Mr Somette and his log time periodic advances and finite time singularities is an interesting study
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Mr Somette and his log time periodic advances and finite time singularities is an interesting study
Watch this as a prelude to reading stuff. Had been looking at this stuff for a while but this talk is very good. The maths is pretty geek stuff
http://www.ted.com/talks/didier_sorn...risis#t-654776
Moosie better not watch as its about knowing bubbles before they burst
Whoopee, the magical 2000 been hit
The way it's going be 2500 sooner than later ....then 3000
Hope these log time periodic advances don't lead to a finite singularity
Manat got to keep it going up to the next US election
This time it is different. Then 2500 is coming soon
http://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/12/shiller/
Was written end of last year but still relevant
Quote: For most of history, the Shiller Cyclically-Adjusted Price-Earnings ratio (CAPE) oscillated in a pseudo sine wave around a long-term (130 year) average of 15.30. It spent 55% percent of the time above the average, and 45% of the time below–a reasonable result for a metric that allegedly mean reverts. Since 1990, however, the metric has only spent 2% of the time below its historical average–98% of the time above.
And he goes on to say that it reverts to the mean only when wars or financial disasters happen
Yes that 3000 is coming
http://www.businessinsider.com.au/mo...00-3000-2014-9
A bit wimpish call though ......will be a lot faster than they say
Belgarion, please think again about this, many of your posts are outstanding in quality, and the political threads are decaying into neo-liberal and conservative babble in your absence. Time is on our side, it'll be a different story in the next election, and it might not be three years, if National get back in.
S&P500 hit all time high of 2019 before closing down at 2010
This guy reckons that's the top for the year
I reckon 2050, if not 2100, by Xmas but what he heck do I know in comparison to these anonymous gurus who uses a non de plume based on the 'The Great Bear of Wall Street'
Stock Market Blogger 'Jesse Livermore' Is Calling The Top
http://www.businessinsider.com.au/je...014-top-2014-9