BBB- stable to BBB negative outlook? You really think that will make a big difference?
SNOOPY
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The differential between ANZ term deposit interest rates and Heartland Term deposit interest rates has reduced over the last few months. So yes, I think improving credit ratings will increase Heartland profitability and hence attractiveness to investors.
Disclaimer: Shareholder in ANZ and HNZ.
Do any of our members with a banking background know what a difference the credit rating changes make to the cost of borrowing by the bank?
I think the BBB- also negative outlook as the negative outlook is industry/economy specific in this case, not company specific.
It is a step closer to BBB+, and then we are into the A's - of course it is positive. They would have just lowered their cost of funds with no corresponding decrease in what they loan out at.
Yes
It will make a BIG difference;
Lower cost of borrowing.
Means "the market" will appreciate the big progress Heartland are making.
I think brokers will be happy to recommend Heartland as they have more runs on the board.
Add to Heartland's record of achieving what they said they would do.
Good progress made in selling "legacy" property,and proceeds reinvested in good loans.
Added strength of loan book recognised.
As a investor the rerating adds to my peace of mind.
Snoopy - I agree with all of the above posters and can only add that its also about market perception.
I think people want to be dealing with a New Zealand bank that's growing stronger. Fundamentally the stock is very sound value at these level's and trading on a very undemanding 2015 PE ratio and attractive dividend yeild with ongoing growth prospects.
Well I rang Jeff Greenslade to congratulate him on the raised S&P Credit Rating.
Luckily Jeff was in a meeting,so I had the pleasure of speaking to Allison.
She was very pleased to hear from me, and will pass my comments onto Jeff Greenslade and The Chairman.
Jeff happy and says the new credit rating is a "good place to be". I am sure both Percy and Allison agree :)
Jeff also says further acquisitions are on the agenda albeit nothing firm at present !
http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/indu...-after-upgrade
Thanks for the link Iceman.
I sold a few AIA the day before yesterday,and used the money buying a few more HNZ at 89cents this morning.I think the Credit upgrade is very significant.I knew they were working on it,but the spend in which they achieved it caught me by surprise.With the fantastic acquisition of Sentinel,modest forward PE and wonderful dividend,plus Greenslade's positive comments I must say I feel we are well positioned.!! lol
Just checking guys...we're anticipating annual dividends totalling 6 cps fully imputed right ?
Yes.
I note Forbar research dated 3 April 2014 have dividends per share; 2013A 4.5 cents,2014E 6.5cents,2015E 8cents,and 2016E 8.5cents.
A = actual,,,E=estimate. All imputated 100% .
I thought they were a little optimistic,however a friend did point out to me,that banks have a history of paying good dividends.
You may be interested Forbar forecast the following dividend yields,[note 3/4/2014] for Aussie banks which do not have imputation credits here;ANZ 5.5%,CBA5.3%,NAB.6% and WBC 5.5%.
Thanks mate, much appreciated. WOW that's going to make for an impressive gross yeild going forward if Forbar's estimates prove correct isn't it !!! We are extremly well positioned :)
For what its worth in my opinion the fiasco where we can't claim Australian franking credits doesn't look like its going to be resolved any time soon.
I imagine you are referring to the Commonwealth Govt not Australians in general? Certainly the Kiwis who get into Australia via the special entrance get fewer benefits than those who get permanent residence. You need to be a citizen to vote in OZ...so that is not just directed at Kiwis. Nobody forces Kiwis to go Australia and you need to be aware of your entry permit and what your obligations are and what you are entitled to when you move to new country. There are way more Kiwis in OZ than vice versa so you could say Australia helps NZ in tough times by reducing NZ's unemployment numbers. Many Kiwis go to OZ not out of any particular love for their new host country but because they thought they could earn extra dollars compared to the country they left behind.
When comparing yields on HNZ with the OZ banks...you need to take into account the increased risk of HNZ compared with the OzBanks - a few notches down the credit rankings.