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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #3281
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hoop View Post
    The VIX went up +9.96% today..this may sound alarming but its still at a very low 12.47.. For reference..VIX Under 20 represents a calm market..small anxiety is ~20 ...more serious doubts ~25...a hint of fear ~30...VIX over 30 shows market uncertainty and a degree of fear....

    Small supports broke today (minor event) so we shall see what happens tomorrow and if it is a sign of negative things to come.
    VIX at 12.47 implies market will move plus/minus 3.6% in next 30 days

    I can live with that - esp if it's up 3.6%

    Still very low

    No worries
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  2. #3282
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    I'm more worried about the NZX50 technicals

  3. #3283
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hoop View Post
    I'm more worried about the NZX50 technicals
    Well, yes ... but I am wondering whether this is just an outflow due to the high weight of FBU in the index coupled with the incompetence of FBU board and management rather than a more generic market weakness?

    Still - worthwhile watching ...
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  4. #3284
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Well, yes ... but I am wondering whether this is just an outflow due to the high weight of FBU in the index coupled with the incompetence of FBU board and management rather than a more generic market weakness?

    Still - worthwhile watching ...
    Looks more like a movement of overseas money out of our big cap stocks to me, not specific to FBU. Both Rym and SPK have been hit hard over the last week as an example.

  5. #3285
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    Buy in the dips
    h2

  6. #3286
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Well, yes ... but I am wondering whether this is just an outflow due to the high weight of FBU in the index coupled with the incompetence of FBU board and management rather than a more generic market weakness?

    Still - worthwhile watching ...
    Technicals may be indicating other things going on

    Warehouse downgrade / Fletcher downgrade / Fonterra downgrade guidance

    Start if a trend?

    ST could be interesting AIR and HBL come out with not so good news
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  7. #3287
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hoop View Post
    I'm more worried about the NZX50 technicals
    breakdown below 7050 would be negative could easily fall another 40pts on the hrlys looking at the bollingers
    Last edited by bull....; 22-03-2017 at 11:53 AM.
    one step ahead of the herd

  8. #3288
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    Looks like local media are calling it http://i.stuff.co.nz/business/world/...ump-trade-died

  9. #3289
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    Almost time to start reaching for the coat and car keys.. before the doorway gets crowded

  10. #3290
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    Quote Originally Posted by arc View Post
    Almost time to start reaching for the coat and car keys.. before the doorway gets crowded
    Where you gonna go??...car keys??...Remember you're on a boat in the deep Pacific.... .....
    Sorry Arc..couldn't resist myself..

    On more serious note..I was 98% "in" now about 80% after today...Started off-loading the ones with any sell signals and taking profits off the table, not hanging around with wait and see when the NZX50 looks dodgy

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