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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #18771
    On the doghouse
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    Economists and policymakers need to think seriously about how toaddress is the economy’s longstanding and chronic issues – low productivity, poor infrastructure and insufficientvalue-add in many of our key export sectors – or the consequences will not be pretty.
    I read bull's comment and wondered how Adrian Orr would look if he croaked out the next reserve bank pronouncement in a 'toad dress'. Maybe finance minister Nicola Willis would look better wearing that 'toad dress', whatever it might be?

    SNOOPY
    Last edited by Snoopy; 22-03-2024 at 11:13 AM.
    Watch out for the most persistent and dangerous version of Covid-19: B.S.24/7

  2. #18772
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Guru Mark from Craig’s says -

    “We don’t want to see the economy struggle, but if it leads to a reprieve on the interest rate front, then it could give the economy a boost and give the sharemarket the shot in the arm,”
    Exactly ,an engineered recession by The Reserve Bank to deal to inflation and high interest rates.

  3. #18773
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    Quote Originally Posted by Leemsip View Post
    Bonds should do ok. I have bought some long dated bonds pre-xmas, should get some decent upside on these when RBNZ panic cuts back to zero.

    If this doesnt work I will be super slutted, whats the point in knowing stuff about economics and maths if it doesnt make you any money
    dang Leemsip - I understand being disappointed if it doesn't work out but showing a bit of skin on a street corner a bit extreme : )

  4. #18774
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    @Muse - amazing, I was going to comment on "super slutted" as well. I haven't heard the phrase for a couple of decades at least. I think it was used in the 1980s or even 1970s? Must have drifted into the 1990s then it was lost in the mists of time - until now.

    I wonder if it appeared in other countries as well?
    Last edited by Bobdn; 22-03-2024 at 02:17 PM.

  5. #18775
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    trying to get across the depth of my emotion on these bonds!
    Got to get some skin in the game eh.

  6. #18776
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    https://www.theguardian.com/business...urrency-trader

    Knowing economics and mathematics didn't seem to help Keynes with currency trading but I see he did ok with shares.

    I'm blissfully ignorant on maths and economics, fortunately. Otherwise I might start picking stocks again.
    Last edited by Bobdn; 22-03-2024 at 05:46 PM.

  7. #18777
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  8. #18778
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    No worries …saw this headline - An economist believes the double dip recession means the Reserve Bank (RBNZ) will slash rates by a full percentage point this year.

    More than market priced in of 75 basis

    Punters love rate cuts …NZX could be the place to be this year
    ONLY U and me HAD been thinking this way ....it's just the start ....may end the year UP 20% on Index basis ...fingers crossed and fully involved

  9. #18779
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    With NZ10Y rate vs US10Y showing smallest gap in recent history ...NZD is very bearish ...all pointing to markets thinking NZ rates will tank faster than US .


    NZX should have better year based on above info ...will it ?

  10. #18780
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    Quote Originally Posted by alokdhir View Post
    ONLY U and me HAD been thinking this way ....it's just the start ....may end the year UP 20% on Index basis ...fingers crossed and fully involved
    Only you two? Lol

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