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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #6886
    An Awesome Cool Cat winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jonu View Post
    bull... has been very quiet of late. Something of a relief.
    I hope bull is OK and hasn’t been struck down with something
    “Just consider that maybe the probability of you being wrong is higher than you think.”

  2. #6887
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    Bull
    "my money is on a bear bounce , shares are bouncing 10 - 20 - 30 % on such low volume which helps support this theory to me. anyway i wont be posting much for a while got family to look after at home and support so take care everyone."

    His posts are essential for some balance imo.

  3. #6888
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    Quote Originally Posted by dabsman View Post
    How I've looked at this market is I hold a few shares that are very high conviction either for growth or dividend. I've used it to average down and have ended up holding substantially more for the similar level of investment. I have also jumped into another couple of shares I have been watching for some time but have felt were overvalued.....
    IMHO you are doing exactly the right thing and I've been doing the same thing.

    It's a great time lower your average hold SP on high conviction holds, realise a few profits, cash up and wait for opportunities.

    Bit like the orchardist doing winter pruning in preparation for the spring to come.

  4. #6889
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joshuatree View Post
    Bull
    "my money is on a bear bounce , shares are bouncing 10 - 20 - 30 % on such low volume which helps support this theory to me. anyway i wont be posting much for a while got family to look after at home and support so take care everyone."

    His posts are essential for some balance imo.
    Agreed!!!!

  5. #6890
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    NZX has perfectly rejected the resistance at the previous high point set on the 18th, but still in an hourly uptrend.

    My base case is that this is just a bull trap as I really don't think people appreciate the economic impacts we are going to see. Letting the market decided whether I should be bull or bear though.

  6. #6891
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joshuatree View Post
    Bull
    "my money is on a bear bounce , shares are bouncing 10 - 20 - 30 % on such low volume which helps support this theory to me. anyway i wont be posting much for a while got family to look after at home and support so take care everyone."

    His posts are essential for some balance imo.
    Wishing him and his family all the best.

  7. #6892
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    Quote Originally Posted by sb9 View Post
    Wishing him and his family all the best.
    Bull abdicated from the forum during the lockdown as he is with family , his absence is not unexpected.

    Stay safe from the rona, everybody - apparently that's what the kids call it.

    which is only funny coz I actually have an Aunt Rona who lives in SUM village SUM where.


    Edit: I'm hopeful of a quicker recovery than most folk , but don't think the worst is over yet. And it could go bad still. As in really bad. But it probably wont. Who knows.
    But business is built on optimism so one must keep digging to find it.
    But I am still quite weary of the claw, so have mainly been speculating playing the market as I see it from hour to hour.
    Last edited by peat; 27-03-2020 at 03:52 PM.
    For clarity, nothing I say is advice....

  8. #6893
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    What happened to the market, went for a walk most stocks were up 5-10% by time arrived home they all red.

    Thought people were being a little too optimistic, traders would have made a killing last Three days, but you have to be pretty crazy leaving money on the table going onto the weekend.

  9. #6894
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    Quote Originally Posted by Balance View Post
    Everyone super negative?

    Don't think so, Ggcc - no doomsday scenario from some of us - realistic scenarios.

    Must say there are some seriously doomsday posters however on this forum!
    True maybe not everyone, just a lot of posters

  10. #6895
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    Default Reality is an abstract concept


  11. #6896
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    I saw somewhere bull is back for DOW and Canadian stocks. When market is up there are analysts to upgrade stocks. How did Dow Jones Industrial Average go up by more than 20% from recent low on March 23 despite gloomy outlook for job market? According to market analysts, this week's action has sent some encouraging signals and the market has already factored the bad news into the price. One thing is visible in global stock markets. Irrespective of corona there or not, investors are looking for individual stocks. Going forward, will the value stocks beat growth stocks?

  12. #6897
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    Quote Originally Posted by Valuegrowth View Post
    I saw somewhere bull is back for DOW and Canadian stocks. When market is up there are analysts to upgrade stocks. How did Dow Jones Industrial Average go up by more than 20% from recent low on March 23 despite gloomy outlook for job market? According to market analysts, this week's action has sent some encouraging signals and the market has already factored the bad news into the price. One thing is visible in global stock markets. Irrespective of corona there or not, investors are looking for individual stocks. Going forward, will the value stocks beat growth stocks?
    Maybe some value stocks will beat growth stocks in the short term through price action, but story will probably stay the same, value stocks great for 10 years and modest returns.

    Proper active stock analysis of growth companies will and always have yield significantly higher returns. Obviously picking bad growth stocks will be bad like always

  13. #6898
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    Will this be a Gummy bear or Grizzly bear?

    Some interesting reading

    https://www.sharecafe.com.au/2020/03...like-no-other/

  14. #6899
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    Looks like the 2 trillion effect on the market is taking a breather. Another black Monday ahead.

  15. #6900
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    Quote Originally Posted by ynot View Post
    Looks like the 2 trillion effect on the market is taking a breather. Another black Monday ahead.
    Conclusive proof that the market prices risk & reward ahead, and buy the rumour, sell the fact.

    Nothing to do with the $2 trillion not having a positive impact.

    Same as the US market rocketing up yesterday on record unemployment - where was the negative effect?

    Stock market 101.
    Last edited by Balance; 28-03-2020 at 11:33 AM.

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