With Winston looking like making a come back promoting NZF policy to remove all references to The Treaty from our laws, and ACT pushing a bottom line of a referendum on The Treaty, they are both going hard after the same anti co-governance vote. (And same rural Groundswell vote)
Next polls will be fascinating.
Could prove a headache for National as ACT loses a chunk of voters to NZF leaving National ACT coalition short & needing 2 coalition partners instead of 1.
National won't want to negotiate with Winston. And he would walk all over inexperienced Luxon if they were in coalition together.
Alternatively might be helpful to National if it takes some of the negotiation leverage away from ACT.
Risk on it allows Labour & Greens to come through the middle.