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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #4571
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    You guys gone 100% cash yet?
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  2. #4572
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    You guys gone 100% cash yet?
    no im still running at about 0% cash + 30% levered hasnt reached my targets yet so im comfortable and the data last night was very strong and the yield curve widening too now.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...est-since-2014

    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/03/us-m...-in-focus.html
    one step ahead of the herd

  3. #4573
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    no im still running at about 0% cash + 30% levered hasnt reached my targets yet so im comfortable and the data last night was very strong and the yield curve widening too now.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...est-since-2014

    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/03/us-m...-in-focus.html
    Like you bull I’m still in the game ...but not levered lol

    If I believed most of the stuff you read about the state of the market one would have been out of the market years ago (I don’t play the shorting game)
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  4. #4574
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    You guys gone 100% cash yet?
    I have but only with my Kiwisaver. Mainly because I don't want to miss out on the stock discounts. I believe that the Fed signaling they want to increase interest rates regularly is a clear indication we are about to hit the end of the cycle. If History repeats they will overshoot with the interest rate hikes and hence trigger a crash. But that will be at least a years worth of Hikes I believe. I just don't want to miss it.

    In saying that I still have 7K in stocks outside of KiwiSaver invested in Stocks. Being a Newby to share trading I'm using it to learn how to manage and build a portfolio.

  5. #4575
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    Who knows when the cycle will end but the IMF is now joining the crackpots I read on Zero hedge.
    https://www.msn.com/en-nz/money/news...cid=spartanntp

  6. #4576
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    You guys gone 100% cash yet?
    Yep about 9 years ago, just waiting for the next leg down.

  7. #4577
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    Just in the process of re-weighting our portfolio to a much more conservative stance - will wait it out and jump back in at the appropriate time but still have some short term share holdings for play time

  8. #4578
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aaron View Post
    Yep about 9 years ago, just waiting for the next leg down.


    PS I was assuming you were joking, if not then I apologise for my insensitivity
    Last edited by RupertBear; 04-10-2018 at 05:56 PM. Reason: just in case he wasnt joking ��

  9. #4579
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aaron View Post
    Yep about 9 years ago, just waiting for the next leg down.
    Are you for real? So in the last 9 years the market has moved up by between 100-200% depending on which market and metrics. So you need a 60% + correction to even break even. That is never going to happen. Maybe being in the market rather than timing the market is still the wise thing to do?

  10. #4580
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    Quote Originally Posted by blackcap View Post
    Are you for real? So in the last 9 years the market has moved up by between 100-200% depending on which market and metrics. So you need a 60% + correction to even break even. That is never going to happen. Maybe being in the market rather than timing the market is still the wise thing to do?
    Im pretty sure that was a joke!

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