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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #5296
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    breakout pattern still working
    bull

  2. #5297
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    breakout pattern still working
    Post bell, GooG beats expectations yet stock drops 3%. (from close) Not sure what is going on there.

  3. #5298
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    Quote Originally Posted by blackcap View Post
    Post bell, GooG beats expectations yet stock drops 3%. (from close) Not sure what is going on there.
    maybe cause they got so much cash on hand
    bull

  4. #5299
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    Capital expenses growing
    Competition growing from amazon etc
    Gross margins less
    R & D higher

  5. #5300
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    A good Hedgeye cartoon explaining cycles
    Attached Images Attached Images
    “Imagination is more important than knowledge.”

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    What a crazy few months!! December stock markerts threatens crash.. Fed panics.. QT stops and they go into wait and see mode.. Mark my words, QE will start again.. Next stop? Rate cuts and Hyperinflation???

    Seems like the Fed are always 3 months behind what is really going on. I see a whole lot of US companies laying off staff citing various reasons last month. Very similar to what happened in 2008. All related to profit hits. I also see reports of retail stores closing and the Automotive markets taking a hit. Oil down. Mutiple market indicators saying recession around the corner.

    On top of that we have Germany and Italy announce they are in a technical recession. China have already restart QE. The world is a mess right now. I think the real fireworks will be in October/September this year.

    As soon as QE starts up again you will see the bull run continue. But it won't stop the coming crash.. personal debt is too high

    Starting to get scary I think

  7. #5302
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    Quote Originally Posted by NeverQuestion View Post
    What a crazy few months!! December stock markerts threatens crash.. Fed panics.. QT stops and they go into wait and see mode.. Mark my words, QE will start again.. Next stop? Rate cuts and Hyperinflation???

    Seems like the Fed are always 3 months behind what is really going on. I see a whole lot of US companies laying off staff citing various reasons last month. Very similar to what happened in 2008. All related to profit hits. I also see reports of retail stores closing and the Automotive markets taking a hit. Oil down. Mutiple market indicators saying recession around the corner.

    On top of that we have Germany and Italy announce they are in a technical recession. China have already restart QE. The world is a mess right now. I think the real fireworks will be in October/September this year.

    As soon as QE starts up again you will see the bull run continue. But it won't stop the coming crash.. personal debt is too high

    Starting to get scary I think
    This guy is really good if you want to keep track of developments day by day. bases a lot of his arguments on statistics :

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hA0g-bi9-1Q

  8. #5303
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    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H8qyEx_uA4Y
    Financial Collapse - US, Europe And China Are All Collapsing But Will Do So Differently - Part 1 by Strategian.
    This is the first of a series of 5 videos which will show that each economic zone of the U.S., China and Europe are in the beginning phase of collapse. As I point out in the videos, all three are collapsing BUT differently. It's just a question of which one collapses first and what the trigger(s) that initiate the crash will be. That's why I cover multiple triggers, however my biggest concern is and has been the debt levels that are in my view unsustainable.
    Global debt $250tn, Global GDP $75tn so a multiple of 3.3.
    The corporate bond market has exploded $9.6tn and 40% are junk bond status.

    Financial Collapse - Brexit And Ireland's Impending Mega Crisis!
    Ireland - 50% of tax receipts is servicing debt which is unstainable.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fgJCorhsr64

    https://www.youtube.com/channel/UClZ...MTLjDBQ/videos

  9. #5304
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    eurozone just downgraded from 1.9 to 1.3% growth with negative int rates.

  10. #5305
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joshuatree View Post
    eurozone just downgraded from 1.9 to 1.3% growth with negative int rates.
    and trump , xi meeting postponed?


    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/07/stoc...trade-war.html

    anyway that pattern worked pretty good we had a 500 pt move which indicated 25200 went to 25400 so pretty close
    Last edited by bull....; 08-02-2019 at 06:26 AM.
    bull

  11. #5306
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    Quote Originally Posted by greater fool View Post
    Haven't fact checked this opinion piece, but bleak reading.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-...11-p50wxg.html
    You just wonder why the hard line Brexiteers find nothing more relevant than pointing to the weaknesses of the Eurozone. Sure, there are some inherent problems, but Britain never was part of it, no issue for them. However - the post Brexit recession started for Britain already early - this is something which should worry all of us:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business...s-brexit-looms
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    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  12. #5307
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    howd support at 25k looking at test recent highs again
    bull

  13. #5308
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    Still a lot of nervousness in the market. Despite some places saying "buy now" (meaning 'we need someone to sell to'), many larger investment houses are tending to a more cautious approach.

    https://www.ccn.com/while-dow-surges...k-market-bluff

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    Suppose this means the next few weeks not going to be that good

    @charliebilello
    On Dec 24, only 1% of stocks in the S&P 500 closed above their 50-day moving avg, one of the most extreme oversold levels in history.

    After an 18% vertical rally over the last 8 weeks, that number now stands at 92%, one of the most extreme overbought levels in history.
    “Imagination is more important than knowledge.”

  15. #5310
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    Speaking of Black Monday. On Soho there is a new series titled Black Monday. I have seen the first 2 episodes. Very funny!


    https://www.sky.co.nz/-/ep_soho_black-monday_jan19

    Out with the blue blood, in with the new blood.

    This manic comedy takes us back to October 19, 1987 – aka Black Monday, the worst stock market crash in the history of Wall Street. To this day, no one knows who caused it … until now. It’s the story of how a group of outsiders took on the blue-blood, old-boys club of Wall Street and ended up crashing the world’s largest financial system, a Lamborghini limousine, Don Henley’s birthday party and the glass ceiling.

    Starring Don Cheadle (Avengers: Infinity War), Andrew Rannells (Girls), Regina Hall (Insecure), Paul Scheer (Veep), Carey Wilson (Gone Girl), Eugene Cordero (The Good Place), Michael James Scott and Kadeem Hardison (Cult).

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