG Wrightson
Ryman Healthcare
Sky City
Skellerup

Goldman Sachs

Fletcher Building
Sky City
Infratil
Air NZ
Guinness Peat Group

McDouall Stuart

Tower
Skellerup
NZX
Diligent
A2 Corporation

[SCOTTY]

Hey PT, mine for 2013 are:
AIR
DIL
PGC
PGW
RYM
Regards, BW

Interesting Breastwork - you and I are the only ones to pick PGC so far. I do not hold them myself but I would not be surprised if Georgie Boy makes a bid to clean out the minorities. Avoiding and hiding (he could not make the AGM :blush:) from the glare and scrutiny of operating a listed public company must be sooooo................... annoying !!! That is if he can find the $$$s for a bid?

[emearg]

Anybody interested in doing me a favour by buying a few Blis shares to push the shareprice/capitalisation over the required threshold? A few hundred of your dollars could buy me first place in this competition should the ducks finally align :p

[Snow Leopard]

Current matters for resolution.

majorbarejet:
RNS market cap is less that $10M (requires SP of at least $0.222 to be eligble).

tim23
PGG does not exist.

amalgam
DGR does not exist.


best wishes
Paper Tiger

[Snow Leopard]

Any chance we can get these added to the list. They would be a good comparison/benchmark to see if we should keep doing the thinking ourselves or just rely on the pro's and enjoy life a bit more:


I will add them to the comparison section of the contest this year

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[hairofthedog]

Hi, new to the Share Trader Forum and to investing. Finding your comments useful.

My newbie picks are:

RYM
PGW
XRO
PEB
FBU

Cheers

[stoploss]

2013 Picks - thanks for running the comp

ATM- Like the sector
AWF-couple of good years, CHCH rebuild likely to give them a boost this year.
MCK- trading well under asset backing, time this gap closed up
PGW- starting to trend up.
PPL-turnaround well under way.

[brucey09]

Snr. Paper Tigers
I like to enter for 2013 please.
CNU
HBY
MCK
NZO
TWR

last years #92 2013 much good.

[pierre]

Anybody interested in doing me a favour by buying a few Blis shares to push the shareprice/capitalisation over the required threshold? A few hundred of your dollars could buy me first place in this competition should the ducks finally align :p

I've got just over a million reasons to hope that somebody might accede to your request emearg - and if they do you wont be alone in adding BLT to the pick list! But good news - a 9.1% upwards movement today. Let's hope the trend is our friend!

[amalgam]

Hello Paper Tiger
Will you please change DGR to DPC-- not sure why I put DGR {I have been looking at some ASX shares}
thanks
Amalgam

[lou]

ATM - Love the story, will be backed this year.
PGG - Value play
OGC - Value play
HNZ - trading under NTA
CNU - Patent pending analysis formula see this as the most under valued on the NZX.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=10856017
According to this article RYM, DIL and PGG are what the brokers are backing. Does this mean they should be shorts this year, lol?
What ever the case I have one of them in my portfolio.

[janner]

Anybody interested in doing me a favour by buying a few Blis shares to push the shareprice/capitalisation over the required threshold? A few hundred of your dollars could buy me first place in this competition should the ducks finally align :p



Piss of.. !!.. Hahaha..

[janner]

I have a feeling that this may be the most entered Competion ever..

Which has to be all good from which ever position it is looked at..

Thanks P T..

[Breastwork]

Agree Scotty. 50% increase to take out the minorities or delist which would invoke rule 9

[garfy]

Having been fascinated innocent for 2012 thought I should show my hand -

AIR
HNZ
PEB
PGW
SUM

A very interesting competition....

Hold all.

Garfy

[Anonymous]

Hi PT. I've enjoyed watching this for a few years so thought I would give it a go this year with:
ATM
CNU
DIL
HNZ
PEB

Thanks for putting in the hard yards!

[ak1261]

My picks for 2013:

PGW
AIR
RAK
TEL
NZO

Thanks

[Alz99]

AIR
OIC
TEN
RAK
STU

thanks

[Nigel]

Hey emearg, looks like BLT might make it into the comp :) It just traded at 1.5 cents, and any shareholders who need to buy stock to ensure their minimum shareholding is met will need to buy at 1.9 cents - so it could be up even more shortly.

[emearg]

Hey emearg, looks like BLT might make it into the comp :) It just traded at 1.5 cents, and any shareholders who need to buy stock to ensure their minimum shareholding is met will need to buy at 1.9 cents - so it could be up even more shortly.

Great timing and thanks for the heads up! :)

Right I am entering the competition now at 15:20. I have a screenshot at the same time showing market cap exceeding 10 million. This means I comply with rule 1....

My entries:

BLT
CNU
FBU
RYM
XRO


Thanks for your ongoing efforts PT.

[lowrolling]

My picks be

ATM
DIL
PEB
PGW
BLT

Thanks PT.

[Nigel]

Rule #3 = "your entry price is the first-traded price from the day following of the posting of your selections"

You guys need to hope like crazy that no-one else buys any BLT shares today! You want the remaining 15000 shares at 1.5c to go on Monday to register your buy-in price at 1.5 cents, then enjoy 12 months of rising share price as sales increase and new products come online. Could be a nice performer :)

[Cool Bear]

I've got just over a million reasons to hope that somebody might accede to your request emearg - and if they do you wont be alone in adding BLT to the pick list! But good news - a 9.1% upwards movement today. Let's hope the trend is our friend!
now, you got a million reasons to smile.

[pierre]

Thanks again PT - your dedication to this task is remarkable and to be commended.

CNU - the Govt will sort out the pricing drama
DIL - on a roll
HNZ - well below NTA - possible T/O target? (not as hot as FPA this year tho)
SKC - no gamble with this one
FBU - lots of building to be done

Joyeux Noel to all.

Pierre

Hi PT

Now that BLT qualifies for the competition I'd like to include that in place of HNZ please.

Merci

Pierre

[pierre]

now, you got a million reasons to smile.

Thanks CB - happy with the closing SP today - though with only one sale at that price it's not looking too secure yet.

[emearg]

Rule #3 = "your entry price is the first-traded price from the day following of the posting of your selections"

You guys need to hope like crazy that no-one else buys any BLT shares today! You want the remaining 15000 shares at 1.5c to go on Monday to register your buy-in price at 1.5 cents, then enjoy 12 months of rising share price as sales increase and new products come online. Could be a nice performer :)

No rule 1 and rule 3 are different. Rule 1 (listed on the NZSX or NZAX and with a market cap of greater than $10m at time of entry and not suspended;) states which companies qualify. Blis qualified when I entered. Rule 3 (your entry price is the first-traded price from the day following of the posting of your selections;)is about the price that the BLT portion of my 2013 portfolio is recorded at. It could be more or less than 1.5 cents depending on what happens next Monday (or later should they not trade on Monday)

Should I misunderstand the rules I'm sure PT will clarify. Cheers

[emearg]

You want the remaining 15000 shares at 1.5c to go on Monday to register your buy-in price at 1.5 cents, then enjoy 12 months of rising share price as sales increase and new products come online. Could be a nice performer :)

Actually it will be even better if somebody matches the current highest bid which is 1.2 cents. Perhaps you could flog a few on Monday morning Nigel? It would be a fantastic belated Xmas present!! ;)

[Nigel]

Perhaps you could flog a few on Monday morning Nigel? It would be a fantastic belated Xmas present!! ;)

As much as I'd love to help you out, I won't be selling :)

[Snow Leopard]

Results to Friday 28th December 2012.

Should contain all who entered up to the end of Thursday, 27th Dec 2012.
Remember: Entries accepted to the end of Sunday 13th Jan 2013.

bottom three only have 4 valid selections, you won't win like that.



1
SparkyTheClown
6.28%
[PEB(20.45) PGW(7.32) TEL(2.66) RYM(1.35) DIL(-0.36)]


2
The Grinch
5.95%
[PEB(20.45) PGW(7.32) TEL(2.66) NPX(-0.31) TTK(-0.35)]


3
black knat
5.86%
[PEB(20.45) PGW(7.32) ATM(1.89) DPC(0.00) DIL(-0.36)]


4
binary
5.27%
[PEB(20.45) PGW(7.32) ATM(1.89) DIL(-0.36) CRP(-2.94)]


5
zs_cecil
4.55%
[PEB(15.22) PGW(4.76) RAK(2.78) HNZ(0.00) XRO(0.00)]


6
bobbles
4.32%
[PEB(20.45) ATM(1.89) HNZ(0.00) TTK(-0.35) FPH(-0.41)]


7
Jbmurc
3.54%
[PEB(20.45) OGC(2.99) NZO(1.75) CUE(0.00) GEL(-7.50)]


8
Xerof
2.59%
[PGW(7.32) AIR(2.34) ATM(1.89) NZO(1.75) DIL(-0.36)]


9
waikare
2.30%
[PGW(7.32) ATM(1.89) RYM(1.35) TEL(1.31) TTK(-0.35)]


10
iceman
2.04%
[PGW(7.32) ATM(1.89) RYM(1.35) HNZ(0.00) DIL(-0.36)]


11
Grimy
1.97%
[PGW(7.32) NZO(1.75) RYM(1.35) STU(0.00) CEN(-0.57)]


12
Dej
1.89%
[PGW(7.32) ATM(1.89) RYM(1.35) DIL(-0.36) PPL(-0.75)]


13
David B
1.47%
[PEB(3.92) TEL(1.98) ATM(1.89) DIL(0.00) SUM(-0.45)]


14
SCOTTY
1.36%
[PGW(7.32) HNZ(0.00) PGC(0.00) PHB(0.00) SKC(-0.53)]


15
hairofthedog
1.34%
[PEB(3.92) PGW(2.33) RYM(0.45) XRO(0.13) FBU(-0.12)]


16
brucey09
1.30%
[HBY(5.62) NZO(1.16) TWR(1.05) MCK(0.00) CNU(-1.36)]


17
Sliverlight
1.16%
[GFF(6.58) SKT(1.66) MHI(0.00) NPX(-0.31) MVN(-2.14)]


18
johndes
1.02%
[TEL(2.66) NZO(1.75) IFT(1.32) NPX(-0.31) CNU(-0.34)]


