Equating to <5% annually on a compounding basis??
I am 63, retired. bought AIA, CEN and MEL since listed. Never sold any of them.
I bought some 18.2 to 19.5 probably around the same time. Feeling equally ill that I sold them for .24 because the market started to turn and I wanted to pull some profit out prior to last Christmas. :confused:
However they got here I wish I'd stuck with them a bit longer! Instead I have to go and kick some other dogs and see if I can a return off them.
Whoops yeah, looks like we have a winner.:t_up:
I have had other thoughts at other times :lol: but what a wonderful thread this has turned out to be. :t_up:
With PAZ hitting 28cents today the inheritance has hit $4 mil.!!
This inheritance was fictitious!, and started by Beagle, though percy does have some invested and is well positioned
Yes I assume most of us following this thread know this is just a hypothetical investment but its fun to acknowledge Percys hypothetical pick has been very successful so far. Just so happens Percy is not the only one in real life that is well positioned, Mr Beagle and the Handsome Bear are on board this one as well. :D
Shame I'm not!:(
Above posted 08-07-2019 ..11 months ago.
Well the inheritance has been increasing by $101,190 per week since then.ie over one hundred thousand dollars per week.
[Taken it is 48 weeks since the above post.]
With PAZ trading at 55 cps today,our $1mil inheritance is now worth $7,857,142.
Wonder when it will hit $10 mil.? This year or next year.?
Yes well done Percy and thanks for bringing this wee gem to our attention :)
Great gains for sure but it’s the lack of liquidity that will keep some folks from participating, hard to tell whether under or over priced when the illiquid market is set up to attract reluctant sellers to drip feed small parcels at ever increasing ask’s. Virtually impossible to buy in or get out of in volume, particularly quickly if one needs to. Best thing this company could do imo is move to the NZX and test their market value against the big money, could be a very big winner for early entrants, while also providing the liquidity for the first followers, before the late majority pile in. Imo
Yes I just kept buying them,and they are now by far our largest holding.
Fundamentals and prospects today are more compelling than ever.
The catalyst for non holders to buy, will most probably be in their first half result announcement of 7th August, which will include their trading update, and also their outlook statement.The outlook statement should be a cracker.
PAZ is not a stock for traders.
Only suitable for long term investors.
ps.In the past 9 or 10 years I have only ever brought PAZ shares,.Never sold any.Why would I.?,,lol,
From my post #4 PAZ thread posted 23/4/2011
A word of warning.The unlisted companies are thinly traded.Brokers do not follow them.You are on your own.Uncharted territory.More risk,but possibly more rewards.
Thanks Percy, Iceman and Baa Baa, good comments. The unlisted/hard to trade nature was what put me off when I looked at it. However I can recall reading the list of shareholders which seemed to be a veritable Who's Who of Southern Investors (and a few old mates)!!
Lots of good people 'well positioned' including Percy. ( Note to self - put 7 Aug in Diary!)
Arguably THE most controversial thread I ever started with some real roller coaster consequences but crikey am I pleased I did !
PAZ a very good company with very strong growth propsects. Thank you Percy.
Well we are nearly 4 years on and our $1mil locked into PAZ is currently worth $8.71 mil.
Way we are travelling I expect it will be worth nearly $25mil at the end of the 10 years.
However with their two new fantastic state of the art factories due to come on stream in the next year or 2 who would know.
Adding fuel to the fire I note they have enough land at Rolleston to build even more production capacity.
Maybe our $1mil may grow to between $30mil and $40mil.Thank goodness it is locked away for another 6 years.
"Well positioned,."...lol
A LOT has changed since that post nearly 2 years ago In June 2020. They have certainly been on a baptism of fire journey with their growth aspirations and its not over yet by any means. PAZ face a gargantuan sized challenge immediately ahead trying to find the manpower to run all their new plant and machinery when they're already 20% short and don't appear able to solve their existing staff crisis issues. Trying to solve that massive problem probably has major implications for pay rates and consequently quite serious flow on effects to the profitability of the company in the future. Its acts like a huge handbrake on earnings growth. We've all seen how the rapidly escalating pay rates for companies like OCA has really sucked the life out of earnings growth for them. One problem child in my portfolio is more than enough for me lol
$1m today invested in HGH will give investors a gross yield of (my estimate) 8.4% in FY23 ($84,000 per annum gross income) and they have a well proven and long track record of steadily growing earnings and dividends so it won't be long until that million generates $100,000 annual income !
The perfect stock, (trading on compelling metrics in the early teens PE), for those looking for growth and high level's of income that continue growing.
What was the point of starting the tread?
The point was where would you put $1m for 10 years and Percy is saying the PAZ short term hurdles don’t matter with a 10 year investment time horizon
What a great thread...kiwis are great at making the stuff...but ..in my opinion...hopeless at keeping it.
You could be describing just about any company in NZ at the moment and with our stupid border rules continuing, the hurt will continue to be magnified. Absolutely crazy !
