"SHARE TRADING" strategies ,thoughts , ideas- why I love to pay TAX
Ever since I doubled the value of my portfolio in the 04-05 fy (my third year of buying and selling my own shares online ,,,no more expensive stuffy old broker for me) I knew it was time to make a change
I decided with the advice from my accountant to form a company and become a TAX paying Trader ....I had the Trading bug and finally with the new structure I could break loose and BUY and SELL whenever I wanted ....no more stress ....(well not really ended up way more stressful LOL)
After simply thousands and thousands of hours of study and market watching have passed to date ...and I think it's about time I pass on some of my strategies thoughts ideas I have found have helped me get some brilliant returns and also what has cost me HUGE in wasted funds
Any Questions..... personal viewpoints ....Good/bad outcomes from others efforts doesn't matter how stupid put it up>>>
I'm certainly not the best technically trader but like the motto K.I.S.S .....
Now and again I'll throw up a post on another aspect to my own trading style I've mashed together over the years ....
2 Attachment(s)
#1 -how I find shares to trade------
thanks to the PM's from novice traders out there ....honestly post on here!! and let's get the thread moving and hopefully drag in few legends of the trading game into the thread ...
right to work (second day after minor surgery)am on drugs so hopefully don't stuff it up too much.....love the edit
#1 -how I find shares to trade------anywhere and everywhere but mainly>>>>
Most of the time I original come across the shares on Sharetrader or Hotcopper(ASX share forum)
On HC the "ASX - Short Term Trading" thread is really good to bring to light some very good short term options at times ..
then as the years past your find your watchlists get full and you have a great memory of ticker codes to refer back to going forward,,,
Now with "Sharetrading" you don't have the time to sit back and do days of study before finally deciding on price your'd like to enter as your planning on holding for longer term much more factors come into play like divi yields ,longer term outlooks etc
More so I want to look at the basics of MICRO and MACRO factors of the company in question ...basically what the mgmt of the company has direct control over and what they don't >>>
MICRO- cash backing -shares on issue - admin costs- assets -market cap - top20 holders -forward plan(qtr outlook)- mgmt experience-chart trends,depth volume-
MACRO- market sentiment towards the sector you're trading in ...prices of the resources - products what's the trend,, what time of year
MAY JUNE great time to buy tax-loss selling pressure on the ASX ...
Now as a trader you usually stick to sectors you have a interest and history in as it cuts down on time studying the MARCO's
i.e-- you're looking over ASX Aus Gold producers .... you already know the higher than average AUD gold price and cheaper energy (low diesel costs) over the last many year ... and value given on peers in the sector so it's much easier to see a good value...
So you're general confident on the Macro ....the first two micro's I'll look at is --- DEPTH and 1yr-6 month Chart
example T/A on MCR (nickel, Gold explorer soon to be producer)
as we know tax loss selling mainly in june MCR volume picking up till cut-off date in late JUNE
nearly always see a bounce once that pressure releases
the chart green line 30day and redline 60 day moving average always bullish when the SP crosses these points
the depth chart as we can see a wall of Buyers keen to get on board ,,,holders less keen to put up there shares for sale (if you find many gaps in the offer is also a great sign)
more basics ----TRADING-&&&-EMOTIONS
....If you are thinking about getting into trading IMHO you really need to control your emotion around FEAR & GREED >>
--11yrs on I'm finally after so many stupid mistakes getting a pretty solid BACKBONE to my trading style ....(but just like eating bad food etc it never goes away)
#1-"never fall in love with a COMPANY".
...Can be hard at time when you have put many hours of study ..really respect what a company is doing or what they predict in forward plans etc .. maybe it's macro factors around the sector and you think you have found the next sector daring>>>>For a 'SHAREtrader" it's usually very easy to find the companies you have gone soft on as they are usually the one's gathering dust in the portfolio...
I've found the biggest losses to date have many times come from companies where I have talked with mgmt sometimes many times in turn
sometimes making you soft on Neg news or not meeting targets etc .....