19
CJ
1.01%
[TEL(2.66) FBU(1.82) RYM(1.35) DIL(-0.36) FPH(-0.41)]


20
Guild
0.98%
[SCY(7.14) NPX(0.00) PPP(0.00) SPY(-0.58) STU(-1.64)]


21
PlatnuM195
0.93%
[TEL(2.66) RYM(1.35) XRO(1.33) CNU(-0.34) DIL(-0.36)]


22
lissica
0.89%
[NZO(1.75) RYM(1.12) FBU(0.72) IFT(0.44) MFT(0.43)]


23
seagull
0.88%
[ATM(1.89) FBU(1.82) RYM(1.35) NPX(-0.31) CNU(-0.34)]


24
Breastwork
0.87%
[PGW(4.76) RYM(1.12) AIR(0.77) PGC(0.00) DIL(-2.32)]


25
amalgam
0.81%
[PGW(4.76) TEL(1.31) DPC(0.00) NPX(0.00) CNU(-2.02)]


26
NZSilver
0.73%
[TEL(2.66) RYM(1.35) HNZ(0.00) SUM(0.00) DIL(-0.36)]


27
stoploss
0.69%
[PGW(2.33) ATM(1.89) AWF(0.00) MCK(0.00) PPL(-0.75)]


28
Jack
0.67%
[PGW(4.76) ATM(1.89) AIR(0.77) CNU(-2.02) ABA(-2.05)]


29
kizame
0.65%
[PGW(4.76) MHI(0.81) HNZ(0.00) NPX(0.00) DIL(-2.32)]


30
apostle 95
0.50%
[FBU(1.82) NWF(0.98) HNZ(0.00) PPP(0.00) NPX(-0.31)]


31
pedro.nz
0.49%
[TEL(2.66) IFT(1.32) SCT(0.00) CEN(-0.57) MET(-0.97)]


32
Jay
0.41%
[FBU(1.82) RYM(1.35) HNZ(0.00) DIL(-0.36) PPL(-0.75)]


33
swissboy
0.41%
[NZO(1.75) FBU(0.72) PPP(0.00) SEK(0.00) FSF(-0.42)]


34
skydog
0.38%
[NZO(1.75) GPG(0.85) RAK(0.00) NPX(-0.31) FPH(-0.41)]


35
golden city
0.34%
[PGW(4.76) GFF(3.85) AIR(0.77) THL(0.00) NEW(-7.69)]


36
Pete
0.31%
[FBU(1.82) NZO(1.75) RYM(1.35) FPH(-0.41) CRP(-2.94)]


37
Cool Bear
0.28%
[NZO(1.75) ARG(0.55) CMO(0.00) HNZ(0.00) AIA(-0.92)]


38
skeet
0.25%
[NZO(1.75) LME(1.39) FSF(0.00) TME(-0.25) NZX(-1.64)]


39
Yankiwi
0.24%
[PGW(7.32) LME(1.39) PLU(0.00) PPP(0.00) GEL(-7.50)]


40
forest
0.20%
[RYM(1.35) CDI(0.00) DGL(0.00) HNZ(0.00) DIL(-0.36)]


41
QOH
0.17%
[AIR(0.77) FBU(0.72) OGC(0.29) HNZ(0.00) AIA(-0.92)]


42
Everwood
0.16%
[ATM(1.89) ECO(0.00) SUM(0.00) DIL(-0.36) PPL(-0.75)]


43
pierre
0.12%
[FBU(1.82) HNZ(0.00) CNU(-0.34) DIL(-0.36) SKC(-0.53)]


44
Major von Tempsky
0.03%
[TEL(1.98) RYM(0.45) EBO(0.00) HLG(-0.93) CNU(-1.36)]


45
artemis
-0.64%
[IFT(0.44) HNZ(0.00) TME(0.00) SUM(-1.33) DIL(-2.32)]


46
smokin cubans
-0.65%
[ATM(1.89) FBU(1.82) CNU(-0.34) CEN(-0.57) BFW(-6.06)]


47
glennj
-0.70%
[GPG(0.85) STU(0.00) NPX(-0.31) EBO(-0.36) RBD(-3.65)]


48
noodles
-0.80%
[AIR(2.34) CVT(1.37) MHI(0.00) SCT(0.00) NEW(-7.69)]


49
Felix
-0.87%
[PGW(4.76) CAV(0.60) MET(0.00) CNU(-2.02) NEW(-7.69)]


50
modandm
-1.14%
[AIR(2.34) FBU(1.82) SKC(-0.53) NZX(-1.64) NEW(-7.69)]


51
elZorro
-1.56%
[OGC(0.29) FPH(0.00) HNZ(0.00) SPY(-0.58) GEL(-7.50)]


52
majorbarejet
-17.81%
[PGW(7.32) CAV(1.82) FBU(1.82) STU(0.00)]


53
lou
-19.60%
[ATM(1.89) OGC(1.47) HNZ(0.00) CNU(-1.36)]


54
tim23
-19.67%
[SKT(1.66) APN(0.00) HNZ(0.00) PPP(0.00)]








-
ST Top 5
2.04%
[PGW(7.32) ATM(1.89) RYM(1.35) HNZ(0.00) DIL(-0.36)]


-
Forsyth Barr
2.02%
[PGW(4.76) SKL(3.27) RYM(1.12) SKC(0.53) MFT(0.43)]


-
First NZ Capital
0.82%
[PGW(4.76) SKT(2.51) KMD(0.50) SUM(-1.33) DIL(-2.32)]


-
Hamilton HG
0.54%
[PGW(4.76) TWR(0.52) NPT(0.00) CEN(-0.57) CNU(-2.02)]


-
Goldman Sachs
0.49%
[AIR(0.77) FBU(0.72) SKC(0.53) IFT(0.44) GPG(0.00)]


-
Craigs IP
0.44%
[SKT(2.51) RYM(1.12) TEM(0.89) FPH(0.00) DIL(-2.32)]


-
McDougall Stuart
0.34%
[SKL(3.27) ATM(1.89) TWR(0.52) NZX(-1.64) DIL(-2.32)]


-
MacQuarie
0.04%
[GFF(3.85) RYM(1.12) TME(0.00) PPL(-1.48) RBD(-3.30)]




best wishes
Paper Tiger

"I was born under a wandering star"

[Snow Leopard]

Current matters for resolution.

majorbarejet:
RNS market cap is less that $10M (requires SP of at least $0.222 to be eligble).

tim23
PGG does not exist.

lou:
PGG still does not exist

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[Snow Leopard]

I am amending Rule No 1

from:

1) listed on the NZSX or NZAX and with a market cap of greater than $10m at time of entry and not suspended;

to:

1) listed on the NZSX or NZAX and with a market cap of greater than $10m at the close of trade of the current or previous trading day. Additionally the selection must not be suspended;

[Thus for BLT it can be chosen as a legal entry from Today until the end of Monday 31st Dec, even if the closing price is less than $0.015 on Monday.
It will be eligible on Tuesday if it closes at $0.015 or higher on Monday.]

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[Cool Bear]

Thanks PT. You run a fantastic competition.

Can I replace my CMO with BLT?

Disc: bought just a few shares earlier this month at 1c - thought it will be more fun and better returns than instant kiwi and now liking the 50% paper returns :)

[Snow Leopard]

Thanks PT. You run a fantastic competition.

Can I replace my CMO with BLT?

Yes you can!

4) entries and modifications to entries accepted until the end of Sunday 13th January 2013;

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[Nigel]

Right, might as well enter then....

I'll run with:
BLT (still cheap, clinically-proven product, new products due 2013, massive potential)
RYM (proven performer, demand sector)
FPH (well-run, good products, good run for past 6 months, no reason it shouldn't continue)
FBU (housing shortage, christchurch rebuild)
PGW (hopefully has turned the corner!)

Thanks :)

[iceman]

This is going to be interesting. My 5 picks turn out to be the ST top 5. Not sure if that's good or bad :eek2:

[GR8DAY]

......here's mine (going for gold)

PEB,BLT,OGC,PGW,DIL


CHEERS PT!

[lou]

Hey PT can you add PGW(PGG Wrightson Limited (https://www.nzx.com/companies/PGW)) to my picks I got the code wrong.

[janner]

PT. you are doing an even better comp this year than last.. Think there will be a huge increase in entries..

Which makes my decisions even harder to make.. Do I hope that BLT will put on a cent ??.. PEB comes through..
Go for the good solid companies that will make ME money.. ??..

Decisions... Decisions..

[troyvdh]

....is CUE totally loveless......so far....PT ?....thats weird.....cheers....troy...

..and why the hurry for folk to put entries in....cheers

[shasta]

Thanks for running the comp again PT, my picks for 2013

IFT - Energy play, large holding in TPW, 2/3rds Wellington Airport, 50% Jv in "Z" (old Shell downstream assets) & other bits & pieces
EBO - Healthcare supplier, well run company, & i seem to have become a "consumer" of health services of late through injuries!
RBC - Main Assets; holding in Tenon & ArborGen, upside from US Housing turnaround (via Tenon) & seeds technology (ArborGen).
DGL - Viticulture pick, premium wine brands, well run company, pays a dividend & industry coming through bad times/oversupply
CUE - Oil & Gas company - mostly to appease Troyvdh ^ :D

Cheers

[amalgam]

Hi PT
I would like to take this opportunity to take a gamble & change NPX to BLT--thanks for everything amalgam

[mistymountain]

PPP hope...
NZO new drilling
PPL online sales
BGR down to earth CEO
OGC didiopio finally hitting market

[Penfold]

Earthquake rebuild... that's the main bright spot I see. Picked all companies with a link to the rebuild, not matter how tenuous.

FBU
LPC
CNU
HNZ
RYM

Thanks

[Snow Leopard]

This is going to be interesting. My 5 picks turn out to be the ST top 5. Not sure if that's good or bad :eek2:

The top 5 could change as new and modified entries are submitted.

best wishes

[pierre]

I trust that those who have selected BLT for the 2013 competition and do not already have them in their portfolio will do their bit for the SP by purchasing at least 25,000 shares (the new minimum holding) in the next week or so. That could help to give us all a head start in the competition and at the same time assist current holders with their portfolio valuation.

Just a thought.

[winner69]

I just wonder whether this would breach any laws of the land - manipulating share prices for a contest - given that people have left comments in this thread.

