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13-11-2018, 09:40 AM
#4931
Originally Posted by BlackPeter
LOL - couldn't resist:
Surely - they can't mean our bull? He gave up and turned bear a long time ago ...
But anyway - the bearmarket will come as soon as bull and his little helpers converted the majority of market participants.
Its all up to us, guys ...
lol bp so cynical as usual
one step ahead of the herd
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13-11-2018, 09:43 AM
#4932
Originally Posted by bull....
lol bp so cynical as usual
If you call it cynical to state the facts, than you are right ;
----
"Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)
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13-11-2018, 09:46 AM
#4933
Originally Posted by BlackPeter
If you call it cynical to state the facts, than you are right ;
cramer knows everything bp
Cramer: 'We are at war against the Chinese,' and it's not just over trade
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/12/cram...ver-trade.html
US crude falls for 11th straight session, its longest losing streak on record
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/12/oil-...-in-focus.html
one step ahead of the herd
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13-11-2018, 10:24 AM
#4934
one step ahead of the herd
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13-11-2018, 10:39 AM
#4935
Last edited by BlackPeter; 13-11-2018 at 11:20 AM.
Reason: added link ...
----
"Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)
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13-11-2018, 10:44 AM
#4936
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13-11-2018, 03:08 PM
#4937
Originally Posted by blackcap
Booyah! Cramer knows everything but he does not have a positive alpha
Some smart alecs in the USA did a thesis on his performance. Seems he under performs the market.
booyah , hes entertaining. i guess your referring to his charitable trust? most funds underperformed s&p 500 last 10 yrs or more. his hedge fund found a strategy that performed well although it was fairly small.
one step ahead of the herd
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13-11-2018, 03:12 PM
#4938
Originally Posted by bull....
booyah , hes entertaining. i guess your referring to his charitable trust? most funds underperformed s&p 500 last 10 yrs or more. his hedge fund found a strategy that performed well although it was fairly small.
https://www.advisorperspectives.com/...generate-alpha
A bit of harmless fun.
Another study:
https://poseidon01.ssrn.com/delivery...119066&EXT=pdf
Abstract: We use the popular television show Mad Money hosted by Jim Cramer to test theories of
attention and limits to arbitrage. Stock recommendations on Mad Money constitute attention
shocks to a large audience of individual traders. We find that stock recommendations lead to large
overnight returns which subsequently reverse over the next few months. The spike-reversal pattern
is strongest among small, illiquid stocks that are hard-to-arbitrage. Using daily Nielsen ratings as a
direct measure of attention, we find the overnight return is strongest when high income viewership
is high. We also find weak price effects among sell recommendations. Taken together, the evidence
supports the retail attention hypothesis of Barber and Odean (2008) and illustrates the potential role
of media in generating mispricing.
Last edited by blackcap; 13-11-2018 at 03:15 PM.
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13-11-2018, 03:17 PM
#4939
Originally Posted by peat
9180 should be the highest point IF (as BlackPeter questions) it is a dead cat bounce
Attachment 10112
as at end of Oct
Attachment 10151
By now we've completed the first leg as at yesterdays close and on form we are now falling today so maybe we will lose half of the gains before turning up again
Attachment 10150
Last edited by peat; 13-11-2018 at 03:18 PM.
For clarity, nothing I say is advice....
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14-11-2018, 07:35 AM
#4940
Originally Posted by peat
as at end of Oct
Attachment 10151
By now we've completed the first leg as at yesterdays close and on form we are now falling today so maybe we will lose half of the gains before turning up again
Attachment 10150
nz market retraced about 50% from the lows before finding resistance , still looks bearish to me.
what about oil absolutely plunging 6% down now , 26% last mth pretty much
https://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/combat...oleksandr-usyk
Last edited by bull....; 14-11-2018 at 07:38 AM.
one step ahead of the herd
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