#2-"Let the numbers to the talking"
Many times it best to let the numbers do the talking ...like the number of days overdue for a expected ann!!.... or cash balance ....forward cash burn .... your up 30% in under 30 days ...
#3- "Have a basic outlook(SELL PRICE TARGET) for every company before you BUY it".....
some can get riskier longer you hold it (cap raising needed.. value around only one project/drill/result etc).....others much safer if first targets aren't reached (many different outcomes could drive SP) ...so risk wise I would put a tight profit target and stop-loss on the former ....
#4- "TRADE when you're in the Right frame of mind"
When I'm tired ..maybe I didn't sleep well or just having rubbish day,,,, Sick etc,, sometimes it's best just to put some sell orders/ stop losses in place and go do something else>>>>
#5- Accept TRADING mistakes.......
Doesn't matter how brilliant you think you are at some point your make a trading error ..it's just human nature ...accept it move on ....don't get depressed or angry it'll just make it worse...At present I still have the likes of KBLO on my portfolio 100% loss(broke many basic rules buying those opts arrrghhh)
Example a Great trade goes to plan>>>
Yeah no stress lawson ..
....As a Trader one always loves a good trade that goes to plan... MCR is one that has played out perfectly for me in recent days....
12-13th june - I come across MCR again on HC-Forum is a share I have traded before for great success(great mgmt in the past) so is one I check every so often but as it was in a strong downtrend with Nickel operation put on C&M and the Nickel price at record lows .wasn't to interested >> but I read a few posts on HC about a planned Gold toll treatment project for 2nd/Qtr 2018 ongoing exploration results and started my quick study>>(marco wise I was bullish on the GOLD sector esp in AUD)
T/A first up>>
the Depth table looked strong large Bids in place ....gappy small orders in the offers ----Tick
then onto Chart looked at the 3yr for a start and seen once before MCR had found strong support at the 12-14c range (FEB16) and had bounced hard before trending back to present levels ...putting the two together I was keen to look further>>
Onto more in depth upto date F/A
I went straight to the recent presentation MAY17 --
and seen they had 13mill+ cash march17 (no need for more cap to production)
The near term Gold project scoping study stacked up good cashflows/AISC/grades/payback
And a drill program in some very untouched Gold hotspots....
and even some Lithium leads
....that was me I in BUY,BUY BUY... MCR in @ 14c and back again doubling my holding days later 16c when the trend line when through the Moving averages (T/A)
-----------------then onwards to 3rd july ---- SP was driving much higher 20c then even touched 24c briefly
ann.. for the day JV drilling starting on one of MCR non-core assets(copper etc) ...but Gold was crushed down $15oz
was really watching impressed with the strong bidding to offers in the DEPTH ....then watched some profit taking coming in and without
any new info decided to take half of the table 21.5c gone ...happy with that see what the next day brings ....
4th July more shares trading not much direction ...wall of selling building in the DEPTH ....starting to look like it had run out of steam ..no new updates .... Gold NIckel ...doing nothing ... sold my other half 21c ....
today I seen the selling pressure has pushed MCR back towards 18.5c
will be watching tomorrow ....but most likely I will be Buying back in again soon 14c-15c I certainly will be
Timing ...Farming a trade ....got to be there on open
Yes shasta great minds think alike >>
Another lesson >>On Trading strategies >>FARMING a Trade
.1#..Farming a trade(scalping) = intraday/swing trading .....
Now farming a trade is where I like the company but I believe I can take the profit during the day usually around open and buy back in lower again later in the day or maybe the next >>
-Doesn't always work >> but end of the day if your target is say $700-$1000 profit for only days holding it's not the end of the world if you miss out on another couple of %.... >>>
This week alone I've missed out on two great intraday trades .
.... RLE going from mid 8's to over 10c to then back to 9c
....RSG from the 1.04 to 1.09 today ....
Both times be away having lunch with family >> always the F'n way!!
