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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #3091
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    trump rally still going strong lol all the action is in the US that's for sure - that bounce off 18k on the dow weekly was big time bullish still on track for our 20k target as we mentioned
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  2. #3092
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    trump rally still going strong lol all the action is in the US that's for sure - that bounce off 18k on the dow weekly was big time bullish still on track for our 20k target as we mentioned
    Yes. Hardly surprising when we read of the billions of dollars returning to the US from emerging markets.

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    Quote Originally Posted by macduffy View Post
    Yes. Hardly surprising when we read of the billions of dollars returning to the US from emerging markets.
    yes and portfolio rebalancing from bonds to equities
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    yes and portfolio rebalancing from bonds to equities
    Isn't it the other way round? An individual's bond portfolio would have dropped in value (yields have gone up), and their shares have risen. Sell expensive shares and buyer cheaper bonds to rebalance?

    edit: p.s. I'm talking about the US Market.
    Last edited by cyclist; 23-11-2016 at 09:54 AM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by cyclist View Post
    Isn't it the other way round? An individual's bond portfolio would have dropped in value (yields have gone up), and their shares have risen. Sell expensive shares and buyer cheaper bonds to rebalance?

    edit: p.s. I'm talking about the US Market.
    rates in the us are rising so bonds are less appealing esp if it becomes a rising rate environment , probably to early to tell yet if this is the case so funds will allocate less to bonds as its a losing proposition.
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    Martin Hawes in an article a few months back announced that he had reduced his shares to about 40%. That still a sizable chunk of shares so won't have missed out entirely on some of the best market action in ages.

    But what if you sold out a couple of months ago and are sitting on cash now. In the short term, the bulls look firmly in control. What's the next move? I'm still pretty much all in and not looking to sell.

  7. #3097
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    But I should add, with the dow at 19000 I'm feeling a little anxious. That's a crazy number.

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    wow nice week for the us markets with most indices hitting all time highs DJT not far off, Russell is amazing run and the dow less than 5% from our target of 20k lot of people saying it could get there by xmas who knows but sure make a good party lol
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    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/dow-hi...163704133.html
    http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/23/these...-to-20000.html
    http://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/10/dow-e...ll-happen.html
    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/4-r...ear-2016-04-04

    guess lots of people like the look of dow 20000.

    think about it theres so much money funds have on the sidelines because of fear that they will have to re-invest soon for performance if that is there not already chasing it.
    Just the same in NZ really funds have so much cash on the side lines and it is starting to show in there performance - wait to there silly annualised figures catch up and your see what a miserable yr a lot of these funds have had performance wise - was it buffett who said invest when people are fearful and sell when they are greedy a lot of fear there has been this year.
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  10. #3100
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/dow-hi...163704133.html
    http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/23/these...-to-20000.html
    http://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/10/dow-e...ll-happen.html
    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/4-r...ear-2016-04-04

    guess lots of people like the look of dow 20000.

    think about it theres so much money funds have on the sidelines because of fear that they will have to re-invest soon for performance if that is there not already chasing it.
    Just the same in NZ really funds have so much cash on the side lines and it is starting to show in there performance - wait to there silly annualised figures catch up and your see what a miserable yr a lot of these funds have had performance wise - was it buffett who said invest when people are fearful and sell when they are greedy a lot of fear there has been this year.
    It been a great year to buy against the fear factor...twenty seven years investing this has been the easiest year to make money although the risk have never been so compelling.

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