Latest stats show International improving as well. Happy to see a 25% gain in a month.
Why start a new thread Phaedrus?
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How much lower can it go? At $1.29 it's looking cheap to me .
-Have to agree going off ASB securities AIR have some great fundamentals
low P/E-4.8 High yeild-11.57% NTA-93c this time last year mid $2
-But with there greatest cost being fuel and the slowing economny, though record amounts of NZ'er are using AIR to leave NZ
- may look at taking a position at these levels would be a good hedge to all of my Oil&Energy shares
Lighten up Bricks. Don't take everything so literally. CJ gave a big wink with his contribution.
You seem to attack every poster rather than contribute to the discussion.
No, QOH, no buy signals yet. Worse than that, right now, the latest AIR price is $1.27, breaking below the previous support at $1.29/$1.30 that was starting to look a little bit hopeful. Of course the Close may be different.
This is a clear, simple chart showing TA working very nicely indeed. See the early entry signals. Note the excellent agreement between the 8 indicators featured here. See how they all fired off Sell signals very close together when the 8 month uptrend ended. Note how they all got you back into AIR when it rallied strongly in September - and got you out again when the rally fizzled out. See how current price action is well below levels needed to start triggering Buy signals. If the Close today is below the marked previous support, that is Bearish, of course.
To me, the most striking feature of this chart is the Big Money (assumed to be the "smart" money) getting out right at the top back in June. Didn't they time that to a nicety? It always pays to keep a very close eye on what the big boys are doing. It is not unreasonable to assume that they know a lot more than mug-punters such as you and I do.
http://h1.ripway.com/Phaedrus/AIR423.gif
Why did you feel it necessary to say that Biker? I have contributed AIR charts on this thread - on page 13 and again on page 15, for example. I do sometimes start a separate chart thread on some stocks to avoid stepping on the toes of the dedicated FA boys. Charts often seem to upset them, for some reason!
I appreciate your charts. You've made me keep my fingers off the buy button for today.
Phaedrus the big money was Qantas selling down their holding if I remember correctly. I wouldn't call them a smart investor divesting. They did of course achieve a good price in hind sight but would think it was more accidental.
Whoever it was and whatever their reasons, any big seller will depress the market.
Originally Posted by biker
Why start a new thread Phaedrus?
..............Why did you feel it necessary to say that Biker? I have contributed AIR charts on this thread - on page 13 and again on page 15, for example. I do sometimes start a separate chart thread on some stocks to avoid stepping on the toes of the dedicated FA boys. Charts often seem to upset them, for some reason![/QUOTE]
Phaedrus I posted that in Sept last year when you had opened a new thread 'AIR 50cents saved is 50cents earned' and since this thread has been running since sept 04, I couldn't see why you didnt continue to post here.
Disc. bought Air at $2 back then, watched it move around a bit, took the dividend and got out.
A shame to see a company in good shape, crippled by the price of fuel. If the oil price continues to rise, as the current hedges run out Air's profit must surely continue to fall to the point of in 12 to 18 months actually making bugger all.
I agree, JBmurc, possibly useful as a hedge against oil stocks, but it has dropped over 7% since your last post. The frustrating thing is that if the oil price drops significantly Air will do very well. It now has its ducks in a row. Interesting to see a company with a turnover approaching 5 billion dollars heading towards a situation where it may become barely profitable.
If oil goes higher and stays high indefinately, I think there will be some significant changes in routes and fleet sizes.