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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #11031
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    The Treasury downgrades forecast for economic growth

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/128...conomic-growth

    the downgrades start
    one step ahead of the herd

  2. #11032
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    The Treasury downgrades forecast for economic growth

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/128...conomic-growth

    the downgrades start
    People didn't used to trust Treasury forecasts - why start now?

  3. #11033
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    anyway the nz budget might save the day
    looks like the budget saved the day lol nzx only down .46%
    one step ahead of the herd

  4. #11034
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    Quote Originally Posted by dobby41 View Post
    People didn't used to trust Treasury forecasts - why start now?
    Having a gander into this month's horoscope might be more informative.

  5. #11035
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    SPX down more than 4% ….that’s a bad day ….even worse than being 3% down

    Suppose NZX will be down today
    I thought that was a good day?

    Don't we want to secure future cash flows for cheaper prices? Reinvest dividends at far more attractive rates?

    Everything is arse about face.

    Even if I have no cash to invest... A massive decline will make me phenomenally wealthy as long as it doesn't recover quickly.

  6. #11036
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    looks like the budget saved the day lol nzx only down .46%

    still a sea of red though .. will US markets add or subtract overnight ?

    Let's face it - things domestically don't look too outstandingly glossy ahead

    I'll let someone else delve into the depths of a range of R words
    Last edited by nztx; 19-05-2022 at 05:33 PM.

  7. #11037
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    Quote Originally Posted by Panda-NZ- View Post
    Having a gander into this month's horoscope might be more informative.
    Perhaps best not your own - but advisers may need to decipher & interpret the one for Robbo

    You know - the ones that charge Govt at least 250 K for even entering the front door

  8. #11038
    FEAR n GREED JBmurc's Avatar
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    Strange day ... started off down 60-70k ...now getting to the end of the day up 3k WTF? biggest fall in the DOW for last 2yrs >>
    "With a good perspective on history, we can have a better understanding of the past and present, and thus a clear vision of the future." — Carlos Slim Helu

  9. #11039
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBmurc View Post
    Strange day ... started off down 60-70k ...now getting to the end of the day up 3k WTF? biggest fall in the DOW for last 2yrs >>
    yes something similar here .. NZX pulling things down

  10. #11040
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    The Futures market is supposed to be telling the future right?

    Zooming out to a monthly chart of the Nasdaq futures there have only been two previous second month closes below the 24 month EMA since the dot-bomb bust. GFC was the other one. Decide for yourself whether the tech index currently is a bomb or a GFC or something else.

    I suspect many here haven't experienced a serious rout or how long it takes to recover.

    Look how long it took to recover from the highs. The Dot-Bomb took about 16 years to recover to it's 'futures' price. The GFC was in the middle of that, it stole 3 years of that Dot-Bomb recovery.

    Look also that this is only the third time in twenty+ years that Naz futures are forecasting a second month lower close below the 24 month EMA. And it's only just starting.

    There's a hard lesson coming.
    Last edited by Baa_Baa; 19-05-2022 at 09:44 PM.

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