But like Percy said, this is 4 years old and he's just updating, not starting now ! In the scheme of things, PAZ's current issues are indeed slowing things down but will be just a small dot in history looking back, for those with enough patience :-)
Happy Easter all.
The complete paucity of liquidity means you could never have invested $1m four years ago, (even if you had that much spare investable funds back then), without radically affecting the price so that invalidates your theoretical conceptual percentage gains. The point of this thread was to identify which companies you can totally trust as a safe investment for a decade that you really could have invested $1m in. To do that you need $1m in cash and the liquidity to create a position without dramatically affecting the share price. PAZ has never had the liquidity to do that. Few, if anyone, took the intent of the thread seriously which is why quite some time back I tried to cancel this thread twice.
I'll leave others to work out for themselves why you dug up this very old thread. Its seems obvious to me.
What you suggest is true Iceman but the risks should be crystal clear for any company currently trying to double their workforce. My contention is that labour shortages are chronic, will be severely enduring and there are real implications for serious ongoing pay rate increases and serious implications for future eps growth. Each to their own, I'd rather invest in a reliable GARP, (growth at a reasonable price) stock that's going to give me reliable growth and income as well as decent liquidity.
Yes under $1mil,yet a very considerable amount.
Others did manage to buy between 500,000 and just over 6mil shares at the 7 cents level.[I bought somewhere in between.]
Liquidity on Unlisted has been surprisingly good.I also managed to build a substantial holding in SFF for both myself and my wife in under 18 months.
Both PAZ and SFF are held in our long term portfolios.
My point is no matter where a company is listed, so long as you do your research and buy for the long term you will do well.
A case in point I held Ebos for 27 years.
So far my PAZ and SFF holdings have been incredibly successful.
We also hold GNE,HGH,and SPK in our long term portfolios,and have added SEK this year.
All the above holdings I expect we will be holding in 10 years time.
I saw the point of this thread clearly,so acted accordingly.
I have never had cause to change my mind .
ps.I look forward to posting on this thread in a year or two's time...loli
Its certainly been a very interesting and very revealing thread. I'll leave it at that but I am sure some others won't lol.
I agree with the labour shortage 100% and almost agree with EPS comment. I can't speak for the other regions but getting good employees in Hawkes Bay is difficult at the moment. Wage rates are increasing just to hang onto existing staff. But this increase in costs is being offset by price increases.
From SFF recent newsletter.
This week we welcomed back 15 staff members from Samoa. Our challenges accessing skilled labour are well known and going into this wave of Omicron we were around 550 workers short across our site network.
From a recent Seeka newsletter.
RSE’s are now starting to arrive in good numbers – the “Charge of the RSE Brigade”.
Yes a very serious shortage of workers through out the country..
In the meat industry they are having to get numbers off farms, so it is a case of quantity rather than quality cuts,whch in turn lowers the amount of export revenue NZ earns.
I’d blow it all on lotto tickets
Think of all the thousands I’d win. And free bonus tickets for years and years to come.
I really should be a financial planner.
If you want more top tips on how to destroy your wealth feel free to PM me.
I'd choose Auckland Airport.
Either that or spend it at the bar.
https://rmarine.nz/models/395-suv/ An investment in fun and good times.
Speaking of leaving money in a dictatorship for 10 years! No currently unable to liquidate. Both the official and on street in Moscow exchange rate is better than when I bought and Sberbank share price has recovered on the MOEX but with restricted selling its probably not a real price. So I might find out the answer to my own question.
https://boattest.com/article/future-...ource=hs_email Cost of a new one is only going to go one way.
Depends how you define investment. People buy Art, holiday homes, classic vehicles and so on that they don't use much and hope they go up. Our last boat held its value really well from new and we had awesome fun over the years on it and enjoyed it heaps. You could argue that many happy times with friends and family while the kids were young is the greatest dividend of all. I don't regret one minute of it. My policy has always been that you should enjoy some of the spoils of your hard work and investment along the way. Go figure why some people just think the accumulation of money is a goal unto itself and they have no clear plan on how they will ever enjoy their wealth ? What's the point of being the richest person in a secure lock up unit in a dementia ward ?
All absolutely true - and if you check back over this and other threads you will see that I have consistently advised you to go to sea or go fishing when you have been feeling down.
And I have just arranged to have a power winch with remote fitted to my trailer so that I can launch and retrieve my dory on my own and extend its "useful life" a bit further into my dotage.
But that's a different usage of the term "investment" from the criteria you normally advocate so elegantly and eloquently. Enjoy!
Yes I have appreciated your encouragement and enthusiasm for all things nautical, thank you. Unfortunately the first available production slot on that Riviera 395 is not available until December 2024.
Thanks, I agree 100%. I think there's a lot of people that will have to sell their toys in the foreseeable future ! The current grossly over inflated market for all sorts of lifestyle assets like classic cars, campervans, holiday homes and boats looks really vulnerable to a big fall.
It looks like an Exocet! A bit different from the Parkercraft (similar to this one https://www.boats.co.nz/parker-craft-dinghy/2104) I was invited on at Easter...
Edit: We had an enjoyable time tootling close to the lake shore.