Updated this after recent events
10% chance of takeover at $6.25 (mid point $6.00 to $6.50 - I just love midpoints)
10% chance of market love taking it $5.00
30% chance price hangs around $4.40
50% chance of price falling to $3.60
‘Expected’ target price in a years time $4.25
BaaBaa mentions opportunity cost ...should be considered as well
Maybe the mantra is now MET, heads you might win, tails you might lose a bit ....hmmm