I hope I'm just being silly season paranoid here, but it would be a real nuisance if Blis shareholders got in trouble for manipulating a penny dreadful's price and sharetrader.co.nz suffered some associated fallout.

Fools all of them sparks ..... there was only one sale at 1.5 cents on Friday anyway and it just happened top be the alst one ..... back to 1.1 cents or less tomorrow and a bad start to the compo for them eh

Never knew $750 'invested' in a stock could cause so much fuss

[pierre]

I just wonder whether this would breach any laws of the land - manipulating share prices for a contest - given that people have left comments in this thread.

I hope I'm just being silly season paranoid here, but it would be a real nuisance if Blis shareholders got in trouble for manipulating a penny dreadful's price and sharetrader.co.nz suffered some associated fallout.

Hah Sparky - I don't think a tongue in cheek comment about an "investment" of about $300 will excite too many people. Still I guess you never know - we do live in a PC environment these days - especially in Central Auckland it seems!

And Winner - a price of 1.1 cents or so on Monday would be rather good as a start point for the competition for those of us who selected BLT on Friday.

Happy new year!

[emearg]

back to 1.1 cents or less tomorrow and a bad start to the compo for them eh

No that would be a good start as that is the entry price for anybody picking Blis on Friday, Saturday or Sunday. I'm correct here aye PT?

[emearg]

I just wonder whether this would breach any laws of the land - manipulating share prices for a contest - given that people have left comments in this thread.

I hope I'm just being silly season paranoid here, but it would be a real nuisance if Blis shareholders got in trouble for manipulating a penny dreadful's price and sharetrader.co.nz suffered some associated fallout.

Unless the buyer or seller was an insider I don't think you need to worry about any fall out. So yes somebody late next year might buy and sell some at 5, 6 or perhaps 7 cents for cents for a nice 500% gain. That would put the Blis holders in front...if only in this competition!

[ScrappyO]

Hi PT my picks are...

PGW
NZX
CUE
IFT
NPX

Thanks

[Beetle]

My picks are:

RYM
XRO
DIL
PEB
SCT

Thanks for running the comp :)

[Vaygor1]

Many thanks Paper Tiger.
My picks in alphabetical order:

ALF
CVT
PGW
RYM
TEL

Currently holding 3 of these 5.

Happy new year,
Vaygor1.

[Dej]

Can I please change PPL for PEB, thanks PT

[Ash]

Hi PT

My Picks

HNZ
RYM
SUM
RBD
FBU

Thanks Ash

[zeros54]

My picks:

ATM
OGC
RYM
DILL
FBU

[mask]

My pick for
hnz
ogc
rym
nzo
pgw
thanks pt

[pierre]

Fools all of them sparks ..... there was only one sale at 1.5 cents on Friday anyway and it just happened top be the alst one ..... back to 1.1 cents or less tomorrow and a bad start to the compo for them eh

Never knew $750 'invested' in a stock could cause so much fuss

Not so sure about the fools bit Winner - opened today at 1.4 - low of 1.3 - and closed again at 1.5. So far, that's just over 100% return for those of us who stocked up in real life at 0.7cps a couple of months back!

And as I interpret the latest rules we'll open in the comp at 1.4cps. I'm happy - roll on BLT.

[bohemian]

My picks are:
RYM
DIL
ATM
PEB
DGL

[Minerbarejet]

Hi PT
Thought RNS might be a bit marginal in my picks
please change my RNS entry to PEB
Thanks - you are doing a great job - much appreciated - Happy New Year from the bottom of the cliff

[binary]

Hi PT

Can you please change CRP to CNU.

Not sure 2013 will be CRP's year. Too many hurdles for it to get over before its a viable investment.

Cheers

[garfy]

I am intrigued that some would enter their choice and not hold them all. I would much prefer to take a loss in an underperforming company, sell, and reinvest in a company that promises to give greater rewards. But, I have to say that I am a very small investor and selling a losing hand would not rock the boat too much. Still, if one believes that a stock will 'perform' well in the coming year, why not buy into it.

Do appreciate very much the comments and criticisms through this forum. And thanks to PT.

garfy

[Blendy]

Right, I've been deliberating over my picks, and this is what I've decided on....

DIL - we all hope we know the story on this
PPL - I feel like this year will be much better now that the UK store issue is resolved and retail seems to be improving in nz
RYM - strong growth, hope it continues
SUM - much the same as above, seems very promising
NWF - I really really hope this is the year that the wind blows a lot and this company has a major turnaround!

disc: I own all of these, for better or worse...

[clips]

the darts have landed on..

EBO
FPH
GPG
NZO
HNZ

cheers

[Taijon]

PT can you please enter me with the following: CNU, SCT, PPP, FBU. ANZ

tHANKS

[777]

CMO
CAV
KIP
RYM
NZO

Thank you.

[troyvdh]

dear garfy...happy new year....you are totally and utterly correct....any fool can "place a bet"...but there is nothing...nothing ...like having "skin in the game"...many folk hate me for this stance...often when speaking to a broker (in years past) I would enquire as to there holdings...inevatiably...there was a blank...response...for so long and probably quite rightlyfully so the share market has been treated like the "TAB"....that is trully sad...yet i can promise you that further responses to this post will be indeed unkind....in fact you could put money on it....cheers troy

[Jay]

Thanks again for running the comp PT

Would you please put up a list of each entrants starting prices once entries have closed

Thanks very much

[Snoopy]

Hi PT,

Many thanks for your industry in running this competition. I think 2013 is going to be a very difficult year with most shares fully priced. So my strategy will be to stick to my high dividend paying core, and look for those shares with a bud of growth potential that might help to protect my capital should the NZX slide. So here is my portfolio for 2013:

RBD: A fully priced yet predictible business, but 'Carl Juniors' has the potential to inspire potential shareholders. And the bottom line should creep forward with the continuing sale of certain loss leading Pizza Hut outlets
SCT: Fully priced based on historical performance. Yet the XRF joint venture in Australia looks promising. And how many bad years can appliance line manufacturing have in a row? My best performing share last year and 'momentum' keeps me in for 2013.
SKC: Dithering over the International Convention Centre by the government has harmed the company's reputation on the market. Yet behind the scenes there has been some impressive knitting being stuck to.
TEL: I have the feeling that 'mobile' is where the profits will be made in the next five years, and IMO TEL is the place to be to profit from this. Moutter will make his mark! I also like the fact that none of the brokers are picking it! The dark horse in my stable.
TUA: The dullest of all my selections, and for that reason alone potentially the best. The market has recognised the increase in the NZ vehicle market after some tough years but not I think the locked in market share gains for TUA.

A nice easy entry for you to amend for this year PT. I am sticking to exactly the picks I made last year!

SNOOPY

[limegreen]

MFT - my best nzx holding of the last decade, still going strong
RYM - continued growth track
DIL - ditto
POT - ditto
PGW - not exactly living dangerously, but the trend reversal is appealing

[J R Ewing]

Hi PT,

My picks are:

RYM
TEL
NZO
FBU
TUA

Many thanks for running the great competition

[Steve]

My picks are:

HBY
HNZ
PEB
PGW
RYM

[bermuda]

Stocks for 2013

NZO
DPC
GEL
DIL
RYM

Cheers and Happy New Year everyone.

[Stranger_Danger]

Agree with Snoopy. Hard to find 5 good stocks on the NZX that look to be moderately good value. For what it is worth.

SCY
TEN
STU
PPP
RBC

[Stranger_Danger]

After reading through the entire thread, my overwhelming urge is to try and work out the best time to short DIL.

Who is left to buy it?

[KJ]

Hi PT -thanks for running this competition.
My picks

DIL
PPL
RYM
SUM
TEL

[Lizard]

Just found a moment to start working on my picks... can't believe that "Seadragon", "VMob" and "Pulse Utilities" all make the market cap cut-off, but not Postie Plus!

[percy]

Just found a moment to start working on my picks... can't believe that "Seadragon", "VMob" and "Pulse Utilities" all make the market cap cut-off, but not Postie Plus!

Do you think Postie Plus will last the year out.?

[Stranger_Danger]

Is it wrong that I didn't even know that Seadragon and Vmob existed?

[CJ]

After reading through the entire thread, my overwhelming urge is to try and work out the best time to short DIL.

Who is left to buy it?The Americans. Everyones hoping for a Nasdaq listing this year.

[binary]

After reading through the entire thread, my overwhelming urge is to try and work out the best time to short DIL.

Who is left to buy it?


The Americans. Everyones hoping for a Nasdaq listing this year.

It would be a brave move to try and short DIL. If a Nasdaq listing does go ahead DIL has a very bright year to come.

[Stranger_Danger]

I know, which is why I'd want to know more, and time it well.

I don't follow DIL and am quite sure everyone who has picked it knows it a hell of a lot better than me.

The reason for my comment is the sheer number of people who have picked it. In my experience, when everybody has the same view, there is a good chance everyone is wrong. Not "wrong" as in "wrong idea", but wrong as in the result, because generally the weight of money that has already voted.

I take the point re the Nasdaq listing though. Good luck to all those that have picked it. Due to the sheer number, DIL will have a major influence on this years comp.

[binary]

DIL is my largest holding.

I own 3 of the 5. I would own all 5 but only recently started researching PGW and CNU and don't intend on jumping in blind.
I'd also like slightly cheaper entry prices than they are currently sitting.

[janner]

STC.. This is a competition.. None of yours or any one else's money is at stake.

If you think your holdings are good enough to win.. That is OK..

Many I think are putting in at least one dog ( some more than one ) in the hope that it will come through and give them the bragging rights..

I like this compo for many reasons one being it is very educational..

Still trying to work out my picks :-))

[Snow Leopard]

Current matters for resolution.

tim23
PGG does not exist.

Vaygor1
ALF is under the 10m cap limit - by a very very long way!

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[CJ]

STC - the difference is in this comp, there is only one winner, but in real life, a lot of us here are already winners (by the fact we have money to invest).

If there was an option to put it all on red in the hope of winning the comp, I'm sure someone would take it but they wouldn't do in real life.

[J R Ewing]

It's not at all stressful to have 20% of your competition "equity" on some penny dreadful longshot that just might be a 10 bagger. Not many would punt 20% of their actual cash in the same way.

