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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #5911
    Hunting for Heuristic trends arc's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bobdn View Post
    Everybody calm down, the recession is years away according to Robert Schiller.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/20/shil...mp-effect.html

    Hmmmm
    And Berkshire Hathaway has gradually removed 66% of their market exposure and gone cash...

  2. #5912
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    Quote Originally Posted by arc View Post
    Hmmmm....And Berkshire Hathaway has gradually removed 66% of their market exposure and gone cash...
    Arc, might be a good idea to check your source for this info as often similar claims are used as click bait and scare tactics warning of an imminent market crash.

    A large part of Berkshire's income is related to the insurance industry which requires them to maintain large cash reserves. Here's a link to their latest financial report.

  3. #5913
    FEAR n GREED JBmurc's Avatar
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    Steve Eisman, of 'The Big Short' fame, weighs in on the next big short

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDQYMFKbtvY
    People don't have ideas, ideas have people

  4. #5914
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBmurc View Post
    Steve Eisman, of 'The Big Short' fame, weighs in on the next big short

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDQYMFKbtvY
    Thanks for posting....indirectly supports our Reserve Bank's calls for increased capital IMHO.

  5. #5915
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    Yes, good post. Interesting. Looks like recession is not bearing down on us just yet.

    I just watched this today from Real Vision "The Evolving Role and Value of Gold in a Modern Portfolio". Very good video. Once I make my decision to buy something (in this case gold via Perth Mint Gold fund which only has a 0.15% fee) I then search the internet to reinforce my decision.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4vXgP9Upe8o

  6. #5916
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    Earnings season in the US and from what I can see its particularly flat with a lot of companies missing and not really living up to guidance or analyst expectations. The DOW and S&P500 though still going strong which is slightly perplexing.

    Most of the stocks reality compared to what its priced at it so very far away but poor earnings doesn't seem to be having much of an effect.

  7. #5917
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    Jobs number in US was 128,000 but in reality they were over 300,000 ...WOW indeed

    @realDonaldTrump
    Wow, a blowout JOBS number just out, adjusted for revisions and the General Motors strike, 303,000. This is far greater than expectations. USA ROCKS!
    “In a roaring bull market, knowledge is superfluous and experience is a handicap.”

    –Benjamin Graham”

  8. #5918
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    US markets look to be breaking up out of the giant trading range which has been a feature last nearly 2 years. lets see if we get acceptance if they hold above the breakout levels.
    bull

  9. #5919
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    Blue skies.When do the thunder clouds arrive?

  10. #5920
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    breakout seems to be holding , maybe because of this

    China says it has agreed with the US to cancel existing trade tariffs in phases

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/07/chin...nt-phases.html
    bull

  11. #5921
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    Very good news indeed. Lets hope this will actually happen but you never know with Trump https://www.reuters.com/article/us-u...-idUSKBN1XH0TG

  12. #5922
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    Quote Originally Posted by iceman View Post
    Very good news indeed. Lets hope this will actually happen but you never know with Trump https://www.reuters.com/article/us-u...-idUSKBN1XH0TG
    totally the rally could blow up anytime due to trade issues or even if an agreement is reached and it is a poor agreement
    bull

  13. #5923
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    Great headlines - Earnings beat expectations

    Expectations must have pretty low - earnings are down 2.7% on pcp and third quarter in a row if earnings decline

    Never mind US stocks at new highs


    http://www.sharechat.co.nz/article/4...sh-recordshtml
    “In a roaring bull market, knowledge is superfluous and experience is a handicap.”

    –Benjamin Graham”

  14. #5924
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    OCR cut today for sure

    The experts who do the the RB survey of expectations are a weird lot. They expect OCR cuts now and next year and still don't expect a rebound in inflation or growth.
    “In a roaring bull market, knowledge is superfluous and experience is a handicap.”

    –Benjamin Graham”

  15. #5925
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    OCR cut today for sure

    The experts who do the the RB survey of expectations are a weird lot. They expect OCR cuts now and next year and still don't expect a rebound in inflation or growth.
    The expert I listened to at a presentation 2 weeks ago seemed to think the more rates are cut the more people will be setting aside for savings thus less investment and consumer spending and less inflation and growth.

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