I feel it could go below $1. After all who can predict the future. But it won't stay there long. Buyers will come in quite quickly. After all the SP has been up to $1.70, and is down to nearly a $1. That is quite a drop. OVERSOLD!
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I feel it could go below $1. After all who can predict the future. But it won't stay there long. Buyers will come in quite quickly. After all the SP has been up to $1.70, and is down to nearly a $1. That is quite a drop. OVERSOLD!
a lot of investors will be building up cash when inflation hits for reinvesting when the tide swings.
and that could be a few years hence.
not sure but the banks could be the new hot stock soon if they can keep up the DIV's.
the GFC has a big rebound then a sell off .
As money drains from the system through central bank tightening
The world sentiment across the board is so negative and has been for some time.
Ukraine war has only compounded that coupled with covid, mandates, protests, inflation, interest rates blah, blah. Not the recipe for a robust sharemarket.
When sentiment turns towards this negative of an extreme, it almost always precedes an impending major rally.
Just to present an other view?
What will change the sentiment?
Resolution to Ukraine war.
Learn to live with covid,
Lifting of mandates,
Get everyone back to work.
OCA has not changed, it will adapt to house prices, interest rates, staff wages up or down. Just keep eye on the target of the tsunami of rest home care in the coming years. Proven model that works.
care doesnt produce big profits , if anything the level of care in these places is going to get far worse because of rising inflation eating into profits
Agreed, but high turn over of ORAs produces huge profits that more than compensates. If regulated, OCA will adapt. Reality tells me If more die of covid in rest home care (and thats unlikely) then greater the turnover and greater the profit. Sounds harsh but true.
We haven't got a legislative price freeze, as we had in Muldoon times. Inflation will only benefit care homes. I was watching a show on netflix and they put it best. "A sheep can be two things, wool as well as meat". Care homes are a multitude of things, but when inflation really bites, assets such as land and buildings will increase in value according to the cost of new builds. It may take a short time for the flow on effect, but it will come. Prices will increase for other care services as well. Anyone think Inflation is 6 percent, I think it is closer to 15 to 20%. Anyone holding cash will see its value wither in front of your eyes. The share market will boom again as soon as some of the uncertainties are passed. When it does it will be quick. You won't have time to wait for your bonds to be sold, or your deposits to fall due. Holding cash on call will be the only way, but that eats into your savings quicker than you think.
of course each time is different but the most comparable period to now is the 70s maybe and during that time stock investors did terrible. real assets did alright but like i say each time is different with different outcomes and no guarantee's like your suggesting about retirement units. in fact as i suggested in a previous post inflation will eat up most companies profits going forward esp in a stag inflation time
" assets such as land and buildings will increase in value according to the cost of new builds."
be interesting to see the EPS going forward and also from the retail, industrial and warehouse property sectors.
Disc: No holdings in this sector at present.
Middle of the month and I am getting desperate and impatient wondering where the bottom is...no point asking anyone on here including me or Maverick or anyone else, nobody has a clue...so this time I asked for divine inspiration as I tossed my Commonwealth games 1974 dollar coin I asked please let the answer be forthcoming...if its heads I get stuck in when the share price crosses up through the 30 day moving average line, (currently $1.09), its its tails I stay with my modest stake (3.5% portfolio weighting) and wait for it to cross the 100 day MA line to confirm a new uptrend, (currently $1.25).
Drum roll please....and wait for it.....oh dear, sorry folks, it was tails again. Gosh, how depressing is that...(Beagle slinks back to his kennel and curls up again). No more coin tossing until next month.
My scientific analysis, that is my yes/no coin says that now is the time to Buy.
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even though the nice villas are there in the photos and people will want them who in the sector has the best sales team or do these lovely's almost sell themselves.
Mr B likes profits and perhaps not the reval ones but cash ones.
DISC: sectorial holdings in retirement stocks none ATM.