[Crypto Crude]

put me down for
OXX
NZO
PPP
GEL
CUE
:cool:
.^sc

[Snoopy]

I would be keen to know whether all the people who have picked DIL actually own it. Or for that matter, own all the five stocks they picked. If not, why not?

Disc: I own all the five stocks I picked and in sizeable dollar values.


I don't own DIL but then again I haven't picked it. But I do own the five shares that I have picked, and my theoretical cashed up value in each is comparable (except RBD where I have a 'double helping'). My aim in entering the competition is to provide a quick gauge on how I am doing throughout the year, verses the index. That is why I time my entry on 1st January, so that I have the same 'start point' as the index for the year. The five shares I have picked are also by far the largest five in my NZX portfolio too. So how well I do in the competition is a pretty close match for how well I am doing in real life on the NZX.

Of course different people have different reasons for entering the competition, and each to their own. I tend to favour the 'Sparky' viewpoint, of backing your competition entry here with your own money in real life. But obviously if your aim is to actually win the competition, the best strategy would be a high risk one that many here adopt. And if that kind of thinking 'floats your boat', then good luck to you. I wouldn't want to suggest that Sparky's competition philosophy, that I happen to agree with, is in any way 'superior' to those who choose to play what is an on line game after all, differently.

SNOOPY

[Flogs]

My picks for 2013

AIR
CAV
DIL
HNZ
SUM

[stanace]

NZO
RYM
BLT
PLU
NTL

Own 4 of these

[bear]

My Picks for 2013

HNZ
TEL
PLU
PPL
AIA

thanks Bear

[troyvdh]

STC...Im with you...in fact me thinks it should be mandatory (?)....that folk disclose their personal exposure....otherwise what credibility will/would this forum have ??????...I have noticed ..as well we all have ..that ...many new posters...have posted....their choices..thats great and long may it continue......but (it may sound old fashioned)....some of us believe that SM should not be considered something akin to the TAB....gee NZ needs to grow up.....cheers

[Snow Leopard]

Current matters for resolution.

tim23:
PGG does not exist. Do you mean PGW, PGC or something else entirely different?

Vaygor1:
ALF is under the 10m cap limit - by a very very long way!

zeros54:
DILL does not exist. DO you mean DIL?

stanace:
NTL is under the 10m cap limit - if it gets to $0.021 it would be allowed.

Shrewd Crude:
OXX does not exist in the NZX Universe.

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[lou]

(it may sound old fashioned)....some of us believe that SM should not be considered something akin to the TAB....gee NZ needs to grow up.....cheers

Playing devils advocate a bit but it can be useful to compare the sharemarket to the TAB. Except for one difference the share market is a positive sum game and the TAB is a negative sum game.

[stanace]

Sorry, please replace NTL with PPP,
Regards Stanace

[blobbles]

Hey PT, can I replace FPH with BLT?

Wonder if I can get BLT backdated to the first day I picked it or is that a bit cheeky? ;-)

Muchos gracias for running the comp!

[emearg]

It would seem more reasonable that if a company went under and ceased trading that the unlucky punter was now down to four stocks in the contest.

This way, the upside by choosing a penny dreadful that quintupled to a higher price is matched by the downside risk of losing that stock from the contest.

That would be more realistic and I would support such a change even though I have picked BLT which is top of STC's penny dreadful list...

[CJ]

If a stock delists, shouldn't the holder get to roll over the remainder of their initial 20% allocation? If the amount left over is zero, then case closed.agree and assume that is how it works. If a penny dreadful drips to zero, you have nothing to buy a new pick with.

[RazorX]

Hi PT. Thanks for running last years comp.

Here are my picks made this year after 20 mins research! (Forgot about the comp until now)

TEL: At a lowish point and good divi. (Currently holding)
WHS: Good divi yeild, if the economy picks up should do well
GMT: One of the better property shares from a quick compare
CNU: Potential for growth in this one.
SKL: Good divi, currently in an uptrend.

Cheers

Razor

[Snow Leopard]

Results to Friday 4th January 2013 for entries until midnight 3rd Jan.

Entries close at the end of Sunday 13th Jan 2013.

Bottom five are one pick short (of a dig).




1
black knat
10.75%
[PEB(36.36) PGW(12.20) DPC(3.12) ATM(1.89) DIL(0.18)]


2
SparkyTheClown
10.69%
[PEB(36.36) PGW(12.20) RYM(4.72) DIL(0.18) ATM(0.00)]


3
The Grinch
9.87%
[PEB(36.36) PGW(12.20) TTK(3.51) NPX(0.63) TEL(-3.33)]


4
binary
9.79%
[PEB(36.36) PGW(12.20) ATM(1.89) DIL(0.18) CNU(-1.69)]


5
Jbmurc
8.98%
[PEB(36.36) GEL(5.00) NZO(2.34) OGC(1.19) CUE(0.00)]


6
zs_cecil
8.02%
[PEB(30.43) PGW(9.52) RAK(2.78) HNZ(0.00) XRO(-2.63)]


7
bobbles
7.95%
[PEB(36.36) TTK(3.51) ATM(1.89) HNZ(0.00) FPH(-2.03)]


8
hairofthedog
5.35%
[PEB(17.65) PGW(6.98) RYM(3.79) FBU(0.83) XRO(-2.50)]


9
Grimy
4.34%
[PGW(12.20) RYM(4.72) NZO(2.34) STU(2.08) CEN(0.38)]


10
apostle 95
4.21%
[NWF(17.65) FBU(2.79) NPX(0.63) HNZ(0.00) PPP(0.00)]


11
lowrolling
3.80%
[BLT(7.14) PEB(7.14) PGW(4.55) DIL(0.18) ATM(0.00)]


12
Dej
3.80%
[PGW(12.20) RYM(4.72) ATM(1.89) DIL(0.18) PEB(0.00)]


12
iceman
3.80%
[PGW(12.20) RYM(4.72) ATM(1.89) DIL(0.18) HNZ(0.00)]


14
Xerof
3.79%
[PGW(12.20) AIR(2.34) NZO(2.34) ATM(1.89) DIL(0.18)]


15
Yankiwi
3.72%
[PGW(12.20) GEL(5.00) LME(1.39) PLU(0.00) PPP(0.00)]


16
Blendy
3.71%
[NWF(17.65) RYM(0.65) DIL(0.55) SUM(0.44) PPL(-0.75)]


17
majorbarejet
3.66%
[PGW(12.20) FBU(2.79) STU(2.08) CAV(1.21) PEB(0.00)]


18
waikare
3.54%
[PGW(12.20) RYM(4.72) TTK(3.51) ATM(1.89) TEL(-4.60)]


19
GR8DAY
3.51%
[BLT(7.14) PEB(7.14) PGW(4.55) DIL(0.18) OGC(-1.45)]


20
David B
3.49%
[PEB(17.65) ATM(1.89) SUM(1.35) DIL(0.55) TEL(-3.96)]


21
Breastwork
3.40%
[PGW(9.52) RYM(4.48) PGC(4.00) AIR(0.77) DIL(-1.79)]


22
stoploss
3.31%
[PGW(6.98) MCK(6.38) AWF(2.04) ATM(1.89) PPL(-0.75)]


23
Nigel
3.19%
[BLT(7.14) PGW(4.55) RYM(3.33) FBU(2.17) FPH(-1.23)]


24
garfy
3.05%
[PEB(7.14) PGW(4.55) HNZ(1.47) SUM(1.35) AIR(0.77)]


25
SCOTTY
3.03%
[PGW(12.20) PGC(4.00) HNZ(0.00) PHB(0.00) SKC(-1.06)]


26
brucey09
2.79%
[MCK(6.38) HBY(5.62) NZO(1.74) TWR(1.57) CNU(-1.36)]


27
amalgam
2.64%
[PGW(9.52) BLT(7.14) DPC(3.12) CNU(-2.02) TEL(-4.60)]


28
golden city
2.34%
[PGW(9.52) THL(1.43) AIR(0.77) GFF(0.00) NEW(0.00)]


29
seagull
1.94%
[RYM(4.72) FBU(2.79) ATM(1.89) NPX(0.63) CNU(-0.34)]


30
Guild
1.93%
[SCY(7.14) SPY(1.17) NPX(0.95) STU(0.41) PPP(0.00)]


31
Felix
1.89%
[PGW(9.52) MET(1.95) CAV(0.00) NEW(0.00) CNU(-2.02)]


32
lissica
1.89%
[RYM(4.48) NZO(2.34) FBU(1.68) MFT(0.51) IFT(0.44)]


33
emearg
1.86%
[BLT(7.14) RYM(3.33) FBU(2.17) CNU(-0.68) XRO(-2.63)]


34
Jack
1.81%
[PGW(9.52) ATM(1.89) AIR(0.77) ABA(-1.11) CNU(-2.02)]


35
pierre
1.74%
[BLT(7.14) FBU(2.79) DIL(0.18) CNU(-0.34) SKC(-1.06)]


36
kizame
1.74%
[PGW(9.52) NPX(0.95) HNZ(0.00) MHI(0.00) DIL(-1.79)]


37
ScrappyO
1.73%
[PGW(4.55) NZX(2.50) NPX(1.59) CUE(0.00) IFT(0.00)]


38
Beetle
1.68%
[PEB(7.14) RYM(3.33) SCT(0.39) DIL(0.18) XRO(-2.63)]


39
Cool Bear
1.68%
[BLT(7.14) NZO(2.34) AIA(0.00) HNZ(0.00) ARG(-1.09)]


40
Anonymous
1.62%
[PEB(7.14) HNZ(1.47) DIL(0.18) ATM(0.00) CNU(-0.68)]


41
Pete
1.56%
[RYM(4.72) FBU(2.79) NZO(2.34) CRP(0.00) FPH(-2.03)]


42
swissboy
1.56%
[NZO(2.34) SEK(2.22) FBU(1.68) FSF(1.54) PPP(0.00)]


43
Jay
1.39%
[RYM(4.72) FBU(2.79) DIL(0.18) HNZ(0.00) PPL(-0.75)]


44
forest
1.39%
[RYM(4.72) DGL(2.04) DIL(0.18) CDI(0.00) HNZ(0.00)]


