Actually - I think it is more complicated than just Trump or Clinton. Sure - a Trump win certainly would result in a BIG drop of stocks (high uncertainty of whats happening next) - while a Clinton win probably would result in a relief rally - unless the democrats take it all (House + senate - which is possible, but could lead to less fiscally responsible behaviour ...). I would however not see a Clinton administration to be the next trigger for a bear.
However, the other potential triggers don't go away: rising interest rates, some state bankrupts, Middle East getting out of hand,
Putin starting WWIII - just take your pick :sleep: Personally would I think that none of these events is likely to cause the next big crash (given that people are aware of them and watch them) - more likely something unexpected happening (black swan event) ... but if we would know about it, it wouldn't be a black swan anymore.
Just watch the VIX (fear index) and start worrying if it is really low. Actually - I just checked and it is going down (and well below average) - Scary :eek2:
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Discl: hold roughly three times as much cash than normal ... and might need to review whether this is enough!