Well, no...
If you are wearing pants you don't need to run anywhere...and because of your deep knowledge of how tides work you understand the difference between an event that is nothing to worry about (i.e. the tide has gone out as expected, and will almost certainly come back in...as expected) versus...this is fundamentally different, and it looks like a tsunami is coming in a few hours...
Only by having a 'rock solid' understanding of the Business Case can you make intelligent decisions when you observe changes (so you can assess whether they are fluctuations that are no real cause for concern, or otherwise).