45
Penfold
1.26%
[RYM(3.33) FBU(2.17) HNZ(1.47) LPC(0.00) CNU(-0.68)]


46
noodles
1.16%
[SCT(2.36) AIR(2.34) CVT(1.92) NEW(0.00) MHI(-0.81)]


47
skeet
1.15%
[NZO(2.34) FSF(1.97) LME(1.39) NZX(0.82) TME(-0.76)]


48
limegreen
1.13%
[PGW(2.22) MFT(1.37) POT(0.83) RYM(0.65) DIL(0.55)]


49
Steve
1.06%
[HBY(2.42) PGW(2.22) RYM(0.65) HNZ(0.00) PEB(0.00)]


50
modandm
0.98%
[FBU(2.79) AIR(2.34) NZX(0.82) NEW(0.00) SKC(-1.06)]


51
lou
0.96%
[PGW(4.55) ATM(1.89) HNZ(0.00) OGC(-0.29) CNU(-1.36)]


52
NZSilver
0.68%
[RYM(4.72) SUM(1.80) DIL(0.18) HNZ(0.00) TEL(-3.33)]


53
Alz99
0.67%
[STU(2.08) AIR(0.77) OIC(0.50) RAK(0.00) TEN(0.00)]


54
bermuda
0.65%
[GEL(5.00) RYM(0.65) DIL(0.55) NZO(0.00) DPC(-2.94)]


55
bohemian
0.65%
[DGL(2.04) RYM(0.65) DIL(0.55) ATM(0.00) PEB(0.00)]


56
Brighton_Early
0.64%
[PGW(2.22) DIL(0.55) BGR(0.45) ATM(0.00) PEB(0.00)]


57
Sliverlight
0.62%
[GFF(2.63) SKT(2.07) NPX(0.63) MHI(-0.81) MVN(-1.43)]


58
elZorro
0.62%
[GEL(5.00) SPY(1.17) HNZ(0.00) OGC(-1.45) FPH(-1.63)]


59
Ash
0.60%
[RBD(1.89) RYM(0.65) SUM(0.44) FBU(0.00) HNZ(0.00)]


60
snapiti
0.51%
[PGW(4.55) HNZ(1.47) SKT(0.41) FPH(-1.23) XRO(-2.63)]


61
CJ
0.47%
[RYM(4.72) FBU(2.79) DIL(0.18) FPH(-2.03) TEL(-3.33)]


62
Everwood
0.42%
[ATM(1.89) SUM(1.80) DIL(0.18) PPL(-0.75) ECO(-1.03)]


63
shasta
0.41%
[DGL(1.69) EBO(0.36) CUE(0.00) IFT(0.00) RBC(0.00)]


64
pedro.nz
0.34%
[SCT(2.36) IFT(1.32) MET(0.97) CEN(0.38) TEL(-3.33)]


65
777
0.32%
[CMO(1.54) RYM(0.65) KIP(0.00) NZO(0.00) CAV(-0.60)]


66
QOH
0.20%
[FBU(1.68) AIR(0.77) AIA(0.00) HNZ(0.00) OGC(-1.45)]


67
skydog
0.19%
[NZO(2.34) NPX(0.63) GPG(0.00) RAK(0.00) FPH(-2.03)]


68
glennj
0.18%
[STU(2.08) NPX(0.63) EBO(0.00) GPG(0.00) RBD(-1.82)]


69
Flogs
0.17%
[HNZ(1.47) AIR(0.00) CAV(0.00) DIL(-0.18) SUM(-0.44)]


70
johndes
0.12%
[NZO(2.34) IFT(1.32) NPX(0.63) CNU(-0.34) TEL(-3.33)]


71
Stranger_Danger
0.08%
[STU(0.41) PPP(0.00) RBC(0.00) SCY(0.00) TEN(0.00)]


72
Taijon
0.05%
[ANZ(1.57) SCT(0.39) FBU(0.00) PPP(0.00) CNU(-1.69)]


73
ak1261
0.02%
[PGW(4.55) AIR(0.77) NZO(0.00) RAK(0.00) TEL(-5.22)]


74
mistymountain
0.01%
[BGR(2.27) NZO(0.00) PPP(0.00) PPL(-0.75) OGC(-1.45)]


75
PlatnuM195
-0.02%
[RYM(4.72) DIL(0.18) CNU(-0.34) XRO(-1.33) TEL(-3.33)]


76
mask
-0.05%
[PGW(2.22) RYM(0.65) HNZ(0.00) NZO(0.00) OGC(-3.14)]


77
smokin cubans
-0.27%
[FBU(2.79) ATM(1.89) CEN(0.38) CNU(-0.34) BFW(-6.06)]


78
artemis
-0.28%
[SUM(0.44) IFT(0.44) HNZ(0.00) TME(-0.51) DIL(-1.79)]


79
bear
-0.41%
[HNZ(1.47) AIR(0.00) PLU(0.00) PPL(-1.48) TEL(-2.02)]


80
Major von Tempsky
-0.53%
[RYM(3.79) EBO(0.36) CNU(-1.36) HLG(-1.48) TEL(-3.96)]


81
Snoopy
-0.64%
[RBD(1.89) SCT(0.39) TUA(0.00) SKC(-1.32) TEL(-4.18)]


82
KJ
-0.66%
[RYM(0.65) DIL(0.55) SUM(0.44) PPL(-0.75) TEL(-4.18)]


83
J R Ewing
-0.71%
[RYM(0.65) FBU(0.00) NZO(0.00) TUA(0.00) TEL(-4.18)]


84
clips
-0.90%
[EBO(0.00) HNZ(0.00) NZO(0.00) GPG(-1.67) FPH(-2.82)]


85
stanace
-18.66%
[BLT(7.14) NZO(0.00) PLU(0.00) RYM(-0.43)]


86
tim23
-19.59%
[SKT(2.07) APN(0.00) HNZ(0.00) PPP(0.00)]


87
Shrewd Crude
-20.00%
[CUE(0.00) GEL(0.00) NZO(0.00) PPP(0.00)]


88
Vaygor1
-20.26%
[PGW(2.22) RYM(0.65) CVT(0.00) TEL(-4.18)]


89
zeros54
-20.50%
[RYM(0.65) ATM(0.00) FBU(0.00) OGC(-3.14)]








-
Forsyth Barr
4.73%
[PGW(9.52) SKL(9.15) RYM(4.48) MFT(0.51) SKC(0.00)]


-
ST Top 5
3.80%
[PGW(12.20) RYM(4.72) ATM(1.89) DIL(0.18) HNZ(0.00)]


-
First NZ Capital
2.32%
[PGW(9.52) SKT(2.93) KMD(0.50) SUM(0.44) DIL(-1.79)]


-
McDougall Stuart
2.22%
[SKL(9.15) ATM(1.89) TWR(1.04) NZX(0.82) DIL(-1.79)]


-
Craigs IP
1.95%
[TEM(5.78) RYM(4.48) SKT(2.93) FPH(-1.63) DIL(-1.79)]


-
Hamilton HG
1.95%
[PGW(9.52) TWR(1.04) NPT(0.84) CEN(0.38) CNU(-2.02)]


-
Goldman Sachs
0.41%
[FBU(1.68) AIR(0.77) IFT(0.44) SKC(0.00) GPG(-0.84)]


-
MacQuarie
0.21%
[RYM(4.48) GFF(0.00) TME(-0.51) RBD(-1.47) PPL(-1.48)]




best wishes
Paper Tiger

[Snow Leopard]

We are playing the game like last year when something delists the 'monies' you get for it can be invested in a replacement.

If it went phut then the monies will be zero (at most).

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[bermuda]

PT,
Thanks for running the competition. I note that only Black Gnat and myself have picked Dorchester Pacific DPC. This is a stand out stock. But why are Black Gnat's and my results on DPC so different.? He is showing positive on DPC whilst I am negative. Surely we should be the same. No big dealbut I am curious.

[Cool Bear]

PT,
Thanks for running the competition. I note that only Black Gnat and myself have picked Dorchester Pacific DPC. This is a stand out stock. But why are Black Gnat's and my results on DPC so different.? He is showing positive on DPC whilst I am negative. Surely we should be the same. No big dealbut I am curious.

Thought that I will save PT his time by replying to this. Your entry price for DPC is the price that it is first traded after you pick it. As you and BG submitted yours and his picks on different days, your entry prices are different and so are the result.

[Snow Leopard]

Thought that I will save PT his time by replying to this. Your entry price for DPC is the price that it is first traded after you pick it. As you and BG submitted yours and his picks on different days, your entry prices are different and so are the result.

Spot on!

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[Vaygor1]

Vaygor1:
ALF is under the 10m cap limit - by a very very long way!

best wishes
Paper Tiger

Oops. Missed that $10MM cap limit little snippet. Please add ATM to make up my 5.

Regards,
Vaygor1.

[Vaygor1]

Oops. Missed that $10MM cap limit little snippet. Please add ATM to make up my 5.

Regards,
Vaygor1.

Hi PT & thanks again for managing this.
ALF have 90.8 miilion shares on issue. This means they need to get to 11.1 cents to reach a market cap of NZ$10MM.
More out of curiosity than anything else, would I be allowed to enter ALF in the comp with an entry price of 11.1 cents?

[Grimy]

I own 3 of the 5 I've picked directly, and own bonds in a 4th. Own the 5th through Kingfish.
Having said that I have no trouble with anyone owning none of their picks, or all of them.

[troyvdh]

Thanks PT ..you are a good man...again...here is my selection....

CEN...try building another dam in NZ...re divs...supposedly they will increase... given the completion of capital expenditure...honest !
Gel....potential
PPP...great div and asset backing impressive
CUE...once sexy...OK...some management gone..holdings remain (?)...probably a "play" soon...heaps in the bank
THL...not much dosh here (re me)...but if all those retired folk from the NH decide to ventutre south..results could be impressive...

total invested ...north or 75K....cheers...

[biker]

Rbc
Hnz
atm
peb
air

Own them all.

Thanks PT

[zigzag]

Fph hby phb cav dil thank-you pt

[mtvic]

Hi,

DIL
PEB
GEL
CVT
RYM

Thanks for all the effort running the comp

[Cool Bear]

Spot on!

best wishes
Paper Tiger
Gummy bears!! will pm you my address to send them to.. on second thoughts maybe you can do some creative accounting and add 5% to my score:cool:

[Cool Bear]

I would be keen to know whether all the people who have picked DIL actually own it. Or for that matter, own all the five stocks they picked. If not, why not?

