Clearly! :-)
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The Bioguard website added this recently: "Currently, BioGuard is available at CostCo on line[,] with expansion plans to begin carrying it in CostCo warehouses in the Fall of 2010." Fall would mean in a few months presumably. That's ambiguous though on whether it will begin in all warehouses then, or begin then a rollout into all warehouses. But it would sound like all warehouses one way or another, wouldn't it? Good news one way or another I'd have said. http://www.imagenetix.net/branded-pr...ced-probiotic/
Are Nature's Plus experimenting with other packaging? Are these aimed at airports perhaps? Or supermarkets?
http://i.ebayimg.com/05/!BqJmbU!CGk~...mLkQhw~~_3.JPG
http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll...=263602_263622
Oddly, currently I can find no reference to this anywhere except on Ebay. So this link may not last. It was dated April 5.
In case you already can't see it, the photo is a collection of small packets that look designed to hang off those little hooks at the counters of stores, like packets of sweets do. The whole thing is described as:
21 travel Packs Mix Vitamins & Minerals - Nature's Plus
2 Gold tablets - 3 tabs each pak
2 Tooth Fairy - 2 animals each pak
2 Green & Red - 3 tabs each pak
2 Tummy zyme - 1 animals each pak
2 Shot-o-B12 - 1 lozenge each pak
2 Red mini-tabs - 6 tabs each pak
2 probiotic - 2 lozenge each pak
3 Power teen for him - 2 tabs each pak
2 Power teen for her - 2 tabs each pak
2 Power teen immune booster - 2 tabs each pak
However, here is another single serve concept from them that does seem to be readily available. http://www.luckyvitamin.com/p-30975-...lavor-39-grams
This is good news. I wish that I had some cash to buy more BLT. There must be a high probability of very good news coming out in the next quarterly report which impact the share price.
That Ebay item is priced at $3.99, and also says, "All Brand new - Less 20 cents each pak". If so, and if that implied they are already on sale somewhere, they would appear to be selling for an average 39 cents a pack [ = ($3.99 + 21 times "20 cents off")/21 packs = 39 cents, or $8.19 total for the 21 packs.] The 21 packs appear to contain 50 tabs in total, or 16 cents a tab. Only some of them contain Blis. Presumably the packets of each product may each have a different price if bought separately, if they are for sale at all. (As always, do your own maths. Corrections welcome.)
In that article Bobby found a few weeks ago, http://www.moosylvania.com/blog/file...ason+quote.pdf , it said, "I’ve seen some of the products our contract manufacturers in the States have put together and they are more akin to sweets." And, "Washington-Smith says a dose of K12 adds about four US cents to a product, be it a lozenge or a pot of yoghurt."
Now, if little packets like that were hanging in supermarkets and/or airport counters for 39 cents each, that could make for pretty handy sales maybe? What a pity I can find no trace on the net of this apart from this one unexpected photograph.
Am I missing something here, or is this potentially a pretty interesting development? What a pity we have no idea if any of this conjecture on pricing and marketing is real. Still, the packets in the photo presumably exist, and that at least is definitely interesting, regardless of whether they are actually currently on sale, cheaply or otherwise.
This Nature's Plus product, Source of LifeŽ Tablets, http://www.naturesplus.com/products/...56&category=15 , refers to a "sample pack" of 3 tablets. So maybe I'm reading too much into that photograph? No photo of that sample pack though, and no reference to one for Tooth Fairy, which appears to be in the ebay photo.
Still, maybe I'm not reading too much into it. These are by Nature's Plus, a fairly similar concept maybe, and selling for around $1. http://www4.shopping.com/xPO-Nature-...g-Energy-Drink They are definitely interested in selling smaller doses for small prices, it would seem.
Time will tell ... as always. Results late next week would be my guess. Bioguard results are due in the next week or two also.
Someone is spending some money on pushing the K12 message in Canada.
Check out:
http://www.npicenter.com/anm/templat...27080&zoneid=2
Here is a couple of bits from it:
Multiple medalist Kristina Groves will open the largest conference and trade show in Western Canada for the natural health and organic products industry, Expo West 2010, May 13-16
While an Olympian opens the trade show, superstar experts will be speaking to retailers in the conference program, May 13-14, preceding the show. Just a few of the stars in the lineup includes the following:
• Professor John Tagg – 'germ warfare' expert and discoverer of BLIS K12, a unique probiotic, shown to reduce tooth decay and gum disease
He is only one of three people to get a mention. A superstar? Hehe, I wonder what Prof Tagg would make of that?
I'm gonna take a stab at the full year results cause I can! I did last year and came pretty close. We will see how I do this year...
Revenue $2,800,000
Profit (after preference dividend expenses) $150,000
Dividend on Ordinary Shares Nil
Anyone else wanna try their luck?
Yes, it's great to see the Canadians going at it with such interest.
But they're one of the reasons why I won't have a guess. The results seem to me to be dependent on a several key things, such as:
Income: How well have the Canadians done in the time available; How well did Bioguard do; Has all Nature's Plus' activity translated into sales, in which case maybe it did pretty well; Are the large number of other manufacturers getting results (Dr Sinatra now sells a 6 month supply, for example); How has Japan gone, given the large population and the relatively high price (it is now on quite a number of web sites); Has Tooth Fairy made a market?
Expenses: Was the GRAS cost in the first half, or is it ongoing, and has the cost grown; Is Europe eating up legal costs now with it's tough regime; What other registrations are on the boil (in other countries, and with more products); Are marketing costs increasing?
Your guess on 2.8 revenue is quite plausible, but requires quite a growth in sales. If so, could it grow even more? And again, maybe it didn't grow so well. ie. The 2.8 requires doubling of sales perhaps from last half, in which case it might as easily have been 1.5 times, or 2.5 times, or some other result. Finding out just how fast sales grew will be one of the most fascinating pieces of the news.
And profit, in my guess, will be heavily dependent on extra costs, as I think we have been given clues the cost of sales is quite reasonable. Extra costs could be legal in particular, or just extra costs of expansion.
My wild card would be that Japan has done pretty well, and maybe even Taiwan. (And I would be pleased to hear that BLT is growing outside the US anyway, for strategic reasons.) Other key bits of news I hope: toothpaste, GRAS, Nestle, yoghurt, NZ.
So your guess of 2.8 is quite possible, but I'm optimistically hoping higher. The profit guess of 150,000 (about 0.5m before prefs) is quite loaded with expenses, and I would hope it would be higher with that revenue.
Don't know, Chippie. Given the quiet action on the share price now, probably one week before the results, I'm not sure how much reaction there is going to be after any news either. That award seems to have produced almost no interest, for instance. My worst outcome would be for the BLT shares to remain tantalisingly cheap, and thus continue to soak up my cash more than I would like!