Now the above trades may not seem that exciting ...But had I been in front of my screen instead of away
I would have made $4500 from the 50k invested and best of all I would have been back into the same companies to do it all again fornot much more than I originally paid>>>>
This is why I love trading over investing >>
and yes I'm pissed about missing the trades
How many companies to hold ??
Quote:
Originally Posted by
shasta
Using a company setup takes you away from using a more simple cash basis and having to account for unrealised gains/losses on shares and FX.
Good in that it can avoid tainting on longer term investments, or those you wish to hold in a different name.
Interesting how different people think with there trading strategies, i'm not too far from you JBMURC, over the years we seem to end up in the same companies.
One old rule i had was holding 5 companies max, research the fundamentals, look for undervalued assets, negative EV, mgmt with skin in the game, well funded, no debt etc
Now i see various non resource companies and buy in if the fundamentals stack up, and end up selling soon as anything changes, or buying more on weakness.
Disc; holding 6 stocks at mo and a small holding in TRT via in specie distribution from TNG.
I use to only hold x4-x6 shares and for a good amount of time sometimes only x3.(Main because my trading went stale couldn't be stuffed etc)..... but very recently I was finding with the huge amount of study I was coming across so many great companies with my targeted short term 100%++pa upside that I decided why not spread the risk ...
So my new set range is min 8 to 12 max ...(will see how this plays out for me.. so far so good)
.In the past I had been hurt by one or two high risk high growth specs being crushed by insider trading or announcment >>
----- I just wasn't keep a close enough eye on because of my work >>>even though at times I was only invested in 3-4 companies
when you're away from the net at SEA for several days at a time with maybe couple tired hrs free before heading away again..
Yes I have tried stop-losses to find I was stopped out for an intra-week lows when I got back days later ggrrr ..(IMHO stop-losses aren't really suitable to the micro-cap sectors but are fine for the bigger end of town with higher volume trading >>)
If you don't have the time to put solid 20hrs+ per week every week don't become a ShareTrading ...(Well in my experience of keeping your trading mojo flowing>>In a busy week I'll spend 50hrs+
Trading thoughts ##making money in market crash ? Looking like we might well have one
As much as I like to trade LONG ...sometimes I like to keep my options open in case of a major BEAR market attacks ...just like the GFC did one minute Fine next DOOM ...
I like to keep in context the global MACRO sentiments of the International Shares markets as we know if the US markets crash so does the ASX ... Even safer plays like Gold producers?Cash cows companies can still be forced downwards(abit on much lower levels) on margin calls on other investments forcing holders to sell them to survive deflaut..etc etc
there is many ways a trader can make a profit these day in SHORTING the market or even Companies ...Futures, CFD's, Warrants, options all offering different styles of leverage ..
. market goes down 10% you can make 100% return on some of these products if not more afters costs ....but what I've found is unless your've perfectly timed your position you can get badly burnt (I certainly have at times esp in shorting shares) as the spread/commission straight away putting you on the back foot ..aka you might need the market to drop .5% can to break even on costs...and if your timing is not 100% perfect you can without even being completely of the mark in a position where your down 20-30%
now depending on margin your provider will be asking for more funds to cover your negative position or else they will dump your position ...One of my first plays in the FOREX market ended only seconds after I took my position with a forced cose of order for a $300 loss(my provider at the time uses a stop-loss provision)
Lets just say after having a play around Futures,CFDs,warrants I've decided unless your got a million+ book and serious high risk trading skills I'll leave it too the BIG BOYs and players
...recently I came across BETA ETF's which you can buy just like shares on the ASX
BEAR 1:1 short to ASX20
BBOZ 2-3:1 short to ASX20
BBUS 2-3:1 S&P500 (hedged currency)
Still not perfect but a safer option for me IMHO
I see recently had you took a position in BBUS at recent lows -S&P500 market peaks end of JAN18 or MAR12th you could exit for around a 15%-20% profit
CASH in the CALL account of course one of the best insurances if the market is looking toppy >> then if "TRADING EMOTIONS" are good you will let the crash play out and look for a double bottom etc to buy your favourite companies