Disc: I own all the five stocks I picked and in sizeable dollar values.

Sparky
I own 4 of the 5 counters I picked. intend to look at AIA when I get the time to do it. not in a hurry as still not sure if everything it already toppish or the bulls will be charging in the new year. what is your read of the market direction?

[Cool Bear]

Sparky. Thanks a lot for your reply. Agree fully with all your 6 points. Was about 50% invested two months ago but recently increased it to almost 2/3rd. But I don't think I will go near or past 3/4 for the next few months. Just being careful. thanks again. CB

[macduffy]

I agree with you, Sparky, that we don't know how lucky we are but I have a rather more cautious view on the year ahead - or even the first six months thereof. Can't remember a time when I've found it harder to select stocks with a real prospect of increased earnings, as opposed to those offering a superior yield to cash, deposits, bonds etc. I just don't think that economic conditions favour growth - rather it will be competition for solid earning stocks that should/might propel SP's.

Having got that off my chest, my selections are:

EBO - one of my solid earners.
SKL - ditto
STU - recovering, with a bit of help from ChCh rebuild
BTU - a punt on progress with the Buller project.
POT - one of NZ's key pieces of infrastructure.

I hold the first four and will (hopefully) buy POT in the unlikely event of SP weakness.

Thanks, PT, for running the comp.

:)

[Snow Leopard]

Hey PT, can I replace FPH with BLT?

Yes


Wonder if I can get BLT backdated to the first day I picked it or is that a bit cheeky? ;-)

Dreaming

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[Snow Leopard]

Hi PT & thanks again for managing this.
ALF have 90.8 miilion shares on issue. This means they need to get to 11.1 cents to reach a market cap of NZ$10MM.
More out of curiosity than anything else, would I be allowed to enter ALF in the comp with an entry price of 11.1 cents?

If the actual market price gets to $0.111 you would be allowed to enter it. But otherwise No.

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[Lizard]

Hi PT - going for boring this year. Thanks!

CDI
NPX
OIC
PGW
TEN

[Paint it Black]

Please put me down for:

PPP
POT
FBU
RYM
DIL

Thanks Paper Tiger.

[h2so4]

Pgw
Awf
Cue
Npx
Ppg

[bung5]

Amp
pgw
cue
ppp
nzo

[gv1]

Please list mine as follows:
PPP
FPH
CNU
GFF
VIL

[GTM 3442]

Put me down for this lot - the years play money

ATM
CEN
DPC
SEK
SPY

Fingers crossed !

[brucey09]

Snr. Tigers
Please to change Mck with in place DPC.
gracias

[cammo]

PGW
FBU
PEB
GEL
AIR

please. cheers cam

[percy]

AWF .Great ROE,good divie,very good management,strong balance sheet, and one I had last year.
TUA,As above,also finance side is growing.
SKL,As above, growth may be slower this year,although new ChCh factory will mean we are "well positioned."
HNZ.Starting to believe what I have posted on HNZ thread.!!!!!! Replaces last years pick FRE.
SKT,great yield,and with old TVs needing replacing SKT may pick up more customers.Repaces RYM as 68% growth may not be repeted this year.
I hold shares in all except FRE in which a trust I am a trustee hold.

[Snow Leopard]

Current matters for resolution.

tim23:
PGG does not exist. Do you mean PGW, PGC or something else entirely different?

zeros54:
DILL does not exist. DO you mean DIL?

Shrewd Crude:
OXX does not exist in the NZX Universe.

h2so4:
PPG is under the $10m cap (would need a closing price of $0.250 or higher).

gv1:
VIL is under the $10 cap (would need a closing price of $0.175 or higher).

best wishes
Paper Tiger :D

[gv1]

Hi Paper Tiger,
Sorry buddy, Must have got carried away.
Please replace vil with skl

[CAM]

RYM
XRO
FBU
SKC
LIC

many thanks

[ruaboy]

HNZ
SUM
CVT
PPL
STU

thanks

[zeros54]

PT,

My apologies yes I mean DIL.

Thanks

[Joshuatree]

HLG
HNZ
OGC
TEL
TUA
Aprecciation and A wealth of health all round.

[Baaarney]

Hi Paper Tiger, my pics are

RYM
HNZ
TEL
PGW
OIC

Cheers

[Arbitrage]

Hi PT. My share picks are:
HNZ
POT
BTU
GPG
SUM

[ronthepom]

Hi PT,
Put me down for

SUM
FBU
BTU
AWF
RYM

[Sideshow Bob]

NEW
NZO
PBB
ATM
PEB

Disclaimer - about 3 seconds thought.........

[Leftfield]

From Left Field here are my picks;
BLT - nice product is it time to shine? Nothing to lose.
PEB - Like the strategy
XRO - Good product, great dream, can we do it?
RYM - safe
PGW - deserves better

[upside_umop]

Sorry about the lateness of the entry.

Last year I picked:



68
upside_umop
25.56%
[NPX(46.56) MHI(43.83) GFF(31.03) NZO(30.17) WDT(-23.81)





This year I'll pick:
MHI - Franking credits become transferrable to NZ residents?
GFF - Turn around still in play. This will work itself out and I'd expect a reversal of some impairment losses eventually.
NZO - NZX's favourite oiler isn't it?
WDT - I have picked this every year, and every year it has let me down....I really want this to be the turn around year!
SUM - Alternative to RYM and probably a bit more upside given the relative market cap. In anycase, i don't know much about it otherwise...

Will only change one pick.....hopefully this will beat the market.

[cycat64]

My picks for 2013:

GPG, OIC, TEN, TUR, TWR

Many thanks.

[aspar13]

Hello PT and Lizard

Thanks for running the contest.

My picks:

RYM
FBU
HNZ
TEL
PEB

[toucan22]

Hi Paper Tiger,
APN
ATM
CNU
HNZ
SUM

For better or worse hold a small part of them all.
Cheers

[Snow Leopard]

Current matters for resolution.

tim23:
PGG does not exist. Do you mean PGW, PGC or something else entirely different?

Shrewd Crude:
OXX does not exist in the NZX Universe.

h2so4:
PPG is under the $10m cap (would need a closing price of $0.250 or higher).

Sideshow Bob
PBB does not exist.

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[ced]

Paper Tiger lock in:
CNU
DIL
AIR
PGW
RYM

[EAGLE]

Hi, PT

My picks:

PGW
HNZ
PEB
ATM
RYM

[janner]

Shrewd Crude:
OXX does not exist in the NZX Universe.

He is so excited with this competition he got carried away talking to his bit on the side :-))

So much to think about !!.. And again i say ..So little time.. Hmmm..

Sorry PT. Think that you must prepare yourself for a deluge over the next 3 days..

To be on this one .. or that one.. That is the question.. !!.

[McGinty]

Hi Paper Tiger, my picks are:

-ATM
-APN
-HNZ
-RBC
-TEL

Cheers

[Under Surveillance]

CNU
HNZ
NZX
OIC
SKL

Thanks for your commitment, Paper Tiger

[Sideshow Bob]

Current matters for resolution.

tim23:
PGG does not exist. Do you mean PGW, PGC or something else entirely different?

Shrewd Crude:
OXX does not exist in the NZX Universe.

h2so4:
PPG is under the $10m cap (would need a closing price of $0.250 or higher).

Sideshow Bob
PBB does not exist.

best wishes
Paper Tiger
PHB please Master Tiger............

[Toulouse - Luzern]

Picks for 2013.
Hi
AWF
PEB
POT
RYM
XRO
thks & rgds

[noodles]

Hi Paper Tiger,

Is it too late to change my selection . MHI have just come out with a dud result. Can I change it for ACY please?

[lowrolling]

Jeez, it's not even updated on the NZX website. Can you link to the result please?

https://www.nzx.com/companies/MHI/announcements/231949

[Snow Leopard]

Hi Paper Tiger,

Is it too late to change my selection . MHI have just come out with a dud result. Can I change it for ACY please?

Changes to entries and new entries accepted until the end of this coming Sunday (13th Jan 2013)
Buy price will be first (on-market) trade price for the stock from Monday.

best wishes
paper Tiger

[lastmoa]

My pics PT :

DIL
POT
PPP
RYM
XRO

[BigBob]

Hi PT,

Please lock in...:

ATM
MFT
NZO
OGC
SUM

Cheers
Bigbob

[h2so4]

Thank you P T
Nzo will do me

[Cool Bear]

Paper Tiger, just a quick question. If one of us decides on a change from one stock to another, what happens to the result of the "old" stock so far, is it carried forward to the "new" stock? Just wondering. I am happy with my picks.

[Snow Leopard]

Paper Tiger, just a quick question. If one of us decides on a change from one stock to another, what happens to the result of the "old" stock so far, is it carried forward to the "new" stock? Just wondering. I am happy with my picks.

No. Until the cut off on 13th Jan if you change a selection then the new selection is not weighted by the old selections profit/gain.

After then if we get into delisting territory (please, please not this year!! :scared:) then the replacement selection is weighted.

Hope that helps
Paper Tiger

[Snow Leopard]

Results to Friday 11th January 2013

An 'Interesting' Week.

I think all is right, but E&OE :p

Reminder: Entries accepted until 23:59:59 (11:59:59 pm) on Sunday 13th January 2013.
If you are not in it you can not win it!




