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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #18841
    Advanced Member Valuegrowth's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by causecelebre View Post
    US markets are well overdue for a healthy retracement
    Other overvlaued stock markets will follow USA market.
    Last edited by Valuegrowth; 04-04-2024 at 04:23 AM.

  2. #18842
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bjauck View Post
    I would have thought a world index like one of the Vanguard etfs would be more appropriate as a benchmark. Certainly your portfolio produced a good return, especially if it included your fixed interest investments and cash. I use a blended benchmark of Ishares global, ishares s&p500, NZX50.
    Fair enough.
    It's just the index I have always used and suits my needs.
    I'm not going for 'best match' just a sensible index to measure against. over the last few years the US has been more than 100% of my portfolio gains

    I hold some cash and no fixed interest. I want to have some fixed interest but can't bring myself to take the hit in performance
    However, the certainty of income is appealing, just not quite appealing enough yet.

    as an aside, my personal time horizon is 10 years so a few years performance is only the start of a trend. For me.
    and
    I usually buy and hold for ages (forever is preferred, but obviously that doesn't always work out)

  3. #18843
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    https://youtu.be/JlgMSDYnT2o?si=Vr-1xRTeLUqh9puD

    Fixed interest really is overrated.

  4. #18844
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    looks like something up , bitcoin and oil rocking and markets tanking
    one step ahead of the herd

  5. #18845
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    Just sticky inflation. Volatility is healthy for the markets.

  6. #18846
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    Something needs to blow up to kill inflation bug and bring down rates

  7. #18847
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    One of the FED members said that if inflation remained elevated then there may not be a cut this year.

    Dollar stronger but Crude still higher which is a concern.

    Company profits on the whole have been doing well despite the higher interest rates especially in the big end of town, Tesla aside. So there's no reason that this isn't just a healthy correction.

  8. #18848
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daytr View Post
    One of the FED members said that if inflation remained elevated then there may not be a cut this year.

    Dollar stronger but Crude still higher which is a concern.

    Company profits on the whole have been doing well despite the higher interest rates especially in the big end of town, Tesla aside. So there's no reason that this isn't just a healthy correction.
    also just out isreal evacuating all worldwide embassies , calling up all army people cause of imminent iran attack
    one step ahead of the herd

  9. #18849
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daytr View Post
    One of the FED members said that if inflation remained elevated then there may not be a cut this year.

    Dollar stronger but Crude still higher which is a concern.

    Company profits on the whole have been doing well despite the higher interest rates especially in the big end of town, Tesla aside. So there's no reason that this isn't just a healthy correction.
    Yeah unlike the government, corporates refinanced during zirp and now sitting on cheap debt, US homeowners with 30 year mortgages are still levered at record low interest rates
    Last edited by causecelebre; 05-04-2024 at 10:18 AM.

  10. #18850
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daytr View Post
    One of the FED members said that if inflation remained elevated then there may not be a cut this year.

    They're waiting for unemployment to go up... but the developed world has an aging population so of course it won't.

    The workforce is retiring and there's not enough young people.

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