A common theme is often late to the party, see this weeks Economist cover
Attachment 9224
Ummmmm wait ..... where was I going with that one?
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A common theme is often late to the party, see this weeks Economist cover
Attachment 9224
Ummmmm wait ..... where was I going with that one?
structural differences this time around
So this time is different
Only a bull market for 'traditionalists' ......no worries for the others
"The US stock market is only up 65% since the peak in 2000 which is a below average growth rate of just over 3%. This suggests a modest valuation. Historically stockmarkets grow at 10% per annum, which since the 2000 peak suggests a potential of 3 times its current level.
US div yields are near middle of valuations too which suggest that the price is fair."
But what would I know :)
Hi fellas and fellettes. Long time no see.
I see Winner and Hoop have taken to replying to their own posts. We are all gettin older I suppose :p
Hey Trackers, how is Phaedruses S&P500 tracker lookin these days?
It hasn't paid to be a pessimist lately
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/einho...163704878.html
I wonder when sentiment will change?
POO ,inflation,interest rates on the rise.Has the S&P got another 50 % in it?
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/recog...142346695.html
Are you skeptical?
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/23/the-...687&yptr=yahoo
Sector rotation's will be frequent in 2018? Rotating from tech to financial's yesterday.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/to...of2&yptr=yahoo
https://twitter.com/Silver_Watchdog/status/956987153380081664
as he says, "Go ahead, jump in"
Attachment 9438
Where is Hoop? Would love to hear his take on things right now...
Growth has been so parabolic lately that the last week has only written off one months growth. Any other time we could have been looking at a quarter or two’s growth.
Looks like a return to a more normal sort of abnormal for this trend. Still trying to confirm what end stage we are in.
Attachment 9468
What do you think you think about this chart? I acknowledge that markets slightly "different this time"; there is less less risk due to better disclosure and information than the historical average period.
Attachment 9474
It confirms what we already know, that this market is due a correction larger than the one we are seeing. If it breaks out of the current trading range significantly it would justify the safety measures that we are probably all taking anyway. But I'm not convinced it will happen just yet.
I think this correction is more the result of the abnormal activity through January.
My reading would suggest one of the indicators at the end of a Bull is the belief that each one is "different this time" and will go on for ever.
Attachment 9475