It's not prediction, so it must be a fact that OCA will drop. Therefore I'm sure you've got a short position in OCA then, right?
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Your attempt at technical analysis sucks, please go away and after studying Oceania's business model then make a post about what you think about it. What I say might be controversial on this forum but, making posts about moving averages add very little to these threads (other than being entertaining to pull apart their argument). There is no real conclusion you can draw from price trends about the future price a stock may be.
Ask yourself the question, even if there were small market inefficiencies where paying attention to moving averages gave you an advantage who do you think would win? Large firms with millions of dollars worth of research and development into algorithms which has been trained to find any trend and place thousands of orders before you can blink, or you on your computer (some have even claimed to day trade on their phone on Sharetrader). Any firm competing with you would definitely be able to place their buy/sell order way quicker than you could thus removing any competitive advantage you could theoretically have.
Not the point, but actually that is a wonderful thing for shareholders looking to pick shares up at a discount. Horrific if you bought at $1.40 and sold at $0.80.
The point is you implied that paying attention to moving averages allows you to avoid future drawdowns. Plain and simple that is utter rubbish.