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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #4931
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    LOL - couldn't resist:



    Surely - they can't mean our bull? He gave up and turned bear a long time ago ...

    But anyway - the bearmarket will come as soon as bull and his little helpers converted the majority of market participants.

    Its all up to us, guys ...
    lol bp so cynical as usual
    one step ahead of the herd

  2. #4932
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    lol bp so cynical as usual
    If you call it cynical to state the facts, than you are right ;
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  3. #4933
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    If you call it cynical to state the facts, than you are right ;
    cramer knows everything bp

    Cramer: 'We are at war against the Chinese,' and it's not just over trade

    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/12/cram...ver-trade.html

    US crude falls for 11th straight session, its longest losing streak on record

    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/12/oil-...-in-focus.html
    one step ahead of the herd

  4. #4934
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-11-...ction=business

    good story about buybacks and debt
    one step ahead of the herd

  5. #4935
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    cramer knows everything bp

    Cramer: 'We are at war against the Chinese,' and it's not just over trade

    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/12/cram...ver-trade.html

    US crude falls for 11th straight session, its longest losing streak on record

    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/12/oil-...-in-focus.html
    I guess you just need to find out whether #45's business empire is short or long on China to know whether the war will end or not . There is probably a reason he threatens to throw his toys out of the cot if the Democrates ask for his tax returns .

    Didn't the Trump empire invest recently into some big silk road project? And does not one of Trumps daughters still get for her little business tariff free garments out of China? But obviously - we don't know, whether this is enough ...

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...=.75803177b5e7

    And talking oil - just another of Trump's playthings. If he wants it high he just cancels some concessions to buy Iranian oil ... if he wants it lower he issues some more concessions.

    Just follow Trumps money and everything will be revealed ...
    Last edited by BlackPeter; 13-11-2018 at 11:20 AM. Reason: added link ...
    ----
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  6. #4936
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    cramer knows everything bp

    Cramer: 'We are at war against the Chinese,' and it's not just over trade

    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/12/cram...ver-trade.html

    US crude falls for 11th straight session, its longest losing streak on record

    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/12/oil-...-in-focus.html
    Booyah! Cramer knows everything but he does not have a positive alpha

    Some smart alecs in the USA did a thesis on his performance. Seems he under performs the market.

  7. #4937
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by blackcap View Post
    Booyah! Cramer knows everything but he does not have a positive alpha

    Some smart alecs in the USA did a thesis on his performance. Seems he under performs the market.
    booyah , hes entertaining. i guess your referring to his charitable trust? most funds underperformed s&p 500 last 10 yrs or more. his hedge fund found a strategy that performed well although it was fairly small.
    one step ahead of the herd

  8. #4938
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    booyah , hes entertaining. i guess your referring to his charitable trust? most funds underperformed s&p 500 last 10 yrs or more. his hedge fund found a strategy that performed well although it was fairly small.
    https://www.advisorperspectives.com/...generate-alpha

    A bit of harmless fun.
    Another study:

    https://poseidon01.ssrn.com/delivery...119066&EXT=pdf

    Abstract: We use the popular television show Mad Money hosted by Jim Cramer to test theories of
    attention and limits to arbitrage. Stock recommendations on Mad Money constitute attention
    shocks to a large audience of individual traders. We find that stock recommendations lead to large
    overnight returns which subsequently reverse over the next few months. The spike-reversal pattern
    is strongest among small, illiquid stocks that are hard-to-arbitrage. Using daily Nielsen ratings as a
    direct measure of attention, we find the overnight return is strongest when high income viewership
    is high. We also find weak price effects among sell recommendations. Taken together, the evidence
    supports the retail attention hypothesis of Barber and Odean (2008) and illustrates the potential role
    of media in generating mispricing.
    Last edited by blackcap; 13-11-2018 at 03:15 PM.

  9. #4939
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    Quote Originally Posted by peat View Post
    9180 should be the highest point IF (as BlackPeter questions) it is a dead cat bounce

    Attachment 10112
    as at end of Oct
    Attachment 10151

    By now we've completed the first leg as at yesterdays close and on form we are now falling today so maybe we will lose half of the gains before turning up again

    Attachment 10150
    Last edited by peat; 13-11-2018 at 03:18 PM.
    For clarity, nothing I say is advice....

  10. #4940
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by peat View Post
    as at end of Oct
    Attachment 10151

    By now we've completed the first leg as at yesterdays close and on form we are now falling today so maybe we will lose half of the gains before turning up again

    Attachment 10150
    nz market retraced about 50% from the lows before finding resistance , still looks bearish to me.

    what about oil absolutely plunging 6% down now , 26% last mth pretty much

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/combat...oleksandr-usyk
    Last edited by bull....; 14-11-2018 at 07:38 AM.
    one step ahead of the herd

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