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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #4591
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    The biggest risk is not taking any risk... In a world that changing really quickly, the only strategy that is guaranteed to fail is not taking risks.



  2. #4592
    Advanced Member Valuegrowth's Avatar
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    https://www.fxstreet.com/news/treasu...s-201810050425

    Treasuries witnessed biggest outflow since March 2016: Lipper - Reuters

  3. #4593
    Hunting for Heuristic trends
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    Hovering around the nervous edge, yield curve is making some instos rethink their bond holdings.

    http://thepatientinvestor.com/index....f-a-recession/

    https://www.gurufocus.com/yield_curve.php

  4. #4594
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    When the curve was flattening consensus was it’s bad for stocks. Now rates are rising consensus is that’s bad for stocks too.

    What’s going on ....are we doomed no matter what?

    Makes good headlines and all that stuff but the world just carries on

    Best to ignore all this market noise ....esp the peripherall stuff and focus on profits
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #4595
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    When the curve was flattening consensus was it’s bad for stocks. Now rates are rising consensus is that’s bad for stocks too.

    What’s going on ....are we doomed no matter what?

    Makes good headlines and all that stuff but the world just carries on

    Best to ignore all this market noise ....esp the peripherall stuff and focus on profits
    looks like some rotation away from tech to defensives
    one step ahead of the herd

  6. #4596
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    When the curve was flattening consensus was it’s bad for stocks. Now rates are rising consensus is that’s bad for stocks too.

    What’s going on ....are we doomed no matter what?

    Makes good headlines and all that stuff but the world just carries on

    Best to ignore all this market noise ....esp the peripherall stuff and focus on profits
    Focus on profits? A wise man once gave us this graph to ponder. If I am reading it correctly prices are getting ahead of profits. Possibly way ahead of profits, particularly in a recession if earnings decrease.

    https://www.sharetrader.co.nz/attach...1&d=1538291588


    I don't know if the flattening yield curve was bad for stocks. It was more a possible indicator of a recession which is good for stocks because it will herald QE4.

  7. #4597
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    yuk nasty , except for the utilities. those growth stocks are getting hammered
    one step ahead of the herd

  8. #4598
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    yuk nasty , except for the utilities. those growth stocks are getting hammered
    Quite happy about that myself. I shorted (for small amounts via a derivative product with Binck Bank) FB, AMZN, TSLA, and GOOG about 2 weeks ago and am going to let this ride for a bit. Think especially AMZN but the other too are over-extended. Time will tell as always.

  9. #4599
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by blackcap View Post
    Quite happy about that myself. I shorted (for small amounts via a derivative product with Binck Bank) FB, AMZN, TSLA, and GOOG about 2 weeks ago and am going to let this ride for a bit. Think especially AMZN but the other too are over-extended. Time will tell as always.
    your well positioned
    one step ahead of the herd

  10. #4600
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    your well positioned
    Thanks, yes I am but it was for small amounts and there was no real science behind the timing or anything. Just well these stocks look like the PE is too high so lets take a position. Will be interesting to see how the NZ market reacts today to the drops on the Dow et al.

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