At present I'd be happy either way-repayment of capital or conversion to shares.
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At present I'd be happy either way-repayment of capital or conversion to shares.
Not looking to buy..already holding since inception. Just pondering what, if anything might be on the cards coming up. I think the reason they are trading at par is the uncertainty. Until 2018 they were trading well but since then has been gradual decline...perhaps because holders didn't want to get caught having to take pricey ANZ shares ( $35 ) but now SP is at $19 odd so I wouldn't mind shares. Difficult to find information on these and Kiwi trev several posts prior says optional exchange date is May 2020. I'm sure info on options is somewhere but I cannot find it?
Here's a link to the original offer document
https://www.anz.co.nz/content/dam/an...df?MOD=AJPERES
25/5/2020 is the optional exchange date, 25/5/2022 is the mandatory conversion date (with conditions).
They can repay, or convert on the 25/5/2020. If they don't we change to a floating interest rate, set each quarter until the 25/5/2022, when they look at conversion to shares again. If certain conditions are not met on the 25/5/2022 they then carry on, with the possibility of conversion at any quarterly interest payment period if conditions are met-if not they could end up being possibly perpetually.
I think I've got that roughly right.
Will be interesting to see what happens in May.
Yes not sure of the benefit (to me) of changing to a new probably much, much lower interest rate but I suppose it would be at least 3%? if the ANZ shares are still low, or lower even would be ok. My guess is we will get what is best for the ANZ so wont be repayment, but could be shares or new interest rate. Selling now may be easier...think I can do better with the funds elsewhere. Thanks.
I'd be happy with shares, but at present with them sometimes moving a couple of dollars a day (although mostly down) I'd like to have some say over the timing. Cash out is also fine, but selling at about par now might be the sensible option as you say, even with missing the next (final?) interest payment.
I've got some thinking to do.
But have certainly been happy with them for their quarterly payments the past 5 years.
Just checked how they set the interest rate if they carried on with them and we got the floating rate.
It will be the 3 month bank bill rate + a margin.
The margin (which they say will not change for the term of the offer) is 3.50%.
Say the 3 month BBR is 0.75% (who knows what it will be in May), that's 4.25%, which isn't terrible in the current climate. That may be enough to convince ANZ to repay them. Surely they can get money cheaper than that.
Plus of course they won't want to be seen as not doing what was implied they would at the beginning (I'm sure their intention was to pay out this year).
What you say makes perfect sense....I guess the question we should ask ourselves is, are we happy with that or are there other sweeter, better opportunities. At the moment there is a swag of good (and relatively safe and conservative prospects in shares, so for me the desirability of bonds of any type are not particularly compelling.