I will be very surprised if not most or all of the SI rural seats that unbelievably went to Labour last election, will swing back to National and ACT, including Damien O'Connor's West Coast- Tasman.
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Julie Anne Genter could possibly take Rongotai for the Greens. Rongotai has been forever been a Labour stronghold. So much so Nate don’t even ‘compete’
Whatever happens the people of Rongotai will have a useless MP …one even more useless than incumbent Paul Eagle
Probably sums up the current state of our parliament
Act deputy leader - Brooke van Velden vying for Tamaki (including taking over the old Police Station in St Heliers as electorate HQ- should Simon O'Connor be worried?? Could this be another Epsom??
There's certainly momentum with her campaign. High visibility and she articulates ACT's common sense policies as well as the one New Zealand vision very well.
WE could be in for an election day upset in Tamaki - and I havew to say, good riddance to Simon O'Connor who is well past his used by date as an effective MP.
https://thespinoff.co.nz/politics/29...tc4u3ymV4ioI5M
But is Act dog whistling on race, I press? No, she says. “What I’m hearing on the ground and what you might be picking up is people feel frustrated. People don’t feel they have the right to express their opinions and they are shut down. What we are also hearing is a frustration from people that government policy makes them feel like they no longer have a place in society,” van Velden says.
2.00 pm today and all will be revealed :
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politi...AHIGBUJUWCX5Q/
The 10 closest electorates in Election 2023
Te Atatū NICHOLAS, Angee (NAT) TWYFORD, Phil (LAB) 30
Nelson CAMERON, Blair (NAT) BOYACK, Rachel Elizabeth (LAB) 54
Banks Peninsula WEENINK, Vanessa (NAT) McLELLAN, Tracey (LAB) 83
Mt Albert WHITE, Helen (LAB) LEE, Melissa (NAT) 106
New Lynn GARCIA, Paulo (NAT) RUSSELL, Deborah (LAB) 483
Te Tai Tokerau DAVIS, Kelvin (LAB) KAPA-KINGI, Mariameno (TPMAO) 487
Tāmaki Makaurau HENARE, Peeni (LAB) KEMP, Takutai Tarsh (TPMAO) 495
Rongotai GENTER, Julie Anne (GP) FITZSIMONS, Fleur (LAB) 792
West Coast-Tasman PUGH, Maureen (NAT) O'CONNOR, Damien (LAB) 915
Hutt South BISHOP, Chris (NAT) ANDERSEN, Ginny (LAB) 1,094
Doubt Bish will lose Hutt South
If there is a 1-2 seat swing to the left from the specials and current electorate seats held by National, that could mean Brownlee is out of Parliament.
I’m personally not convinced the specials will reduce the right block seatnumbers but we’ll know soon