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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #9881
    Guru Rawz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    big difference between owning hard assets and owning paper stocks
    these paper stocks own hard assets? Im not being facetious, i just would have thought these retirement villages or warehouses would rise with inflation.

    Just need to watch for companies with too much debt.

    But companies with just the right amount of debt.. the inflation will inflate it away

  2. #9882
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rawz View Post
    these paper stocks own hard assets? Im not being facetious, i just would have thought these retirement villages or warehouses would rise with inflation.

    Just need to watch for companies with too much debt.

    But companies with just the right amount of debt.. the inflation will inflate it away
    Yes bit of a silly comment by bull, retirement stocks equals a whole lot of hard assets with a huge audience of need to fill them.

  3. #9883
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    a 50 pt hike in ocr will crush the bond proxy nzx
    Priced into swap rates. Next OCR decision is on Thursday and the next one won't be likely until February now which would be almost another quarter away. 4.9% headline inflation which will probably stay steady or rise. Petrol prices and building materials in this quarter likely to drive it even higher in the Q4 reading.

  4. #9884
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    Rbnz survey of expectations just out …business leaders etc

    OCR to increase over next year …inflation 3.7% over next year …house prices 5% one year and 4% two years

    No worries here

    https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/Res...2-5796ac0a8941
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #9885
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    Quote Originally Posted by value_investor View Post
    Priced into swap rates. Next OCR decision is on Thursday and the next one won't be likely until February now which would be almost another quarter away. 4.9% headline inflation which will probably stay steady or rise. Petrol prices and building materials in this quarter likely to drive it even higher in the Q4 reading.
    I think OCR date Wed 24th Nov. Will be interesting to watch with inflation running red hot and will set the tone for 2022.

  6. #9886
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by couta1 View Post
    Yes bit of a silly comment by bull, retirement stocks equals a whole lot of hard assets with a huge audience of need to fill them.
    you need to look at it from the perspective of stock prices being at all time highs. stocks are financial assets not real assets
    one step ahead of the herd

  7. #9887
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    you need to look at it from the perspective of stock prices being at all time highs. stocks are financial assets not real assets
    Many NZX companies are 20% off their all time highs (Not talking about the likes of A2) thats more than a correction %.
    Last edited by couta1; 18-11-2021 at 03:25 PM.

  8. #9888
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Rbnz survey of expectations just out …business leaders etc

    OCR to increase over next year …inflation 3.7% over next year …house prices 5% one year and 4% two years

    No worries here

    https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/Res...2-5796ac0a8941
    futures pricing 2 hikes in by end yr now after this data
    one step ahead of the herd

  9. #9889
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    US Fed meeting in 15 Dec.

    The US share culling may begin slightly before or on that date.

  10. #9890
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    When inflation goes up it's actually just a good time to spend up large. Or take the risk higher prices next year.
    Last edited by Panda-NZ-; 23-11-2021 at 12:49 AM.

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