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28-04-2019, 09:30 AM
#5421
Useless fact ......lots more babies going to be born in the next year as usual
As markets rise to new highs conception rates increase (and vice versa)
”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “
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28-04-2019, 09:33 AM
#5422
Originally Posted by winner69
Useless fact ......lots more babies going to be born in the next year as usual
As markets rise to new highs conception rates increase (and vice versa)
Might not be such a useless fact ... time to buy ATM and start accumulating EVO ?
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"Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)
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28-04-2019, 10:01 AM
#5423
Originally Posted by Brain
There is an article on Warren Buffet in the Saturday herald which is worth a read.
For me The most interesting Buffet quote from the article is the following.
”People get smarter but they don’t get wiser. They don’t get more emotionally stable. All the conditions for overvaluation and undervaluation absolutely exist, the way they did 50 years ago.
You can teach all you want to the people, you can tell them to read Ben Graham’s book, you can send them to graduate school, but when they are scared, they’re scared.”
He didn’t mention Greed.
Nor did he mention Hope?
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28-04-2019, 10:10 AM
#5424
Originally Posted by BlackPeter
Might not be such a useless fact ... time to buy ATM and start accumulating EVO ?
Fertility as a leading economic indicator ...if you like reading academic stuff with your Sunday coffee
https://www3.nd.edu/~kbuckles/BHL_fertility.pdf
”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “
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28-04-2019, 10:41 AM
#5425
Last edited by BlackPeter; 28-04-2019 at 10:44 AM.
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"Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)
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28-04-2019, 01:14 PM
#5426
Cool charts BP ....bookmarked that site
But totally irrevelent (although is demographic data) to that paper which said 'Our findings suggest that fertility behavior is more forward-looking and sensitive to changes in short -run expectations about the economy than previously thought.' (posted in case you didn't even read the abstract)
”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “
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28-04-2019, 04:20 PM
#5427
Originally Posted by winner69
Cool charts BP ....bookmarked that site
But totally irrevelent (although is demographic data) to that paper which said 'Our findings suggest that fertility behavior is more forward-looking and sensitive to changes in short -run expectations about the economy than previously thought.' (posted in case you didn't even read the abstract)
Not so fast - long term these data will (even without academical research) clearly make an impact on the economy. More people, more workers, more consumption. No-brainer.
More interesting is the short term dependency ... and if your research says that fertility indicates shortterm a good economy, than Africa must clearly be in a golden position.
Obviously - economic progress is relative to where you are, but at some stage I am sure they will take over the US as well as China.
Anyway - nice games ...
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"Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)
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28-04-2019, 08:45 PM
#5428
Interesting discussion. Without looking deeply at the various examples...my first thoughts are that a solid population pyramid is something akin to kinetic potential. Without it you have limited means of moving forward.
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28-04-2019, 08:48 PM
#5429
I like the kiribati one. Are we not told that it will be under water some time this century yet the population is expected to double by 2100.
https://www.populationpyramid.net/kiribati/2018/
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29-04-2019, 08:50 AM
#5430
All this stuff Fed doing to keep the markets going up is the antithesis of capitalism .....and every step the closer we get to socialism
”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “
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