1
blobbles
17.74%
[PEB(45.45) BLT(40.00) TTK(2.81) ATM(1.89) HNZ(-1.45)]


2
lowrolling
14.68%
[BLT(50.00) PEB(14.29) PGW(9.09) ATM(0.00) DIL(0.00)]


3
GR8DAY
13.98%
[BLT(50.00) PEB(14.29) PGW(9.09) DIL(0.00) OGC(-3.49)]


4
SparkyTheClown
13.85%
[PEB(45.45) PGW(17.07) RYM(6.74) ATM(0.00) DIL(0.00)]


5
Nigel
13.81%
[BLT(50.00) PGW(9.09) RYM(5.32) FBU(5.06) FPH(-0.41)]


6
The Grinch
13.74%
[PEB(45.45) PGW(17.07) TTK(2.81) TEL(2.44) NPX(0.94)]


7
black knat
12.88%
[PEB(45.45) PGW(17.07) ATM(1.89) DIL(0.00) DPC(0.00)]


8
amalgam
12.34%
[BLT(50.00) PGW(14.29) TEL(1.09) DPC(0.00) CNU(-3.70)]


9
binary
12.21%
[PEB(45.45) PGW(17.07) ATM(1.89) DIL(0.00) CNU(-3.38)]


10
pierre
10.99%
[BLT(50.00) FBU(5.70) SKC(1.32) DIL(0.00) CNU(-2.05)]


11
emearg
10.60%
[BLT(50.00) RYM(5.32) FBU(5.06) CNU(-2.39) XRO(-5.00)]


12
stanace
10.41%
[BLT(50.00) RYM(1.50) NZO(0.57) PLU(0.00) PPP(0.00)]


13
Cool Bear
10.33%
[BLT(50.00) NZO(2.92) AIA(0.74) ARG(-0.55) HNZ(-1.45)]


14
zs_cecil
9.39%
[PEB(39.13) PGW(14.29) RAK(0.00) HNZ(-1.45) XRO(-5.00)]


15
Jbmurc
8.42%
[PEB(45.45) NZO(2.92) GEL(0.00) OGC(-0.90) CUE(-5.41)]


16
hairofthedog
8.34%
[PEB(25.49) PGW(11.63) RYM(5.79) FBU(3.69) XRO(-4.87)]


17
majorbarejet
7.11%
[PGW(17.07) PEB(6.67) FBU(5.70) CAV(3.64) STU(2.50)]


18
Dej
6.47%
[PGW(17.07) RYM(6.74) PEB(6.67) ATM(1.89) DIL(0.00)]


19
David B
6.17%
[PEB(25.49) ATM(1.89) TEL(1.76) SUM(1.35) DIL(0.37)]


20
Breastwork
6.16%
[PGW(14.29) PGC(12.00) RYM(6.50) AIR(0.00) DIL(-1.96)]


21
stoploss
6.07%
[PGW(11.63) MCK(10.64) PPL(3.73) AWF(2.45) ATM(1.89)]


22
waikare
5.92%
[PGW(17.07) RYM(6.74) TTK(2.81) ATM(1.89) TEL(1.09)]


23
SCOTTY
5.79%
[PGW(17.07) PGC(12.00) SKC(1.32) PHB(0.00) HNZ(-1.45)]


24
Grimy
5.28%
[PGW(17.07) RYM(6.74) NZO(2.92) STU(2.50) CEN(-2.83)]


25
garfy
4.94%
[PEB(14.29) PGW(9.09) SUM(1.35) AIR(0.00) HNZ(0.00)]


26
Felix
4.86%
[PGW(14.29) MET(7.49) NEW(3.85) CAV(2.40) CNU(-3.70)]


27
iceman
4.85%
[PGW(17.07) RYM(6.74) ATM(1.89) DIL(0.00) HNZ(-1.45)]


28
Xerof
4.69%
[PGW(17.07) NZO(2.92) ATM(1.89) AIR(1.56) DIL(0.00)]


29
Yankiwi
4.41%
[PGW(17.07) LME(4.17) PPP(0.81) GEL(0.00) PLU(0.00)]


30
golden city
3.91%
[PGW(14.29) NEW(3.85) THL(1.43) AIR(0.00) GFF(0.00)]


31
lissica
3.47%
[RYM(6.50) FBU(4.56) NZO(2.92) IFT(2.18) MFT(1.19)]


32
swissboy
3.22%
[SEK(5.56) FBU(4.56) NZO(2.92) FSF(2.24) PPP(0.81)]


33
Beetle
3.15%
[PEB(14.29) RYM(5.32) SCT(1.16) DIL(0.00) XRO(-5.00)]


34
modandm
3.14%
[FBU(5.70) NEW(3.85) NZX(3.28) AIR(1.56) SKC(1.32)]


35
skeet
3.06%
[LME(4.17) NZX(3.28) NZO(2.92) FSF(2.67) TME(2.28)]


36
Blendy
3.00%
[NWF(7.84) PPL(3.73) RYM(2.59) SUM(0.44) DIL(0.37)]


37
Jay
2.94%
[RYM(6.74) FBU(5.70) PPL(3.73) DIL(0.00) HNZ(-1.45)]


38
Lizard
2.94%
[TEN(9.20) PGW(4.35) CDI(2.04) NPX(0.63) OIC(-1.51)]


39
Steve
2.90%
[PEB(6.67) PGW(6.67) RYM(2.59) HBY(0.00) HNZ(-1.45)]


40
Pete
2.83%
[RYM(6.74) FBU(5.70) NZO(2.92) CRP(0.00) FPH(-1.22)]


41
apostle 95
2.77%
[NWF(7.84) FBU(5.70) NPX(0.94) PPP(0.81) HNZ(-1.45)]


42
Brighton_Early
2.74%
[PEB(6.67) PGW(6.67) DIL(0.37) ATM(0.00) BGR(0.00)]


43
CJ
2.73%
[RYM(6.74) FBU(5.70) TEL(2.44) DIL(0.00) FPH(-1.22)]


44
limegreen
2.73%
[PGW(6.67) RYM(2.59) MFT(2.06) POT(1.97) DIL(0.37)]


45
Ash
2.70%
[RBD(9.09) FBU(2.83) RYM(2.59) SUM(0.44) HNZ(-1.45)]


46
seagull
2.64%
[RYM(6.74) FBU(5.70) ATM(1.89) NPX(0.94) CNU(-2.05)]


47
Jack
2.60%
[PGW(14.29) ATM(1.89) ABA(0.53) AIR(0.00) CNU(-3.70)]


48
Snoopy
2.57%
[RBD(9.09) TEL(1.54) SCT(1.16) SKC(1.05) TUA(0.00)]


49
ScrappyO
2.47%
[PGW(9.09) NZX(5.00) NPX(1.90) IFT(1.74) CUE(-5.41)]


50
pedro.nz
2.46%
[MET(6.45) SCT(3.15) IFT(3.08) TEL(2.44) CEN(-2.83)]


51
greater fool
2.45%
[MCK(8.33) CDI(2.04) SKT(1.22) WHS(0.66) TWR(0.00)]


52
Anonymous
2.38%
[PEB(14.29) ATM(0.00) DIL(0.00) HNZ(0.00) CNU(-2.39)]


53
bohemian
2.33%
[PEB(6.67) RYM(2.59) DGL(2.04) DIL(0.37) ATM(0.00)]


54
kizame
2.10%
[PGW(14.29) NPX(1.26) HNZ(-1.45) MHI(-1.63) DIL(-1.96)]


55
glennj
2.10%
[RBD(5.11) STU(2.50) EBO(1.08) NPX(0.94) GPG(0.85)]


56
Alz99
2.01%
[TEN(11.76) STU(2.50) AIR(0.00) OIC(-1.51) RAK(-2.70)]


57
NZSilver
1.91%
[RYM(6.74) TEL(2.44) SUM(1.80) DIL(0.00) HNZ(-1.45)]


58
Guild
1.88%
[SCY(5.36) NPX(1.26) SPY(1.17) STU(0.82) PPP(0.81)]


59
forest
1.87%
[RYM(6.74) CDI(2.04) DGL(2.04) DIL(0.00) HNZ(-1.45)]


60
Vaygor1
1.78%
[PGW(6.67) RYM(2.59) TEL(1.54) ATM(0.00) CVT(-1.88)]


61
KJ
1.73%
[PPL(3.73) RYM(2.59) TEL(1.54) SUM(0.44) DIL(0.37)]


62
Penfold
1.60%
[RYM(5.32) FBU(5.06) HNZ(0.00) LPC(0.00) CNU(-2.39)]


63
J R Ewing
1.51%
[FBU(2.83) RYM(2.59) TEL(1.54) NZO(0.57) TUA(0.00)]


64
ak1261
1.48%
[PGW(9.09) NZO(0.57) TEL(0.43) AIR(0.00) RAK(-2.70)]


65
johndes
1.47%
[IFT(3.08) NZO(2.92) TEL(2.44) NPX(0.94) CNU(-2.05)]


66
Stranger_Danger
1.43%
[TEN(11.76) STU(0.82) PPP(0.81) SCY(0.00) RBC(-6.25)]


67
Everwood
1.28%
[PPL(3.73) ATM(1.89) SUM(1.80) DIL(0.00) ECO(-1.03)]


68
noodles
1.23%
[NEW(3.85) SCT(3.15) AIR(1.56) CVT(0.00) MHI(-2.42)]


69
bear
1.20%
[TEL(3.82) PPL(2.96) HNZ(0.00) PLU(0.00) AIR(-0.76)]


70
Major von Tempsky
1.04%
[RYM(5.79) TEL(1.76) EBO(1.44) HLG(-0.74) CNU(-3.05)]


71
snapiti
1.02%
[PGW(9.09) SKT(1.43) HNZ(0.00) FPH(-0.41) XRO(-5.00)]


72
777
1.00%
[RYM(2.59) CAV(1.79) NZO(0.57) CMO(0.51) KIP(-0.44)]


73
lou
0.82%
[PGW(9.09) ATM(1.89) HNZ(-1.45) OGC(-2.35) CNU(-3.05)]


74
mistymountain
0.69%
[PPL(3.73) BGR(1.82) PPP(0.81) NZO(0.57) OGC(-3.49)]


75
PlatnuM195
0.68%
[RYM(6.74) TEL(2.44) DIL(0.00) CNU(-2.05) XRO(-3.73)]


76
cammo
0.67%
[PGW(4.35) FBU(3.20) GEL(0.00) AIR(-1.14) PEB(-3.03)]


77
ruaboy
0.65%
[PPL(4.51) STU(2.07) SUM(0.00) HNZ(-1.45) CVT(-1.88)]


78
mask
0.65%
[PGW(6.67) RYM(2.59) NZO(0.57) HNZ(-1.45) OGC(-5.14)]


