All I was saying that that share equity was reduced because of the increased provision .....and the new capital from the last DRP wasn’t enough to get shareholder equity back to where it was.
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i have been looking through Heartland's lending to industry sectors (AR2018 Note 18c) and noticed an inconsistency between the business done in the 'Finance and Insurance' Sectors in FY2017. In the FY2018 report $64.286m from the finance and insurance business has apparently been reclassified from 'Finance & Insurance' to that catch all net of 'Other'.
HBL (FY2017) from AR2017 HBL (FY2017) from AR2018 Agriculture Forestry & Fishing: $836.977m (21.3%) $836.977m (21.3%) Mining: $19.006m (0.5%) $19.006m (0.5%) Manufacturing: $76.445m (1.9%) $76.445m (1.9%) Finance & Insurance: $395.804m (10.1%) $331.518m (8.4%) Retail & Wholesale Trade: $188.941m (4.8%) $188.941m (4.8%) Households: $1,717.407m (43.7%) $1,717.407m (43.7%) Property & Business Services $347.776m (8.8%) $347.776m (8.8%) Transport & Storage: $179.016m (4.6%) $179.016m (4.6%) Other Services: $169.867m (4.3%) $234.153m (6.0%) Total $3,931.239m (100%) $3,931.239m (100%)
I wondered if any reader could explain why $64.286m worth of finance and insurance business suddenly disappeared into another box? Heartland is a finance company after all. And if they can't decide what part of their business lending is classified as 'finance', that has to be a worry!
SNOOPY
https://go.harmoney.com/rs/915-LSX-1...ekRCSWp5In0%3D
Harmoney put out an interesting guide to buying a car - this bit struck a chord with me.
If money was no concern, we’d all buy new cars - aside from that enticing new car smell, driving a new car means enjoying the latest in automotive technology and (in theory) years of hassle-free motoring. In reality, these advantages are probably overstated
One new car I have bought in the last 20 years had no issues and I remember it fondly. The rest all had at least one issue and the current one...oh dear !
It seems to me that buying a new car or shares off private equity firms in the Chinese year of the dog is likely to end you up with the buyer owning puppies.
Chinese year of the dog ends on 4 February...maybe OCA shares and my other pup will come good shortly thereafter...
Motor vehicle lending is a good sector to be in.
http://www.sharechat.co.nz/article/9...ge-brokershtml
NAB have been very naughty dog's. I don't see any major issues here for HGH. Fundamentally they look pretty good value at this level and I note on the US markets according to CNBC financials as a group are up 13 % year to date for 2019.
Dairy prices booming ..gdt auction overnight saw whole milk powder up more than 8%. Good sign for the economy.
Lately the long term relationship between dairy prices and Heartland share price has broken down.
Last 5 auctions prices have been up. Whole milk powder UP 16% since November — Heartland share price DOWN nearly 10%
Jeez that Heartland is a real dog of a stock
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...ectid=12201485 Yeah mate I was going to ask you, is this correlation broken ?
HGH looking like an old 3 legged mange and flea infested Pig dog (Financials in the US up 13% YTD) or is this an opportunity ? Every dog has its price...surely...
Even if HGH doesn't respond as you say at least this is good for the economy so that's good.
Correlation sort of broken short term but longer term still exists
Some think this ‘correlation’ is stupid because Heartland not exposed to dairy. But if you think that how dairy prices are going are an indication of how the general economy is going then it sort of makes sense ...after all Jeff often reminds us that Heartland’s fortunes are tied to the economy (GDP growth)
I make no comment about three legged mange and flea invested pig dogs....but a piss poor ‘investment’ / punt over the last year or so....still in downtrend from the highs of over 2 bucks in spite of all this being cheap as talk.
Noticed in ASB's result yesterday that provisioning for delinquent loans is up 73% to $45m for the half year. Hope that's not a sign for HGH's provisioning...
Agreed, but does this not go to the heart of 'buy and hold' versus trade? It is now at the level where I first bought in (November 2015). Over that time I watched it rise to $2.14, then start a long decline at the start of 2018. I do remember people expressing nervousness in December 2017 when it reached $2.14, and at least one regular here who I respect greatly selling out completely at this time.
I subsequently sold out (far later than I should have, but hey I'm still new at this!), and have now started buying back in at virtually the same price I paid three years ago. Time will tell whether I have picked the bottom correctly or not I guess ...
Yep theres traders who worry away every day micro managing and itching and biting and worrying and theres Investors who ride out the cycles and cruise through it all totally confident in the company and management, easy as..
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL190...e-bastards.htm Fair bit of talk there about how the watchdog failed to bark.
Should have appointed a Beagle who never suffers from that problem lol
Seriously...some of those Aussie banking practices are shocking !
Just as well HGH not in the line of fire and with a similar PE to the Aussie banks and not liable for massive fines like them then HGH does seem to me to be at the very least, good value at present. Forward PE about 11 and gross yield assuming 9.5 cps this year (13.2 cps gross) 9.5% at present.
I wonder why they are still languishing ?...those numbers look pretty good to me.
This really should have gone through the stock exchange first as the effect on the share price will be so profound. But I thought you guys on the forum deserve this heads up. The reason why the HGH share price is languishing is that as of earlier this week .... drum..roll....Snoopy has become ..."a Heartlander"!!!! Yes folks it is really true. All my concerns about the operational issues at Heartland remain. But at a price under $1.40, even if my worst fears come to pass - and Australian Reverse Equity business chokes, - then that circumstance is built into the share price already. I think the digital initiative has legs and I will look forward to following in the footsteps of Geoff and Jeff going forwards from here. So far this is only a foot in the water exercise. My plan was to buy in and wait for the share price to fall (that is what usually happens when I buy into a company for the first time) and buy a bigger stake after that -heh heh heh. But the plan has gone wrong because the share price hasn't collapsed! I think that given my circumstance you existing shareholders are lucky the share price is sticking where it is!
SNOOPY
OMG.
SELL,sell,SELL.
"The end is nigh"....!!......lol.
ps.Welcome.You are now "well positioned".
pps.Interim result 19th Feb,should confirm they are delivering on their strategy..