sharetrader

Thread: Black Monday

  1. #13211
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2002
    Location
    auckland, , New Zealand.
    Posts
    11,074

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by alokdhir View Post
    https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/money...eel-eaqub.html

    And markets are rejoicing ...will it last ? Not as per many ...but then many sold everything they had in March 2020 thinking they did well ...Did they ?

    NZX is at almost 9 months high !!!
    it was probably bad luck if you sold in 2020 as no one new central banks would print like no tomorrow and that is the only reason you made money from 2020 to late 2021
    but people who sold most stuff in sept/oct 2021 probably pretty happy now knowing that no money printing will cause a big jump in stock prices now
    Last edited by bull....; 18-01-2023 at 02:42 PM.
    one step ahead of the herd

  2. #13212
    Legend
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Everywhere
    Posts
    7,000

    Default

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...MNINQXNUBYHZY/

    Households’ finances moving from squeezed to crushed, economist warns


    Households’ finances are being squeezed on several fronts with more pain to come, a leading bank says.

  3. #13213
    Investments
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Location
    New Zealand
    Posts
    3,115

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    it was probably bad luck if you sold in 2020 as no one new central banks would print like no tomorrow and that is the only reason you made money from 2020 to late 2021
    but people who sold most stuff in sept/oct 2021 probably pretty happy now knowing that no money printing will cause a big jump in stock prices now
    As not everyone is as smart like u ...its better not to interfere with your long term goals and investments ...it works out better that way

  4. #13214
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2002
    Location
    auckland, , New Zealand.
    Posts
    11,074
    one step ahead of the herd

  5. #13215
    Guru
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    , , .
    Posts
    3,330

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by nztx View Post
    As recently seen posted somewhere else:






    Anyone fancy how this pair will fare if things implode or a real financial crisis occurs ?
    Has anyone accurately predicted what is going to happen - anywhere?

    Quote Originally Posted by nztx View Post
    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...K3LS2QHBHVO74/

    House prices tumble almost everywhere, Auckland and Wellington property prices take big hits


    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...OQD4U4DJDSKQE/

    Interest rate rises ‘risk a financial earthquake’


    Premium content
    There is a risk of a 'financial earthquake' but house prices are unsustainable and need to come down to more realistic levels.
    People predict house price dives and everyone ignores it until it happens (maybe not as big a dive as many predictions).

    It wasn't that long ago that people were saying that interest rates wouldn't go up because the Govts couldn't afford it so would engineer them to stay down.

    I wish house prices had dropped 20% or so in a year and gotten the pain over with (including a share precipitous drop rather than the dribble down).
    Always better to rip a plaster off that keep tugging at it.

  6. #13216
    Guru
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    , , .
    Posts
    3,330

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by nztx View Post
    As recently seen posted somewhere else:






    Anyone fancy how this pair will fare if things implode or a real financial crisis occurs ?
    Quote Originally Posted by nztx View Post
    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...MNINQXNUBYHZY/

    Households’ finances moving from squeezed to crushed, economist warns
    When was the last time 'economists' were right? About anything?

  7. #13217
    Investments
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Location
    New Zealand
    Posts
    3,115

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by dobby41 View Post
    Has anyone accurately predicted what is going to happen - anywhere?



    There is a risk of a 'financial earthquake' but house prices are unsustainable and need to come down to more realistic levels.
    People predict house price dives and everyone ignores it until it happens (maybe not as big a dive as many predictions).

    It wasn't that long ago that people were saying that interest rates wouldn't go up because the Govts couldn't afford it so would engineer them to stay down.

    I wish house prices had dropped 20% or so in a year and gotten the pain over with (including a share precipitous drop rather than the dribble down).
    Always better to rip a plaster off that keep tugging at it.
    Didnt BoE engineer something to help save pension funds from rampant drop in Bond prices conversely rise in Bond yields ? When it will cause systemic risks to overall stability then they will need to chose the lesser evil ...slowly it can be managed ...ripping of bandaid may make the wound bleed again uncontrollably

  8. #13218
    Legend
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Everywhere
    Posts
    7,000

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by dobby41 View Post
    When was the last time 'economists' were right? About anything?
    When was the last time Labour were right? About anything?

    What will Robbo & OrrLess produce this time. aside from a huge worsening financial mess ?


    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...MNINQXNUBYHZY/

    Households’ finances moving from squeezed to crushed, economist warns

    WESTPAC warning seems more credible than Govt or RB sources on what is happening
    Last edited by nztx; 18-01-2023 at 03:15 PM.

  9. #13219
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Posts
    9,497

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by dobby41 View Post
    When was the last time 'economists' were right? About anything?
    I am sure economists are (statistically) neither more often nor less often right about the future than anybody else.

    This is the thing: Only NOBODY is able to predict the future ... but nobody so far found NOBODY.
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  10. #13220
    Legend
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Everywhere
    Posts
    7,000

    Default

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/...JM646BPEHNOHU/


    Bank of Japan defies market pressure and keeps monetary policy ultra loose

    (Guess what ? ... It's Premium .. again )


    Meanwhile Robbo's giving hand to a select anointed few is bound to be the only thing loose in Kiwiland
    during Ardern's & Robbo's reign of destruction leading up to elections, with OrrLess frantically trying
    to hover it back in record time, resulting in further poverty

Tags for this Thread

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •