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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #6951
    Advanced Member Valuegrowth's Avatar
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    Current situation has created new moneymaking opportunities for hedge funds,private equity firms and big investors.

    Will this longest bull market run another one to two years given the current expansionary economic policy worldwide?
    Last edited by Valuegrowth; 06-04-2020 at 07:33 PM.

  2. #6952
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    Looks like it, and did i dream last night that the earth was invaded by a virus?
    Anyways DOW up 3rd biggest gain ever 1627.6 points. Life is good.

  3. #6953
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joshuatree View Post
    Looks like it, and did i dream last night that the earth was invaded by a virus?
    Anyways DOW up 3rd biggest gain ever 1627.6 points. Life is good.
    Trump said there was light at the end of the tunnel. They just haven't realised it is the oncoming train.....

  4. #6954
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sideshow Bob View Post
    Trump said there was light at the end of the tunnel. They just haven't realised it is the oncoming train.....
    I don't know the virus is getting under control in NZ and across a lot of the globe and the debt crisis I was concerned about will be sorted with easy money and low interest rates. So apart from a blip in GDP for the lockdown why wouldn't we be off to the races once a vaccine is discovered.

    Technically speaking are we already back in a bull market?

  5. #6955
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aaron View Post
    I don't know the virus is getting under control in NZ and across a lot of the globe and the debt crisis I was concerned about will be sorted with easy money and low interest rates. So apart from a blip in GDP for the lockdown why wouldn't we be off to the races once a vaccine is discovered.

    Technically speaking are we already back in a bull market?
    Difficult to know whether to invest in some of the upcoming cap raises. AIA and on the asx OSH (oil and gas) and OOH (oudoor advertising). Pretty heavy dilution and difficult medium term outlooks for these companies. Probably see increases in the share prices in the short term which is a slightly different thing to being great investments...

  6. #6956
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joshuatree View Post
    Looks like it, and did i dream last night that the earth was invaded by a virus?
    Anyways DOW up 3rd biggest gain ever 1627.6 points. Life is good.
    It's crazy isn't it.

  7. #6957
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sideshow Bob View Post
    Trump said there was light at the end of the tunnel. They just haven't realised it is the oncoming train.....
    - Not new, but seldom used more appropriate ...
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  8. #6958
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aaron View Post
    I don't know the virus is getting under control in NZ and across a lot of the globe and the debt crisis I was concerned about will be sorted with easy money and low interest rates. So apart from a blip in GDP for the lockdown why wouldn't we be off to the races once a vaccine is discovered.

    Technically speaking are we already back in a bull market?
    Obviously - it all depends on future events nobody knows about.

    However - if you imagine hundreds of thousands of dead bodies piling up in the US (and they will given the lack of political leadership over there - new cases doubling in the US currently in still less than a week) and if you see many other countries with third world health systems for the masses still waiting for the virus to statt biting (Africa, India, Philippines, Indonesia, Middle East) than it is difficult to imagine that we already passed the economic bottom.

    No doubt, this shall pass as well, but I don't think we are there yet. It appears to me the likelihood for a lower low from here is higher than the likelihood for the bull continuing without further blib, but this is just me ...
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  9. #6959
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    New York officials have admitted that they no longer have the resources to run a test on everyone that dies in their home so only those that have already tested positive are counted as COVID-19 deaths. Prior to the outbreak they averaged 20-25 deaths at home (for various reasons), now they're averaging 200+. Think about what that means for their official death toll.

  10. #6960
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    The bull is back...

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