79
Sliverlight
0.57%
[SKT(3.11) GFF(2.63) NPX(0.94) MVN(-1.43) MHI(-2.42)]


80
Paint it Black
0.54%
[FBU(3.56) POT(0.60) DIL(0.18) PPP(-0.79) RYM(-0.84)]


81
bung5
0.41%
[PGW(6.67) AMP(2.90) NZO(1.15) PPP(-0.79) CUE(-7.89)]


82
RazorX
0.36%
[TEL(5.00) WHS(0.66) GMT(0.00) SKL(-1.80) CNU(-2.05)]


83
artemis
0.35%
[TME(2.54) IFT(2.18) SUM(0.44) HNZ(-1.45) DIL(-1.96)]


84
CAM
0.33%
[FBU(3.20) SKC(2.13) LIC(0.00) RYM(-0.21) XRO(-3.48)]


85
McGinty
0.26%
[TEL(1.32) APN(0.00) ATM(0.00) HNZ(0.00) RBC(0.00)]


86
zigzag
0.18%
[PHB(1.74) FPH(0.83) CAV(0.59) DIL(-0.18) HBY(-2.08)]


87
Flogs
0.17%
[CAV(2.40) HNZ(0.00) DIL(-0.36) SUM(-0.44) AIR(-0.76)]


88
skydog
0.16%
[NZO(2.92) NPX(0.94) GPG(0.85) FPH(-1.22) RAK(-2.70)]


89
Taijon
0.13%
[FBU(2.83) SCT(1.16) PPP(0.81) ANZ(-0.78) CNU(-3.38)]


90
cycat64
0.11%
[TEN(1.06) GPG(0.00) TUR(0.00) TWR(0.00) OIC(-0.51)]


91
zeros54
0.09%
[FBU(2.83) RYM(2.59) DIL(0.18) ATM(0.00) OGC(-5.14)]


92
QOH
0.07%
[FBU(4.56) AIA(0.74) AIR(0.00) HNZ(-1.45) OGC(-3.49)]


93
ronthepom
-0.01%
[FBU(2.95) AWF(0.00) BTU(0.00) RYM(0.00) SUM(-3.00)]


94
upside_umop
-0.02%
[NZO(1.15) GFF(0.00) WDT(0.00) SUM(-0.44) MHI(-0.82)]


95
Under Surveillance
-0.08%
[NZX(0.80) HNZ(0.00) SKL(0.00) OIC(-0.51) CNU(-0.69)]


96
macduffy
-0.09%
[EBO(0.48) POT(0.45) STU(0.41) BTU(0.00) SKL(-1.80)]


97
Baaarney
-0.10%
[HNZ(0.00) PGW(0.00) RYM(0.00) TEL(0.00) OIC(-0.51)]


98
toucan22
-0.23%
[APN(0.00) ATM(0.00) HNZ(0.00) SUM(-0.44) CNU(-0.69)]


99
brucey09
-0.28%
[HBY(3.12) NZO(2.33) TWR(2.09) CNU(-3.05) DPC(-5.88)]


100
gv1
-0.28%
[GFF(1.30) FPH(1.25) PPP(-0.79) CNU(-1.38) SKL(-1.80)]


101
Joshuatree
-0.29%
[HLG(0.94) TUA(0.53) HNZ(0.00) TEL(0.00) OGC(-2.92)]


102
smokin cubans
-0.31%
[FBU(5.70) ATM(1.89) CNU(-2.05) CEN(-2.83) BFW(-4.24)]


103
percy
-0.38%
[SKT(0.81) TUA(0.53) AWF(0.00) HNZ(-1.45) SKL(-1.80)]


104
bermuda
-0.47%
[RYM(2.59) NZO(0.57) DIL(0.37) GEL(0.00) DPC(-5.88)]


105
mtvic
-0.51%
[PEB(3.23) RYM(1.06) DIL(-0.18) CVT(-1.88) GEL(-4.76)]


106
clips
-0.53%
[EBO(1.08) NZO(0.57) GPG(-0.83) HNZ(-1.45) FPH(-2.02)]


107
aspar13
-0.60%
[TEL(1.32) FBU(0.81) HNZ(0.00) RYM(-0.63) PEB(-4.48)]


108
Arbitrage
-0.69%
[POT(0.37) BTU(0.00) HNZ(0.00) GPG(-0.83) SUM(-3.00)]


109
ced
-0.83%
[DIL(0.00) RYM(-0.63) CNU(-0.69) AIR(-0.76) PGW(-2.04)]


110
elZorro
-0.92%
[SPY(1.17) GEL(0.00) FPH(-0.82) HNZ(-1.45) OGC(-3.49)]


111
GTM 3442
-1.06%
[ATM(1.89) SPY(0.58) SEK(0.00) CEN(-1.90) DPC(-5.88)]


112
biker
-1.33%
[PEB(3.23) ATM(0.00) AIR(-0.76) HNZ(-2.86) RBC(-6.25)]


113
shasta
-1.36%
[IFT(1.74) DGL(1.69) EBO(1.44) CUE(-5.41) RBC(-6.25)]


114
EAGLE
-1.43%
[ATM(0.00) HNZ(0.00) RYM(-0.63) PGW(-2.04) PEB(-4.48)]


115
Left field
-2.69%
[RYM(-0.63) XRO(-1.77) PGW(-2.04) PEB(-4.48) BLT(-4.55)]


116
troyvdh
-2.88%
[THL(1.43) PPP(0.00) CEN(-3.20) GEL(-4.76) CUE(-7.89)]


117
tim23
-18.33%
[APN(5.88) SKT(3.11) PPP(0.81) HNZ(-1.45)]


118
h2so4
-20.06%
[PGW(6.67) NPX(0.94) AWF(0.00) CUE(-7.89)]


119
Sideshow Bob
-20.67%
[NZO(1.15) ATM(0.00) NEW(0.00) PEB(-4.48)]


120
Shrewd Crude
-21.76%
[PPP(0.81) NZO(0.57) GEL(-4.76) CUE(-5.41)]








-
Forsyth Barr
6.31%
[PGW(14.29) SKL(7.19) RYM(6.50) SKC(2.40) MFT(1.19)]


-
ST Top 5
4.85%
[PGW(17.07) RYM(6.74) ATM(1.89) DIL(0.00) HNZ(-1.45)]


-
First NZ Capital
4.25%
[PGW(14.29) KMD(4.52) SKT(3.97) SUM(0.44) DIL(-1.96)]


-
MacQuarie
3.50%
[RYM(6.50) RBD(5.49) PPL(2.96) TME(2.54) GFF(0.00)]


-
Craigs IP
2.69%
[RYM(6.50) TEM(5.78) SKT(3.97) FPH(-0.82) DIL(-1.96)]


-
McDougall Stuart
2.39%
[SKL(7.19) NZX(3.28) ATM(1.89) TWR(1.56) DIL(-1.96)]


-
Goldman Sachs
1.83%
[FBU(4.56) SKC(2.40) IFT(2.18) AIR(0.00) GPG(0.00)]


-
Hamilton HG
1.36%
[PGW(14.29) TWR(1.56) NPT(-2.52) CEN(-2.83) CNU(-3.70)]




Dividends: ABA

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[asxnz]

Pgw
npx
cav
cnu
rym

[blobbles]

I think we should call the competition off now and just say I won.

i.e. I have no confidence of retaining top spot!

[CJ]

Can I change TEL into BLS (blis). Decided to try and rank higher this year so a dividend stock isn't going to cut it, you need a multibagger.

Considered swapping out FPH as well but a US$ play throws something different into the mix- surely we can't go much higher than 84 but surely we can go lower.
I have gone reasonably defensive as I am not sure what type of year we will have:

DIL Still got plenty to grow
RYM can still grow independent of economy
FBU chch rebuild
TEL defensive yield pick
FPH safe stock that will benefit alot if the dollar reverses this year ( I don't think it will but just in case)

[pierre]

HI PT

May I make one final change please:

Delete CNU
Add PEB

Merci

Pierre

[GRIFFIN]

PT Giving it a crack.
ATM
CRP
PEB
NEW
PPL

[Alf]

Thanks for this PT
BGR
CNU
HNZ
MHI
SKT
Dartboard selections!

[GBHcorp]

PT, getting in late here

GEL
PEB
DIL
AIR
SUM

Cheers

[jimmi]

DIL
XRO
AIR
PEB
TEL


Cheers PT

[oldmankiwi]

Hi PT,

Please lock in...:

THL
NEW
MET
CNU
BLI

Cheers and thanks for running the contest.
oldmankiwi

[emearg]

Hi PT,

Please lock in...:

THL
NEW
MET
CNU
BLI

Cheers and thanks for running the contest.
oldmankiwi

What is BLI ? Did you mean BLT (Blis Tech)?

[oldmankiwi]

Sorry about that, yes BLT, thanks oldmankiwi

[Sideshow Bob]

PHB please Master Tiger............

Hi PT,

In case you missed this.

Many thanks

[GR8DAY]

Hi PT......am I too late to swap DIL for WDT.........yes that's correct WDT..........why are you looking at me like that?? (im punting on 2013 being the year of the "small-caps").......WDT is takeover material in my opinion.


cheers M8

GR8DAY

[RRR]

Thanks PT for running this competition again! My picks are:
FBU
SKT
CEN
ARG
WHS

[acegolfer]

Hope I'm not too late.

PGW
SUM
PPL
AIR
STU

[whipit]

Thanks for running this, it should be and interesting year. I'll be boring with

RYM
FBU
FPH
DIL
CNU

Cheers

[emearg]

Hi PT

Can I please swap XRO with WDT

Many thanks

[JayRiggs]

I'll pick:

CEN
CNU
DIL
ECO
FPH

Thanks PT!

[evander]

Thanks PT for running comp. again,

DIL
PGW
TME
ATM
CAV

[tim23]

Hi Papertiger - when I entered PGG I meant Wightson, thanks

[janner]

Thank you PT

For me .. Just some solid workhorses.

NPX
GFF
HNZ
PGW
SUM

It looks as if you are the winner with a large percentage rise in contestants..

[whirly]

AIA
FBU
NZO
PLU
SAN

thanks W.

[hammer]

I'll go with:
AIR
CEN
ARG
DIL
RYM

thank you

[Snow Leopard]

Because they have been neglected:

NTH
SEA
MOA
MGL
GLL

best wishes
Paper Tiger

[Vaygor1]

Interesting to see you have an interest in the North Sea Moa.