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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #5971
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    You can handle a SLIGHTT reduction in div mac, take one for Team NZ, we are.
    You're right. All those with money in Kiwisaver and/or certain managed funds will take one for the team.

  2. #5972
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    Noticed the interest rates on 5 yr Bank term deposits are now lower than 6-8 months term deposits. Isn't that the crack of doom? Or are we inured to such things now?

  3. #5973
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    UK election today and possible US trade news today
    one step ahead of the herd

  4. #5974
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    UK election today and possible US trade news today
    Clear majority to Cons and China solved and nor week will be a boomer
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #5975
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Clear majority to Cons and China solved and nor week will be a boomer
    boris won and they say trade deal done but no details except talk that china will buy more ag and stuff and us will hold off tarriff increase and drop existing. guess market will re act to the trade details , if it as reported makes you think what was the trade war all about ? over some ag purchases lol
    one step ahead of the herd

  6. #5976
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    trade news out

    Trump halts new China tariffs and rolls back some of the prior duties on $120 billion of imports

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/13/trum...ct-sunday.html

    lots of talk on trade deal but nothing concrete in writing, seems to just be commitments by china to do stuff. so not surprised market flat on announcement.
    one step ahead of the herd

  7. #5977
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    Default A Recession Hasn’t Arrived (Yet). Here’s Where You’ll See It First.

    NY Times commentary on recession risk

    Amid last summer’s recession fever, we identified the key indicators to watch for signs of trouble. Five months later, the situation has improved, but risks remain.

  8. #5978
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    this is important for the future

    The Most Momentous Rate Decision This Month Isn’t at Fed or ECB

    The world’s oldest central bank stands to be the most significant this month as it pioneers a shift away from negative interest rates
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...d=premium-asia

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  9. #5979
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    US markets look to be breaking up out of the giant trading range which has been a feature last nearly 2 years. lets see if we get acceptance if they hold above the breakout levels.

    carrying on from the above the dow had the re test of the breakout level in early december around 27350 odd and breakout level held and since has rallied so positive at the moment for a continuation on to our target 30k.

    US buy backs and dividend increases are providing big tail winds to the rally , helping improve EPS and make stocks look cheaper at higher prices.




    “After lowering expenditures in the first half of the year from their tax-inspired record-settingbuying spree of 2018, companies increased their share repurchases by 6.3% in the thirdquarter,” said Howard Silverblatt, Senior Index Analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “Whilethe levels still pale in comparison to 2018, they are significantly higher than the pre-2018 levels, and surpass the hoped for $170 billion mark, which was seen as the level needed to supportstocks and continue reduced share count EPS growth. For Q4, the market is looking for anotherincrease in buybacks, in the mid-single digit range, staying near the $190 billion level, well shyof the Q4 2018 record-setting $223 billion.”Silverblatt also found that buybacks continue to be top heavy, with the top 20 issues accountingfor 50.4% of the buybacks, compared to the 10-year average of 44.5%.

    read the full report here

    https://us.spindices.com/indices/equity/sp-500

    its in the index news section at bottom of page , good chart of the buybacks and dividend increases in there since 2004
    one step ahead of the herd

  10. #5980
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    us markets looking good into year end , jan has brexit hard possible to watch , impeachment proceedings if they proceed and are not delayed and possible overbrought levels in markets to contend with at this stage to start the year.
    anyway what a year for markets ,


    Studies on Election Years and Market Returns

    If you examine the return of the S&P 500 Index for each of the 23 election years since 1928, you'll see that in only four of them was it negative

    https://www.thebalance.com/president...eturns-2388526

    anyway im off for the holiday season maybe a mth ... have a good xmas

    one step ahead of the herd

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